MLB Moneyline Picks Tonight: Braves vs Mets 7/25
- A Plus Picks
- Jul 25, 2024, 10:57:44 AM
MLB Player Props Best Picks: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets
Photo Credit: © Rhona Wise-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Atlanta Braves will face off against the New York Mets on Thursday, July 25th, 2024, at 7:10 p.m. EDT at Citi Field in Queens, New York. This matchup is pivotal for both teams as they battle for positioning in the competitive NL East. The Braves come into this game with a 54-46 record, currently second in the NL East, but they are on a four-game losing streak. The Mets, on the other hand, hold a 53-48 record and sit third in the division.
Recent performances favor the Mets, who have won seven of their last ten games, boasting a .265 batting average and a 3.68 ERA over that span. The Braves have struggled, winning only three of their last ten, with a .221 batting average and a 4.60 ERA. Historically, the season series between these two teams is tied at 3-3, indicating a closely contested rivalry.
Thursday's game will see Chris Sale (13-3, 2.70 ERA, 0.95 WHIP, 140 strikeouts) take the mound for the Braves against Luis Severino (7-3, 3.58 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, 88 strikeouts) for the Mets. Sale has been dominant all season, leading the league in wins, while Severino has been a solid presence in the Mets' rotation.
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Player Prop Odds
Pitcher Record a Win: Luis Severino
No: -360
Yes: +245
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Player Analysis
Luis Severino (NYM) has had a solid season so far, recording a 7-3 win-loss record with a 3.58 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP. In 115.2 innings pitched, he has struck out 88 batters while allowing 96 hits and 40 walks. Severino's ability to keep hitters off-balance with his mix of fastballs and off-speed pitches has been crucial for the Mets this season. His recent form has been strong, and he will look to continue that against a potent Braves lineup.
Opposing Analysis
The Braves' lineup has been inconsistent recently, batting just .221 over their last ten games. However, they boast power hitters like Marcell Ozuna, who leads the team with 28 home runs and 80 RBIs. The Braves' ability to generate runs will be tested against Severino, who has been effective at limiting long balls, having allowed only 12 home runs this season.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Sale | 13-3 | 2.70 | 0.95 | 110.0 | 81 | 140 | 24 | 7 |
| Luis Severino | 7-3 | 3.58 | 1.18 | 115.2 | 96 | 88 | 40 | 12 |
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Team Previews
Atlanta Braves: The Braves have been a strong offensive team overall, ranking 6th in the NL with 493 runs scored and 9th with 873 hits. They have a team batting average of .251, which is 10th in the league. Their pitching staff has struggled at times, with a team ERA of 4.18, ranking 20th. Defensively, they have committed 70 errors, the 3rd most in the league.
New York Mets: The Mets have been inconsistent offensively, ranking 22nd in the NL with 422 runs and tied for 17th with 811 hits. Their team batting average is .241. The pitching staff has been a strength, with a team ERA of 3.52, which is 3rd best in the league. Defensively, they have committed only 42 errors, tied for 29th in the league.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Harris II | CF | 60-Day IL (hamstring) |
| Ozzie Albies | 2B | 10-Day IL (wrist) |
| Max Fried | SP | 15-Day IL (forearm) |
| Ronald Acuña Jr. | RF | 60-Day IL (knee) |
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Harrison Bader | CF | Day-to-Day (ankle) |
| Christian Scott | RP | 15-Day IL (elbow) |
| Starling Marte | RF | 10-Day IL (knee) |
Recent Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7/24 | vs Cincinnati | L 9-4 | L |
| 7/22 | vs Cincinnati | L 4-1 | L |
| 7/21 | vs St. Louis | L 6-2 | L |
| 7/20 | vs St. Louis | L 9-5 | L |
| 7/20 | vs St. Louis | W 3-2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7/24 | @ Miami | W 12-3 | W |
| 7/23 | @ Miami | W 3-2 | W |
| 7/22 | @ Miami | W 6-4 | W |
| 7/21 | @ Miami | L 4-2 | L |
| 7/20 | @ Miami | W 1-0 | W |
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Prediction
Luis Severino has been dependable for the Mets, and given the Braves' recent struggles at the plate, Severino has a good chance to capitalize. The Mets' recent form and home-field advantage also play into this prediction. At +245, there's substantial value in betting on Severino to record a win.
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