MLB Moneyline Picks Tonight: Blue Jays vs Orioles 7/29
- Wolfeofbetting
- Jul 29, 2024, 4:05:42 AM
MLB Moneyline Picks Tonight: Blue Jays vs Orioles 7/29
Photo Credit: © Nick Turchiaro-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Toronto Blue Jays (49-56, fifth in the AL East) are set to face the Baltimore Orioles (62-43, first in the AL East) at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Monday, July 29, at 3:05 p.m. EDT. The Blue Jays, riding a three-game winning streak, aim to continue their momentum against a formidable Orioles squad. Baltimore holds a solid 31-24 record at home, showcasing a strong .315 team on-base percentage, ranking fifth in the American League.
Toronto's road performance has been less impressive, with a 23-28 record. However, they have shown resilience in games where they haven't allowed a home run, boasting a 16-7 record in such scenarios. The season series between these two teams is evenly poised at 3-3, making this matchup crucial for both sides.
The Orioles' Anthony Santander has been a standout performer with 16 doubles, two triples, 29 home runs, and 68 RBIs, hitting .240 for the season. Colton Cowser has also been in fine form, going 12-for-36 with two doubles and two home runs over the past 10 games. On the Blue Jays' side, Vladimir Guerrero Jr., hitting .301 with 22 doubles and 19 home runs, will be key to their offensive output. George Springer, who is 10-for-41 with a double and three home runs in his last 10 games, also remains a vital asset.
Both teams have their share of injuries, with notable absences including Jorge Mateo, Danny Coulombe, Kyle Bradish, Tyler Wells, John Means, and Felix Bautista for the Orioles, and Jordan Romano, Bo Bichette, Isiah Kiner-Falefa, and Alek Manoah for the Blue Jays.
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Player Prop Odds
Justin Turner Prop Odds:
- Batter Doubles (0.5): Over +334, Under -554
- Batter Hits (1.5): Over +190, Under -274
- Batter RBIs (0.5): Over +159, Under -224
- Batter Runs Scored (0.5): Over +143, Under -199
- Batter Singles (0.5): Over -145, Under +106
- Batter Total Bases (1.5): Over +123, Under -169
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Player Analysis
Justin Turner has been a consistent performer for the Blue Jays this season. Turner's ability to hit for both power and average makes him a key player in the lineup. With a current batting average of .301, 19 home runs, and 64 RBIs, Turner has been a reliable source of offense. His recent form has also been impressive, making him a strong candidate for various prop bets.
Opposing Analysis
Zach Eflin, the starting pitcher for the Orioles, has had a mixed season with a 5-7 record and a 4.09 ERA. He has struck out 87 batters in 110 innings pitched, but he has also given up 14 home runs. Eflin's WHIP of 1.16 indicates that he can control the game but is prone to giving up big hits. Turner's ability to hit for power and average will be crucial in exploiting Eflin's weaknesses.
Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts | WHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yariel Rodriguez (TOR) | 1-3 | 3.69 | 42 | 1.26 |
| Zach Eflin (BAL) | 5-7 | 4.09 | 87 | 1.16 |
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Team Previews
Toronto Blue Jays
The Blue Jays have been a strong offensive team, ranking sixth in hits (915) and fourth in runs (522). Their overall batting average of .252 ranks ninth in the league. The team has also excelled in saving games with 33 saves, ranking tied for fifth. However, their pitching has been a mixed bag, with an ERA of 3.79, ranking eighth, and a total of 51 errors, placing them tied for 20th.
Baltimore Orioles
The Orioles, despite their strong overall record, have had challenges in hitting, ranking tied for 24th in hits (824) and 25th in runs (430). Their batting average of .238 is 20th in the league. On the pitching side, they have a higher ERA of 4.51, ranking 27th. Errors have been an issue as well, with 58 errors ranking them tied for 12th. Their strengths lie in their ability to win games and a balanced approach to both offense and defense.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Romano | RP | Elbow | Out for season |
| Bo Bichette | SS | Calf | 10-Day IL |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa | 3B | Knee | 10-Day IL |
| Alek Manoah | SP | Elbow | 15-Day IL |
| Player | Position | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jorge Mateo | SS | Elbow | 10-Day IL |
| Danny Coulombe | RP | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
| Kyle Bradish | SP | UCL Sprain | 60-Day IL |
| Tyler Wells | SP | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
| John Means | SP | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
| Felix Bautista | RP | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
Recent Games
Toronto Blue Jays
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| Texas | W 7-3 | W |
| Texas | W 7-3 | W |
| Texas | W 6-5 | W |
| Tampa Bay | L 13-0 | L |
| Tampa Bay | W 6-3 | W |
Baltimore Orioles
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| San Diego | W 8-6 | W |
| San Diego | L 9-4 | L |
| San Diego | L 6-4 | L |
| Miami | W 7-6 | W |
| Miami | L 6-3 | L |
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Prediction
The Blue Jays have been on a good streak, and Justin Turner’s recent form makes him a good bet for several player props. Given Eflin's susceptibility to big hits, the prop for Justin Turner hitting Over 1.5 Total Bases at +123 is appealing. The Blue Jays’ offense has been strong, and Turner is likely to capitalize on Eflin’s weaknesses.
Pick: Over 1.5 Total Bases for Justin Turner (+123)
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