MLB Moneyline Picks Tonight: Baltimore Orioles vs Miami Marlins 7/25

- Big Ben Profits
- Jul 24, 2024, 5:52:50 PM
MLB Moneyline Picks Tonight: Baltimore Orioles vs Miami Marlins 7/25
Photo Credit: ESPN
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Game Summary
On July 25th, the Baltimore Orioles will face off against the Miami Marlins at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. This indoor venue provides a controlled environment, ensuring no external weather conditions impact the game. The Orioles, with a struggling record of 36-65, will be looking to upset the Marlins, who boast a solid 60-40 record. Both teams have had contrasting seasons, with the Orioles languishing near the bottom of the standings while the Marlins are fighting for playoff positioning.
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Odds and Betting Lines
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over/Under | 7.5 |
| Spread | Marlins -1.5 |
| Moneyline | Orioles -280 / Marlins +230 |
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Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Roddery Munoz (BAL) | 1-5 | 5.14 | 47 |
| Corbin Burnes (MIA) | 10-4 | 2.38 | 116 |
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Team Previews
Baltimore Orioles
Hitting: The Orioles' offense has struggled significantly this season. With a batting average of .235 (21st in MLB) and ranked 29th in runs scored (356), their hitters have found it difficult to provide consistent run support. Jazz Chisholm Jr. leads the team with a .251 batting average, while Bryan De La Cruz has hit 17 home runs.
Relief Pitching: The bullpen has been a weak point, with only 19 saves, tied for 27th in the league. This inconsistency has exacerbated their struggles to close out games.
Fielding: Defensively, the Orioles have committed 71 errors, the most in MLB. Their defensive lapses have often turned close games into losses.
Starting Pitchers: Roddery Munoz, with a 5.14 ERA, has had a tough season. His 1-5 record highlights the difficulties faced by the Orioles’ starting rotation.
Miami Marlins
Hitting: The Marlins have a solid offense, with a .253 batting average (7th in MLB) and ranked 4th in runs scored (496). Gunnar Henderson is a standout with a .287 average and 28 home runs.
Relief Pitching: The Marlins' bullpen has been effective, recording 31 saves (6th in MLB). Their ability to maintain leads has been crucial to their success this season.
Fielding: The Marlins have committed 45 errors, ranking 26th. While not the best, their defense has been adequate enough to support their pitching staff.
Starting Pitchers: Corbin Burnes has been exceptional with a 2.38 ERA and a 10-4 record. He is among the top pitchers in the league and will be a key factor in this matchup.
Team Injuries
Baltimore Orioles
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jorge Mateo | 2B | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Jul 25 |
Miami Marlins
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Weathers | SP | Finger | Expected to be out until at least Aug 23 |
| Josh Simpson | RP | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Aug 16 |
Betting Trends
- The Orioles are 2-8 in their last 10 games.
- The Marlins are 7-3 in their last 10 games.
- The Orioles have hit the under in 5 of their last 7 games.
- The Marlins have hit the over in 4 of their last 6 home games.
- Corbin Burnes has allowed 2 or fewer runs in 8 of his last 10 starts.
Recent Games
Baltimore Orioles
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Texas | W 9-1 | W |
| @ Texas | W 8-4 | W |
| @ Texas | L 3-2 | L |
| @ Miami | L 6-3 | L |
Miami Marlins
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs New York | W 6-4 | W |
| vs New York | L 1-0 | L |
| vs New York | W 4-2 | W |
| vs New York | L 6-4 | L |
| vs Baltimore | W 6-3 | W |
Team Rankings
| Category | Baltimore Orioles | Miami Marlins |
|---|---|---|
| Hitting | .235 (21st) | .253 (7th) |
| Starting Pitching | 4.51 ERA (27th) | 3.71 ERA (7th) |
| Relief Pitching | 19 Saves (27th) | 31 Saves (6th) |
| Fielding | 71 Errors (1st) | 45 Errors (26th) |
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Significant Betting Stats
- The Orioles are 1-4 in their last 5 games against a right-handed starter.
- The Marlins are 6-1 in their last 7 home games.
- The Orioles are 0-5 in their last 5 games when their opponent allows 5 or more runs in their previous game.
- The Marlins are 4-0 in their last 4 games following an off day.
- The Orioles are 1-8 in their last 9 games against teams with a winning record.
- The Marlins are 5-2 in Burnes' last 7 starts.
- The Orioles' bullpen has an ERA of 5.14 in their last 10 games.
- The Marlins have outscored opponents by an average of 2 runs in their last 10 home games.
- The Orioles have a team batting average of .210 in their last 10 games.
- The Marlins have a team batting average of .275 in their last 10 home games.
Weather
Mostly cloudy with thunderstorms, temperature around 87°F. However, since the game is indoors at loanDepot park, weather conditions will not impact the match.
Prediction
The Baltimore Orioles have struggled mightily this season, and their recent form does not inspire confidence. On the other hand, the Miami Marlins are in good form and have been particularly strong at home. With Corbin Burnes taking the mound for the Marlins and his impressive 2.38 ERA, it will be challenging for the Orioles' struggling offense to put up runs. Additionally, the Marlins' superior bullpen and overall team performance give them a significant edge in this matchup.
Pick: Miami Marlins to win
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