MLB Moneyline Picks Tonight: Astros vs Rangers 7/13

- Big Ben Profits
- Jul 12, 2024, 7:50:05 PM
MLB Moneyline Picks Tonight: Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers 7/13
Photo Credit: © Thomas Shea-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Houston Astros (49-44) will take on the Texas Rangers (44-49) at Minute Maid Park in Houston, Texas on July 13. This matchup features two teams currently vying for positioning within the AL West. The Astros have been a formidable team at home with a 27-19 record, while the Rangers have struggled on the road with a 20-28 record. Houston's Spencer Arrighetti will face off against Texas's Nathan Eovaldi in what promises to be an intriguing pitching duel.
Houston comes into this game with the second-most hits in the league (842) and the top batting average (.263), driven by key players like Jose Altuve and Yordan Alvarez. Altuve leads the team with a .306 batting average, while Alvarez has contributed 19 home runs and 51 RBIs. Texas, on the other hand, has been average offensively, ranking 15th in hits (765) and 16th in runs (405), with standout performances from players like Josh Smith and Corey Seager.
On the mound, Eovaldi has been the more reliable starter, boasting a 3.10 ERA and a 6-3 record, while Arrighetti has struggled with a 5.96 ERA and a 4-7 record. Relief pitching and fielding will also be crucial factors, as both teams have had their ups and downs in these departments. With the Astros having the home-field advantage and a better overall record, this game could be pivotal for the Rangers as they try to climb up the standings.
Odds and Betting Lines
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over/Under | 8.5 |
| Houston Astros Spread | +1.5 (-110) |
| Texas Rangers Spread | -1.5 (+110) |
| Houston Astros Moneyline | +106 |
| Texas Rangers Moneyline | -116 |
Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts | WHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Arrighetti (HOU) | 4-7 | 5.96 | 86 | 1.66 |
| Nathan Eovaldi (TEX) | 6-3 | 3.10 | 85 | 1.03 |
Team Previews
Houston Astros
Hitting: The Astros are ranked 2nd in hits (842) and 1st in batting average (.263). Key players include Jose Altuve, who leads the team with a .306 batting average, and Yordan Alvarez, who has 19 home runs and 51 RBIs.
Relief Pitching: Houston's bullpen has been middle-of-the-pack with a 4.08 ERA, ranking 17th in the league. They have 22 saves, tied for 18th overall.
Fielding: The Astros have committed 40 errors, tying them for 27th in the league, indicating some fielding vulnerabilities.
Starting Pitchers: Spencer Arrighetti has struggled with a 5.96 ERA and a 4-7 record, making him a potential weak link in this matchup.
Texas Rangers
Hitting: The Rangers rank 15th in hits (765) and 16th in runs (405). Key contributors include Josh Smith, who leads with a .295 batting average, and Corey Seager, who has 17 home runs.
Relief Pitching: Texas's bullpen ranks 16th with a 4.02 ERA and has recorded 17 saves, tying them for 28th overall.
Fielding: The Rangers have committed 40 errors, tying them for 27th, indicating similar fielding issues as the Astros.
Starting Pitchers: Nathan Eovaldi has been a bright spot with a 3.10 ERA and a 6-3 record, providing some stability to the rotation.
Team Injuries
Houston Astros
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Garcia | SP | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Aug 9 |
| Kyle Tucker | RF | Lower Leg | Expected to be out until at least Aug 1 |
Texas Rangers
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cody Bradford | SP | Ribs | Expected to be out until at least Jul 19 |
Betting Trends
- Houston is 5-2 in their last 7 home games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 9 games.
- Texas is 3-7 in their last 10 road games.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas' last 6 games.
Recent Games
Houston Astros
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Miami | W 6-3 | W |
| vs Miami | W 9-1 | W |
| vs Miami | W 4-3 | W |
| @ Minnesota | L 3-2 | L |
| @ Minnesota | L 9-3 | L |
Texas Rangers
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Los Angeles | L 7-2 | L |
| @ Los Angeles | W 5-4 | W |
| @ Los Angeles | W 9-4 | W |
| vs Tampa Bay | W 13-2 | W |
| vs Tampa Bay | W 4-3 | W |
Team Rankings
| Category | Houston Astros | Texas Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 2nd | 15th |
| Starting Pitching | 17th | 16th |
| Relief Pitching | 18th | 28th |
| Fielding | 27th | 27th |
Significant Betting Stats
- Houston is 5-2 in their last 7 home games.
- Texas is 3-7 in their last 10 road games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 9 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas' last 6 games.
- Houston is 14-6 in their last 20 games against Texas.
- Texas is 4-9 in their last 13 games overall.
- Houston is 5-1 in their last 6 games at home against Texas.
- Texas is 1-5 in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Houston.
- Houston is 6-2 in their last 8 games against an opponent in the American League.
- Texas is 2-8 in their last 10 games against an opponent in the American League West Division.
Weather
Intermittent clouds with a temperature of 84°F. Check full weather details here.
Prediction
Pick: Houston Astros Moneyline (+106)
The Houston Astros have the edge in this matchup due to their superior hitting and home-field advantage. While Nathan Eovaldi has been solid for the Rangers, Spencer Arrighetti and the Astros' offense should be able to capitalize on Texas's weaknesses. Additionally, Houston's recent form and historical success against Texas further support the pick. Look for the Astros to secure a win at Minute Maid Park.


