MLB Moneyline Picks Tonight: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Pittsburgh Pirates 7/28
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MLB Moneyline Picks Tonight: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Pittsburgh Pirates 7/28

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MLB Moneyline Picks Tonight: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Pittsburgh Pirates 7/28

Game Summary

The Arizona Diamondbacks are set to face the Pittsburgh Pirates on July 28, 2024, at Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona. This matchup features two teams who have showcased contrasting performances this season. The Diamondbacks enter this contest with a record of 55-50, currently competing for a wildcard spot in the National League. They have been particularly strong at home, with a record of 28-24, and are looking to build on two consecutive wins against the Pirates from the previous series. The Pirates, sitting at 52-52, have struggled to maintain consistency, especially on the road, where they hold a 26-26 record. Pittsburgh has lost the last two encounters against Arizona, which they will be eager to turn around. The starting pitchers for this matchup are Yilber Diaz for the Diamondbacks and Mitch Keller for the Pirates, presenting a clear advantage for the Pirates due to Keller's superior statistics. With the weather forecast predicting mostly sunny conditions and a high temperature of 101 degrees, the venue will likely provide an exciting atmosphere for this pivotal game. Both teams will need to capitalize on their scoring opportunities, as runs may be at a premium against capable pitching. As they vie for a crucial victory, expect both teams to play with intensity.

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Odds and Betting Lines

Bet Type Odds
Over/Under Not Available
Arizona Diamondbacks Spread +1.5
Pittsburgh Pirates Spread -1.5
Arizona Diamondbacks Moneyline +102
Pittsburgh Pirates Moneyline -120

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Pitching Probables

Pitcher W-L ERA WHIP IP H K BB HR
Mitch Keller (PIT) 10-5 3.34 1.24 121.1 119 108 32 13
Yilber Diaz (ARI) 1-1 5.40 1.40 15.0 17 7 4 2

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Team Previews

Arizona Diamondbacks

The Diamondbacks' offense has been productive this season, ranking 3rd in runs scored with 513 total. Key players include Ketel Marte, who boasts a .296 batting average and leads the team with 23 home runs and 71 RBIs. The team's overall batting average stands at .253, indicating a solid offensive performance. However, the pitching staff has been somewhat inconsistent, with an overall ERA of 4.49, ranking them 26th in the league. Yilber Diaz, making his start, needs to improve his performance, as he holds a 5.40 ERA over his limited innings.

Pittsburgh Pirates

The Pirates are struggling offensively, ranking 23rd in runs scored with only 425. Their batting average of .232 is indicative of their struggles at the plate. Oneil Cruz has been a bright spot, batting .252 with 16 home runs and 52 RBIs. The pitching staff, led by Mitch Keller, has performed well, with a 3.78 ERA ranking them 11th in the league, and Keller's 3.34 ERA further solidifies his position as the ace of the staff. The Pirates will need to leverage their pitching advantage to secure a win against the Diamondbacks.

Team Injuries

Arizona Diamondbacks

Player Name Position Injury Injury Status
Merrill Kelly SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 16

Pittsburgh Pirates

Player Name Position Injury Injury Status
Nick Gonzales 2B Groin Probable for Jul 28
Rowdy Tellez 1B Back Probable for Jul 28
Jared Jones SP Lat Expected to be out until at least Aug 8

Betting Trends

  • The Diamondbacks are 3-2 in their last five games.
  • The Pirates are 2-3 in their last five games.
  • Arizona is 4-1 against the spread in their last five home games.
  • Pittsburgh's moneyline is -120, indicating they are favored to win.

Recent Games

Arizona Diamondbacks Recent Games

Opponent Score W/L
vs Pittsburgh W4-3 W
vs Pittsburgh W9-5 W
@ Kansas City W6-2 W
@ Kansas City L10-4 L
@ Kansas City L2-1 F/10 L

Pittsburgh Pirates Recent Games

Opponent Score W/L
vs Philadelphia W8-7 W
vs Philadelphia W4-1 W
vs St. Louis W5-0 W
@ Arizona L4-3 L
@ Arizona L9-5 L

Team Rankings

Team Hitting Starting Pitching Relief Pitching Fielding
Arizona Diamondbacks 3rd 26th Tied-19th 30th
Pittsburgh Pirates 23rd 11th Tied-14th Tied-21st

Significant Betting Stats

  • The Diamondbacks are 53-50 against the moneyline this season.
  • The Pirates are 52-50 against the moneyline this season.
  • Arizona has a 52-51 record against the spread.
  • Pittsburgh has a 57-45 record against the spread.
  • The Diamondbacks rank 3rd in the league for total runs scored.
  • Pittsburgh ranks 11th in ERA among MLB teams.
  • Arizona is 28-24 at home this season.
  • Pittsburgh is 26-26 on the road this season.
  • Both teams have been inconsistent in their recent outings, making the game unpredictable.
  • Yilber Diaz's ERA could be a concern against a potent Pirates lineup.

Weather

Mostly sunny with a high temperature of 101°F.

Prediction

Given the pitching matchup between Mitch Keller and Yilber Diaz, the Pirates hold a significant edge with Keller's strong season performance. The Diamondbacks, despite their offensive prowess, may struggle against Keller, who has held opponents to a low ERA. Therefore, the prediction leans toward the Pittsburgh Pirates to win this contest. The combination of their recent form and Keller's ability to limit runs makes them the favored team in this matchup.

Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates moneyline

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