MLB Moneyline Picks Tonight: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Pittsburgh Pirates 7/27
- Wolfeofbetting
- Jul 26, 2024, 11:51:24 PM
MLB Spread Advice: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Photo Credit: nan
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Game Summary
The Arizona Diamondbacks (53-50) will face off against the Pittsburgh Pirates (52-50) at Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona. With both teams holding similar records, this matchup is poised to be a competitive one. The Diamondbacks are coming off a series win against the Kansas City Royals, showing resilience and a strong offensive display. On the other hand, the Pirates have also shown good form, winning four of their last six games. The game promises to be a battle between Arizona's high-powered offense and Pittsburgh's solid pitching.
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Odds and Betting Lines
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over/Under | 8.5 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks Spread | -1.5 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates Spread | +1.5 |
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Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marco Gonzales (PIT) | 1-1 | 2.70 | 1.28 | 26.2 | 28 | 19 | 6 | 1 |
| Brandon Pfaadt (ARI) | 4-6 | 3.74 | 1.11 | 120.1 | 106 | 111 | 27 | 14 |
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Team Previews
Arizona Diamondbacks
Hitting: The Diamondbacks have been impressive at the plate, ranking 8th in hits (879) and 3rd in runs scored (509). Ketel Marte leads the team with a .296 batting average, while Christian Walker is the power hitter with 23 home runs and 70 RBIs.
Relief Pitching: Arizona's bullpen has been a mixed bag, ranked 21st in saves (23). Their overall ERA of 4.50 is a concern, placing them 26th in the league. Consistency has been an issue, and they will need to tighten up against a resilient Pirates lineup.
Fielding: The Diamondbacks have committed 42 errors, ranking 30th in the league. Fielding has been a problem, and they will need to improve their defensive play to support their pitchers.
Starting Pitchers: Brandon Pfaadt has had an up-and-down season with a 4-6 record and a 3.74 ERA. His WHIP of 1.11 and 111 strikeouts show his potential, but he needs to avoid giving up the long ball, having allowed 14 home runs this season.
Pittsburgh Pirates
Hitting: The Pirates' offense has struggled, ranking 25th in hits (800) and 23rd in runs (422). Oneil Cruz leads the team with a .250 average and 15 home runs, but the team needs more consistent production from its lineup.
Relief Pitching: Pittsburgh's bullpen has been solid, with 26 saves (13th in the league) and an ERA of 3.77, ranking them 11th. Their relievers have been a bright spot, often keeping them in games.
Fielding: The Pirates have committed 50 errors, ranking 20th in the league. While not the worst, they need to be more precise in the field to support their pitchers.
Starting Pitchers: Marco Gonzales has been reliable, with a 2.70 ERA and a WHIP of 1.28. He has shown good control and the ability to limit damage, which will be crucial against a strong Diamondbacks lineup.
Team Injuries
Arizona Diamondbacks
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Merrill Kelly | SP | Shoulder | Expected to be out until at least Aug 19 |
Pittsburgh Pirates
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rowdy Tellez | 1B | Back | Probable for Jul 27 |
| Ryan Borucki | RP | Wrist | Expected to be out until at least Aug 6 |
Betting Trends
- Diamondbacks are 53-50 on the season, with a 26-24 record at home.
- Pirates are 52-50, with a 26-26 road record.
- Diamondbacks have seen the over hit in 53 of their 103 games this season.
- Pirates have covered the spread in 57 of their 102 games.
Recent Games
Arizona Diamondbacks
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Chicago | W 5-2 | W |
| @ Chicago | W 3-0 | W |
| @ Chicago | L 2-1 F/10 | L |
| @ Kansas City | L 10-4 | L |
| @ Kansas City | W 6-2 | W |
Pittsburgh Pirates
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Philadelphia | W 8-7 | W |
| vs Philadelphia | W 4-1 | W |
| vs Philadelphia | L 6-0 | L |
| vs St. Louis | W 2-1 | W |
| vs St. Louis | L 2-1 | L |
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Team Rankings
| Category | Diamondbacks | Pirates |
|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 8th | 25th |
| Starting Pitching | 26th | 11th |
| Relief Pitching | 21st | 13th |
| Fielding | 30th | 20th |
Significant Betting Stats
- Arizona is 7-3 in their last 10 home games.
- Pittsburgh is 4-6 in their last 10 road games.
- Diamondbacks have hit the over in 53 games this season.
- Pirates have covered the spread in 57 of their games this season.
- Arizona's Brandon Pfaadt has a WHIP of 1.11, ranking him 44th among starting pitchers.
- Pittsburgh's Marco Gonzales has an ERA of 2.70.
- Arizona's bullpen ranks 21st in saves.
- Pittsburgh's bullpen ranks 13th in saves.
- Diamondbacks are 26-24 at home.
- Pirates are 26-26 on the road.
Weather
Mostly sunny with a high of 107°F.
Prediction
The Arizona Diamondbacks, with their strong offensive lineup and the home-field advantage, look poised to take this game. Brandon Pfaadt's ability to strike out batters and limit walks will be crucial against a struggling Pirates offense. On the other hand, Marco Gonzales has been effective but might find it challenging to contain the Diamondbacks' hitters. Considering the recent form and home advantage, the Diamondbacks are likely to cover the -1.5 spread.
Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks to cover -1.5
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