MLB Moneyline Picks Tonight: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Pittsburgh Pirates 7/27
- Lm Tipster
- Jul 26, 2024, 11:50:16 PM
Daily MLB Total Picks: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Pittsburgh Pirates
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Game Summary
The Arizona Diamondbacks will face off against the Pittsburgh Pirates at Chase Field on July 27. The Diamondbacks are coming into this game with a record of 53-50, while the Pirates hold a record of 52-50. Both teams have been performing relatively well recently, making this an intriguing matchup. Arizona's probable starting pitcher is Brandon Pfaadt, who has a 4-6 record and an ERA of 3.74. On the other hand, Pittsburgh will start Marco Gonzales, who holds a 1-1 record with an ERA of 2.70. This game will be crucial for both teams as they aim to improve their standings and make a push for the playoffs.
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Odds and Betting Lines
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over 8.5 | -105 |
| Under 8.5 | -115 |
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Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marco Gonzales (PIT) | 1-1 | 2.70 | 1.28 | 26.2 | 28 | 19 | 6 | 1 |
| Brandon Pfaadt (ARI) | 4-6 | 3.74 | 1.11 | 120.1 | 106 | 111 | 27 | 14 |
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Team Previews
Arizona Diamondbacks
Hitting: The Diamondbacks rank 8th in hits with 879 and 3rd in runs with 509. Ketel Marte leads the team with a .296 batting average, while Christian Walker has hit 23 home runs and driven in 70 runs.
Relief Pitching: The Diamondbacks bullpen has been inconsistent, ranking 26th in ERA at 4.50. They have 23 saves, tied for 21st in the league.
Fielding: Arizona has committed 42 errors, which ranks them 30th in the league.
Starting Pitchers: Brandon Pfaadt has been a solid starter for Arizona with a 3.74 ERA, 111 strikeouts, and a 1.11 WHIP over 120.1 innings.
Pittsburgh Pirates
Hitting: The Pirates have struggled offensively, ranking 25th in hits with 800 and 23rd in runs with 422. Oneil Cruz is a key player with a .250 batting average, 15 home runs, and 51 RBIs.
Relief Pitching: Pittsburgh’s bullpen has been better, ranking 11th in ERA at 3.77 with 26 saves, which is tied for 13th in the league.
Fielding: The Pirates have committed 50 errors, placing them 20th in the league.
Starting Pitchers: Marco Gonzales has been effective for the Pirates, posting a 2.70 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP over 26.2 innings.
Team Injuries
Arizona Diamondbacks
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Merrill Kelly | SP | Shoulder | Expected to be out until at least Aug 19 |
Pittsburgh Pirates
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rowdy Tellez | 1B | Back | Probable for Jul 27 |
| Ryan Borucki | RP | Wrist | Expected to be out until at least Aug 6 |
Betting Trends
- Diamondbacks are 5-2 in their last 7 games.
- Pirates are 4-3 in their last 7 games.
- Over is 4-1 in Diamondbacks' last 5 home games.
- Under is 5-2 in Pirates' last 7 games on the road.
Recent Games
Arizona Diamondbacks
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Chicago | W5-2 | W |
| @ Chicago | W3-0 | W |
| @ Chicago | L2-1 F/10 | L |
| @ Kansas City | L10-4 | L |
| @ Kansas City | W6-2 | W |
Pittsburgh Pirates
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Philadelphia | W8-7 | W |
| vs Philadelphia | W4-1 | W |
| vs Philadelphia | L6-0 | L |
| vs St. Louis | W2-1 | W |
| vs St. Louis | L2-1 | L |
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Team Rankings
| Category | Arizona Diamondbacks | Pittsburgh Pirates |
|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 8th | 25th |
| Starting Pitching | 26th | 11th |
| Relief Pitching | 21st | 13th |
| Fielding | 30th | 20th |
Significant Betting Stats
- Diamondbacks are 7-3 in their last 10 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 5-2 in Diamondbacks' last 7 games against a left-handed starter.
- Pirates are 4-1 in their last 5 games following a win.
- Under is 6-2 in Pirates' last 8 games following an off day.
- Diamondbacks are 5-1 in their last 6 games with the total set at 8.5 or higher.
- Under is 5-0 in Pirates' last 5 games with the total set at 8.5 or higher.
- Diamondbacks are 8-0 in their last 8 games against teams with a winning percentage below .500.
- Over is 4-1 in Diamondbacks' last 5 Friday games.
- Pirates are 3-8 in their last 11 road games.
- Under is 7-3 in Pirates' last 10 games against a right-handed starter.
Weather
Mostly sunny with a high of 107°F.
Prediction
Given the recent form of both teams and the starting pitching matchup, the total of 8.5 runs seems achievable. Brandon Pfaadt has been solid but has given up home runs, while Marco Gonzales has been effective but hasn't pitched many innings. The Diamondbacks have been strong offensively, and the Pirates have shown they can put up runs as well. The combination of these factors points towards a higher-scoring game.
Pick: Over 8.5 runs
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