MLB Moneyline Picks Today: Phillies vs Pirates - 7/19

- Lm Tipster
- Jul 18, 2024, 3:18:40 PM
© Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports
MLB Moneyline Picks Today: Philadelphia Phillies vs Pittsburgh Pirates - 7/19

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Game Summary
The Philadelphia Phillies will face off against the Pittsburgh Pirates on July 19 at PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. The Phillies, currently holding a 48-48 record, are looking to gain some momentum in the middle of the season. The Pirates, on the other hand, boast an impressive 62-34 record and are leading their division. This game will be crucial for both teams as they aim to solidify their standings.
The Phillies have had a mixed season so far, with a .231 batting average ranking 27th in the league. Their pitching has been more consistent, with a team ERA of 3.86, placing them 13th. Aaron Nola, their probable starting pitcher, has been a bright spot with an 11-4 record and a 3.38 ERA. However, the Phillies have struggled with injuries, particularly in their pitching staff, which could impact their performance.
The Pirates have been one of the standout teams this season. They rank 3rd in batting average (.259) and 2nd in team ERA (3.41). Their offensive firepower is led by Bryan Reynolds, who has a .284 average and 18 home runs. The Pirates' strong home record (37-16) makes them a formidable opponent at PNC Park. As they look to continue their dominant season, this game against the Phillies will be a test of their consistency and resilience.
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Odds and Betting Lines
| Bet Type | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over/Under | O/U 8.5 |
| Spread | Phillies -1.5 (+140) / Pirates +1.5 (-160) |
| Moneyline | Phillies -142 / Pirates +120 |
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Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Nola (PHI) | 11-4 | 3.38 | 116 |
| Undecided (PIT) | -- | -- | -- |
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Team Previews
Philadelphia Phillies
Hitting: The Phillies have struggled at the plate, averaging just .231 as a team, which ranks 27th in the league. Bryce Harper leads the team with a .301 average and 21 home runs.
Relief Pitching: The Phillies' bullpen has been inconsistent, with a team ERA of 3.86. They have 25 saves, ranking 14th in the league.
Fielding: The Phillies have committed 48 errors this season, which ties them for 18th in the league. Their fielding percentage is .984.
Starting Pitchers: Aaron Nola has been their ace with an 11-4 record and a 3.38 ERA. However, the team has been hit by injuries, with several key pitchers on the IL.
Pittsburgh Pirates
Hitting: The Pirates have been strong offensively, ranking 3rd in the league with a .259 average. Bryan Reynolds has been a key contributor with 18 home runs and a .284 average.
Relief Pitching: The Pirates have one of the best bullpens in the league, with a team ERA of 3.41 and 26 saves, ranking 9th.
Fielding: The Pirates have committed 56 errors this season, ranking them 9th in the league. Their fielding percentage is .986.
Starting Pitchers: The Pirates' starting rotation has been solid, contributing to their 3.41 team ERA, which is 2nd in the league. Their depth in pitching has been a significant factor in their success.
Team Injuries
Philadelphia Phillies
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zack Wheeler | SP | Back | Expected to be out until at least Jul 22 |
| Taijuan Walker | SP | Finger | Expected to be out until at least Aug 2 |
| J.T. Realmuto | C | Knee | Expected to be out until at least Jul 22 |
| Dylan Covey | RP | Shoulder | Expected to be out until at least Aug 2 |
| Luis Ortiz | RP | Elbow | Out for the season |
| Michael Rucker | RP | Hand | Expected to be out until at least Jul 19 |
| Ranger Suarez | SP | Back | Expected to be out until at least Jul 22 |
Pittsburgh Pirates
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Borucki | RP | Wrist | Expected to be out until at least Jul 19 |
Betting Trends
- Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Phillies are 5-2 in their last 7 road games.
- Phillies are 2-5 in their last 7 games following a loss.
- Pirates are 8-2 in their last 10 home games.
- Pirates are 6-1 in their last 7 games against a right-handed starter.
- Pirates are 13-3 in their last 16 games following a win.
Recent Games
Philadelphia Phillies
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| Miami Marlins | 4-5 | L |
| Miami Marlins | 7-5 | W |
| Miami Marlins | 6-4 | W |
| Washington Nationals | 3-4 | L |
| Washington Nationals | 5-4 | W |
Pittsburgh Pirates
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| St. Louis Cardinals | 3-2 | W |
| St. Louis Cardinals | 7-4 | W |
| St. Louis Cardinals | 5-3 | W |
| Milwaukee Brewers | 2-4 | L |
| Milwaukee Brewers | 5-2 | W |
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Team Rankings
| Category | Philadelphia Phillies | Pittsburgh Pirates |
|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 27th | 3rd |
| Starting Pitching | 13th | 2nd |
| Relief Pitching | 14th | 9th |
| Fielding | 18th | 9th |
Significant Betting Stats
- The Phillies are 8-2 in their last 10 games as a road favorite.
- The Phillies have gone Under in 6 of their last 8 games.
- The Pirates are 13-3 in their last 16 games following a win.
- The Pirates are 7-1 in their last 8 home games against right-handed starters.
- The Phillies are 1-4 in their last 5 games following a win.
- Pirates are 10-4 in their last 14 games against NL East opponents.
- Phillies have won 5 of their last 7 games against the Pirates.
- Phillies have won 4 of their last 5 games as favorites against the Pirates.
- Pirates are 8-2 in their last 10 home games with a total set at 8.5 or higher.
- Pirates are 5-0 in their last 5 games against teams with a .500 or better record.
Weather
Mostly sunny with a high temperature of 83°F. Weather Link
Prediction
Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates to win (+120)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have been dominant at home this season with a 37-16 record. Their offense, led by Bryan Reynolds, has been consistent, and their pitching staff has been one of the best in the league. The Phillies have struggled with injuries and have been inconsistent on the road. Aaron Nola has been solid, but the Pirates' depth and home advantage should give them the edge. Take the Pirates to win at +120.
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