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MLB Moneyline Bet Guide: Miami Marlins vs New York Mets

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Game Summary

The Miami Marlins will host the New York Mets at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida, on July 21. This game features two teams with contrasting fortunes this season. The Marlins, with an overall record of 34-63, are struggling at the bottom of the standings, particularly due to their poor offensive output and a high number of errors. Their home record of 19-31 also doesn't inspire much confidence.

On the other hand, the Mets have been relatively consistent with a 49-47 record. They have performed decently both at home and on the road. The Mets' offense, led by key players like Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso, has been in good form, as indicated by their 10th rank in batting average and 6th in runs scored. Their pitching staff, although not elite, has been reliable enough to keep them in contention.

Trevor Rogers will be the starting pitcher for the Marlins. Rogers has struggled this season, posting a 1-9 record with an ERA of 4.72. His high WHIP of 1.55 indicates control issues, which could be exploited by the Mets' potent lineup. For the Mets, Christian Scott will get the start. Scott has a 0-2 record with a 4.36 ERA. While his WHIP of 1.11 is respectable, he will need to be cautious against the Marlins' top hitters.

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Odds and Betting Lines

Market	Odds
Over/Under	8.5
Miami Marlins Spread	+1.5 (-110)
New York Mets Spread	-1.5 (-110)
Miami Marlins Moneyline	+126
New York Mets Moneyline	-148

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Pitching Probables

Player	W-L	ERA	Strikeouts	Walks	WHIP
Trevor Rogers (MIA)	1-9	4.72	79	44	1.55
Christian Scott (NYM)	0-2	4.36	35	10	1.11

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Team Previews

Miami Marlins

Hitting: The Marlins rank 24th in batting average (.234) and 29th in runs scored (342). Jazz Chisholm Jr. leads the team with a .251 average, while Bryan De La Cruz has been the primary power source with 16 home runs and 44 RBIs. The team's offensive struggles are a significant factor in their poor record.

Relief Pitching: The Marlins' bullpen has only 17 saves, ranking tied for 29th in the league. Their relievers have struggled to close out games, which has been detrimental to their overall performance.

Fielding: Miami has committed 67 errors, tying for the most in the league. This defensive instability has cost them crucial games and added pressure on their pitchers.

Starting Pitchers: Trevor Rogers' struggles are evident with his 1-9 record and 4.72 ERA. His high WHIP of 1.55 indicates that he allows too many baserunners, which the Mets will look to exploit.

New York Mets

Hitting: The Mets are much better offensively, ranking 10th in batting average (.250) and 6th in runs scored (469). Francisco Lindor leads the team with a .254 average, while Pete Alonso has been a powerhouse with 19 home runs and 63 RBIs. Their consistent hitting has been a key to their winning record.

Relief Pitching: The Mets' bullpen has secured 25 saves, ranking tied for 14th. Their relievers have been relatively effective in maintaining leads and closing out games.

Fielding: The Mets have committed 65 errors, ranking 3rd in the league. While not perfect, their defense has been more stable compared to the Marlins.

Starting Pitchers: Christian Scott, with a 4.36 ERA and a WHIP of 1.11, has shown promise. However, he needs to be wary of the Marlins' top hitters to ensure a solid outing.

Team Injuries

Miami Marlins

Player Name	Position	Injury	Injury Status
Braxton Garrett	SP	Forearm	Expected to be out until at least Aug 23
Dane Myers	RF	Ankle	Expected to be out until at least Sep 1

New York Mets

Player Name	Position	Injury	Injury Status
Kodai Senga	SP	Shoulder	Expected to be out until at least Jul 26
Sean Reid-Foley	RP	Shoulder	Expected to be out until at least Jul 29
Shintaro Fujinami	RP	Shoulder	Expected to be out until at least Jul 20

Betting Trends

• Marlins are 1-4 in their last 5 games at home.
• Mets are 3-2 in their last 5 games on the road.
• Marlins are 2-8 in Rogers' last 10 starts.
• Mets are 5-5 in their last 10 games overall.

Recent Games

Opponent	Score	W/L
vs New York Yankees	W 6-4	W
vs New York Yankees	L 2-4	L
vs Baltimore	L 3-5	L
@ Milwaukee	W 7-6	W
@ Milwaukee	L 1-4	L

Opponent	Score	W/L
@ Miami	L 4-6	L
@ San Diego	W 6-2	W
@ San Diego	L 1-3	L
vs Atlanta	W 5-3	W
vs Atlanta	L 2-5	L

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Team Rankings

Category	Miami Marlins	New York Mets
Hitting	24th	10th
Starting Pitching	27th	22nd
Relief Pitching	29th	14th
Fielding	1st	3rd

Significant Betting Stats

• The Mets are 5-5 in their last 10 games overall.
• The Marlins are 1-4 in their last 5 home games.
• The Mets have a 49-47 record this season.
• The Marlins have a 34-63 record this season.
• Trevor Rogers has a 1-9 record with a 4.72 ERA.
• Christian Scott has a 0-2 record with a 4.36 ERA.
• The Mets are 3-2 in their last 5 road games.
• The Marlins have a .234 team batting average.
• The Mets have a .250 team batting average.
• The Marlins have committed 67 errors this season.

Weather

The weather at loanDepot park is expected to be 90°F with intermittent clouds. As it is an indoor venue, weather conditions will not impact the game.

Prediction

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