MLB Moneyline Picks: Diamondbacks vs Cubs Prediction 7/21
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MLB Moneyline Picks: Diamondbacks vs Cubs Prediction 7/21

© Kamil Krzaczynski-USA TODAY Sports

 

 

MLB Moneyline Picks Tonight: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Chicago Cubs 7/21

 

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Game Summary

The Arizona Diamondbacks will face off against the Chicago Cubs on July 21 at Wrigley Field. This game is crucial for both teams as they aim to solidify their standings in the league. The Diamondbacks, currently with a record of 47-52, have been struggling to find their rhythm, especially on the road with a 22-30 record. On the other hand, the Cubs have a slightly better record at 50-48, with a balanced performance both at home (26-24) and away (24-24).

Arizona's pitching will be led by Shota Imanaga, who has been impressive with an 8-2 record and a 2.97 ERA. He'll be up against Brandon Pfaadt of the Cubs, who holds a 4-6 record with a 3.97 ERA. The Diamondbacks have shown some weaknesses in their hitting, ranked 22nd in batting average (.235), while the Cubs boast a stronger offense, ranked 5th in batting average (.255) and 2nd in runs scored (487).

The Cubs' defense, however, lags behind with an ERA of 4.54, placing them 26th, compared to the Diamondbacks' 10th place at 3.80. This game promises to be a competitive clash with strengths and weaknesses on both sides.

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Odds and Betting Lines

Market Odds
Over/Under 9.5
Diamondbacks Spread -1.5 (+145)
Cubs Spread +1.5 (-170)
Diamondbacks Moneyline -112
Cubs Moneyline -104

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Pitching Probables

Player W-L ERA Strikeouts
Shota Imanaga (ARI) 8-2 2.97 98
Brandon Pfaadt (CHC) 4-6 3.97 104

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Team Previews

Arizona Diamondbacks

Hitting: The Diamondbacks have struggled offensively, ranking 22nd in batting average (.235) and 17th in runs (417). Their leading hitter, Michael Busch, holds a .270 average, which is solid but not enough to carry the team. Christopher Morel leads the team with 18 home runs, while Ian Happ tops the RBI chart with 58 RBIs.

Relief Pitching: Arizona's bullpen has been average, with 22 saves (21st in the league). They need more consistency to close out games effectively.

Fielding: Defensively, the Diamondbacks have committed 53 errors, ranking them 13th. This solid performance in the field helps support their pitching staff.

Starting Pitchers: Shota Imanaga has been a standout with an 8-2 record and a 2.97 ERA. His consistency on the mound has been a bright spot for the team.

Chicago Cubs

Hitting: The Cubs boast a strong offense, ranking 5th in batting average (.255) and 2nd in runs (487). Ketel Marte leads with a .295 average, and Christian Walker tops the home run (22) and RBI (68) charts.

Relief Pitching: The Cubs' bullpen has struggled, with an ERA of 4.54, ranking 26th. Improvement is needed to support their starters.

Fielding: Defensively, the Cubs have committed 42 errors, ranking them 28th. This has been a significant weakness for the team.

Starting Pitchers: Brandon Pfaadt has shown potential with a 4-6 record and a 3.97 ERA. He needs more run support and defensive backing to improve his win-loss record.

Team Injuries

Arizona Diamondbacks

Player Position Injury Injury Status
Eduardo Rodriguez SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 16
Jordan Montgomery SP Knee Expected to be out until at least Jul 23

Chicago Cubs

Player Position Injury Injury Status
Julian Merryweather RP Ribs Expected to be out until at least Jul 26
Jordan Wicks SP Oblique Expected to be out until at least Aug 16
Ben Brown RP Neck Expected to be out until at least Aug 5

Betting Trends

  • The Diamondbacks are 5-5 in their last 10 games.
  • The Cubs are 6-4 in their last 10 games.
  • Arizona is 22-30 on the road this season.
  • Chicago is 26-24 at home this season.
  • The Diamondbacks have a team ERA of 3.80, ranked 10th in MLB.
  • The Cubs have a team batting average of .255, ranked 5th in MLB.
  • Arizona's bullpen has 22 saves, ranked 21st in MLB.
  • Chicago's bullpen has an ERA of 4.54, ranked 26th in MLB.
  • Arizona's Shota Imanaga has an 8-2 record with a 2.97 ERA.
  • Chicago's Brandon Pfaadt has a 4-6 record with a 3.97 ERA.

Recent Games

Arizona Diamondbacks

Opponent Score W/L
@ Chicago W 5-2 W
@ Chicago 7:15 PM Pending
@ Chicago 2:20 PM Pending
@ Kansas City 8:10 PM Pending
@ Kansas City 8:10 PM Pending

Chicago Cubs

Opponent Score W/L
vs Arizona L 2-5 L
vs Arizona 7:15 PM Pending
vs Arizona 2:20 PM Pending
vs Milwaukee 8:05 PM Pending
vs Milwaukee 8:05 PM Pending

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Team Rankings

Category Diamondbacks Cubs
Hitting 22nd 5th
Starting Pitching 10th 26th
Relief Pitching 21st 26th
Fielding 13th 28th

Significant Betting Stats

  • Diamondbacks are 22-30 on the road.
  • Cubs are 26-24 at home.
  • Diamondbacks' ERA is 3.80, ranked 10th.
  • Cubs' batting average is .255, ranked 5th.
  • Diamondbacks' bullpen has 22 saves, ranked 21st.
  • Cubs' bullpen ERA is 4.54, ranked 26th.
  • Shota Imanaga has an 8-2 record with a 2.97 ERA.
  • Brandon Pfaadt has a 4-6 record with a 3.97 ERA.
  • Diamondbacks rank 17th in runs scored (417).
  • Cubs rank 2nd in runs scored (487).

Weather

Intermittent clouds with a temperature of 77°F. Weather Details

Prediction

Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks Moneyline (-112)

The Arizona Diamondbacks have a slight edge in this matchup, largely due to the strong performance of their starting pitcher, Shota Imanaga, who boasts an impressive 8-2 record with a 2.97 ERA. Although the Cubs have a potent offense, their pitching and fielding have been inconsistent. The Diamondbacks' relatively better pitching and fielding stats, combined with Imanaga's form, make them a solid pick for this game.

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