MLB Moneyline Matchups: Cincinnati Reds vs Miami Marlins 7/13

 

Photo Credit: © Katie Stratman-USA TODAY Sports

 

Game Summary

On July 13, 2024, the Cincinnati Reds will face off against the Miami Marlins at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio. This matchup features two teams at different ends of the standings. The Reds are hovering around the middle of the pack with a 45-49 record, while the Marlins are struggling with a 32-61 record. Both teams are looking to improve their standings as the season progresses.

The Reds have shown flashes of brilliance this season, especially with the emergence of their young talent. Andrew Abbott will take the mound for the Reds, who has been a solid performer with a 9-6 record and a 3.06 ERA. On the other side, Edward Cabrera will start for the Marlins, holding a 1-2 record with a 6.84 ERA. This game promises to be an exciting contest with both teams looking to make a statement.

Historically, the Reds have had the upper hand in this matchup, especially at home. However, the Marlins will be eager to turn their season around and will look to capitalize on any mistakes by the Reds. The game will be played under mostly sunny skies with a temperature of 91°F, which could make it a high-scoring affair.

 

Odds and Betting Lines

Market	Odds
Over/Under	O/U 9.5
Cincinnati Reds Spread	-1.5 (+110)
Miami Marlins Spread	+1.5 (-130)
Cincinnati Reds Moneyline	-155
Miami Marlins Moneyline	+142

 

Pitching Probables

Player	W-L	ERA	Strikeouts
Andrew Abbott (CIN)	9-6	3.06	82
Edward Cabrera (MIA)	1-2	6.84	35

 

Team Previews

Cincinnati Reds

Hitting: The Reds have a team batting average of .230, which ranks 26th in the league. The standout hitters include Jonathan India with a .276 average and Elly De La Cruz leading the team with 15 home runs. Spencer Steer has been a key contributor with 59 RBIs.

Relief Pitching: The Reds bullpen has managed 21 saves, ranking them tied for 20th in the league. Their ERA stands at 3.81, placing them 12th overall.

Fielding: The Reds have committed 57 errors, ranking 5th in the league. This indicates a fairly solid defensive lineup.

Starting Pitchers: Andrew Abbott has been a reliable starter, boasting a 3.06 ERA and 82 strikeouts over 103 innings pitched. His performance will be crucial for the Reds in this matchup.

 

Miami Marlins

Hitting: The Marlins have struggled offensively with a team batting average of .231, which ranks 25th in the league. Jazz Chisholm Jr. leads the team with a .255 average, while Bryan De La Cruz has been a power threat with 16 home runs and 44 RBIs.

Relief Pitching: The Marlins bullpen has recorded only 15 saves, ranking last in the league. Their ERA of 4.54 places them 27th overall, indicating struggles in closing out games.

Fielding: Fielding has been a significant issue for the Marlins, with 64 errors, ranking 2nd worst in the league.

Starting Pitchers: Edward Cabrera has had a tough season so far, with a 6.84 ERA and 35 strikeouts over 25 innings pitched. His performance will need to improve to give the Marlins a chance in this game.

 

Team Injuries

Cincinnati Reds

Player Name	Position	Injury	Injury Status
Graham Ashcraft	SP	Elbow	Expected to be out until at least Sep 1

 

Miami Marlins

Player Name	Position	Injury	Injury Status
Otto Lopez	2B	Back	Expected to be out until at least Jul 12

 

Betting Trends

• The Reds are 7-3 in their last 10 home games.
• The Reds are 5-5 in their last 10 games overall.
• The Marlins are 2-8 in their last 10 road games.
• The Marlins are 3-7 in their last 10 games overall.
• The total has gone over in 6 of the Reds' last 10 home games.
• The total has gone under in 4 of the Marlins' last 10 road games.

 

Recent Games

Cincinnati Reds

Opponent	Score	W/L
vs Colorado	W 8-1	W
vs Colorado	L 6-5	L
vs Colorado	W 12-6	W
vs Colorado	W 6-0	W
vs Detroit	L 5-1	L

 

Miami Marlins

Opponent	Score	W/L
@ Houston	L 6-3	L
@ Houston	L 9-1	L
@ Houston	L 4-3	L
vs Chicago	W 7-4	W
vs Chicago	W 4-3	W

 

Team Rankings

Category	Cincinnati Reds	Miami Marlins
Hitting	26th	25th
Starting Pitching	15th	27th
Relief Pitching	12th	30th
Fielding	5th	2nd

 

Significant Betting Stats

• The Reds are 45-49 on the moneyline this season.
• The Reds are 53-41 against the spread this season.
• The Marlins are 32-61 on the moneyline this season.
• The Marlins are 41-52 against the spread this season.
• The Reds have a 41-49-4 record on totals this season.
• The Marlins have a 48-42-3 record on totals this season.
• The Reds are 23-27 at home this season.
• The Marlins are 18-31 on the road this season.
• The Reds have a team ERA of 3.81, ranking 12th in the league.
• The Marlins have a team ERA of 4.54, ranking 27th in the league.

 

Weather

Mostly sunny with a high of 91°F

 

Prediction

The Cincinnati Reds have the advantage in this matchup with their stronger pitching and slightly better offensive numbers. Andrew Abbott has been reliable on the mound, and the Reds' bullpen has been effective in closing out games. The Marlins have struggled both at home and on the road, and their pitching staff has been inconsistent. Given the Reds' home field advantage and the pitching matchup, the smart pick here is to go with the Cincinnati Reds on the moneyline.