MLB Moneyline Guide: Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds
- A Plus Picks
- Jul 29, 2024, 4:20:36 PM
Game Summary
The Chicago Cubs are set to face off against the Cincinnati Reds on July 30 at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio. This matchup features two teams that are looking to gain momentum as the season progresses. The Cubs enter the game with a record of 50-56, sitting 4th in the National League Central, while the Reds boast a slightly better record of 51-56, placing them 3rd in the same division. The Cubs have struggled on the road, holding a 25-27 record away from home, while the Reds have performed decently at home with a 27-25 record.
In terms of recent form, the Cubs have won their last two games, showcasing a strong offensive display along with solid pitching, whereas the Reds have had a mixed bag of results but have shown resilience, winning their last game against the Tampa Bay Rays. The starting pitchers for this game will be Frankie Montas for the Cubs and Justin Steele for the Reds. Montas has had a challenging season with a 4-8 record and an ERA of 5.01, while Steele has been more effective with a 2-4 record and a solid 3.08 ERA. The pitching matchup could be a key factor in determining the outcome of this game.
As both teams look to improve their standings in the competitive NL Central, this game holds significant importance. The Cubs will aim to leverage their recent successes, while the Reds will look to capitalize on home-field advantage. Fans can expect a thrilling encounter as both teams battle for crucial wins.
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Odds and Betting Lines
| Bet Type | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over/Under | Not Available |
| Chicago Cubs Spread | -1.5 |
| Cincinnati Reds Spread | +1.5 |
| Chicago Cubs Moneyline | -134 |
| Cincinnati Reds Moneyline | +114 |
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Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Steele (CIN) | 2-4 | 3.08 | 1.06 | 96.1 | 79 | 91 | 23 | 8 |
| Frankie Montas (CHC) | 4-8 | 5.01 | 1.44 | 93.1 | 93 | 78 | 41 | 14 |
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Team Previews
Chicago Cubs
The Chicago Cubs have had a challenging season thus far, characterized by inconsistent performances. With a team batting average of .228 and ranked 28th in hits with 785, their offense has struggled to produce runs, evident in their total of 460 runs scored this season. Their pitching staff, however, has shown some promise, particularly with an ERA of 3.83, ranking them 11th in the league. The Cubs' relief pitching has been effective, but they need to reduce their 65 errors, which ranks 4th in the league, to stay competitive in the tightly contested NL Central.
Cincinnati Reds
The Cincinnati Reds, on the other hand, have displayed a more balanced performance this season. With a batting average of .233, they rank 24th in the league but have managed to score 440 runs, placing them 22nd. Their pitching has been a strong point, boasting a 3.72 ERA that ranks 6th in MLB, showcasing their ability to limit opponents’ scoring. They also have a solid relief pitching corps and a better error rate than the Cubs, with 53 errors to date. The Reds will need to capitalize on their home advantage to secure a win against the Cubs and improve their standings.
Team Injuries
Chicago Cubs
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Kilian | RP | Shoulder | Expected to be out until at least Jul 29 |
Cincinnati Reds
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Maile | C | Back | Expected to be out until at least Jul 29 |
| Austin Wynns | C | Shoulder | Expected to be out until at least Sep 1 |
| Peyton Burdick | RF | Undisclosed | Expected to be out until at least Jul 29 |
| Graham Ashcraft | SP | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Sep 17 |
| Carson Spiers | SP | Shoulder | Expected to be out until at least Jul 29 |
Betting Trends
- The Cubs are 48-58 against the spread this season.
- The Reds have a 57-47 record against the spread.
- Chicago Cubs have lost 9 of their last 11 games.
- Cincinnati Reds are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
- The total has gone over in 5 of the Cubs' last 7 games.
Recent Games
Chicago Cubs
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Arizona | L 5-2 | L |
| vs Arizona | L 3-0 | L |
| vs Arizona | W 2-1 | W |
| vs Milwaukee | W 3-1 | W |
| vs Milwaukee | L 1-0 | L |
Cincinnati Reds
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Washington | L 8-5 | L |
| @ Washington | L 5-4 | L |
| @ Washington | L 5-2 | L |
| @ Atlanta | W 4-1 | W |
| @ Atlanta | W 9-4 | W |
Team Rankings
| Team | Hitting | Starting Pitching | Relief Pitching | Fielding |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Cubs | 28th | 11th | 24th | 4th |
| Cincinnati Reds | 24th | 6th | 22nd | 19th |
Significant Betting Stats
- The Cubs are 15-33 in their last 48 road games.
- The Reds are 4-1 in their last 5 games against a right-handed starter.
- Cubs have lost 9 of their last 11 games against teams with a losing record.
- The total has gone over in 5 of the Cubs' last 7 games.
- The Reds are 6-2 in their last 8 games following a win.
- Cubs are 8-20 in their last 28 games against the NL Central.
- The total has gone over in 4 of the Reds' last 5 games against the NL Central.
- Reds are 5-1 in their last 6 games against teams with a losing record.
- Cubs are 1-5 in their last 6 games on grass.
- The total has gone over in 4 of the Reds' last 5 games at home.
Weather
Thunderstorms, Temperature: 85°F
Prediction
Pick: Cincinnati Reds Moneyline (+114)
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