MLB Moneyline Game Picks: Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers
- Big Ben Profits
- Jul 28, 2024, 12:06:13 AM
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MLB Moneyline Game Picks: Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers
Game Summary
The Miami Marlins will face off against the Milwaukee Brewers on July 28 at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. The Marlins currently hold a strong record of 59-45, placing them among the competitive teams in the National League, especially with a solid away record of 30-26. They have shown resilience and skill, particularly in their recent games, where they have demonstrated their ability to score runs and maintain a low ERA of 3.72.
On the other hand, the Milwaukee Brewers are struggling this season with a record of 39-66. Their performance has been disappointing, especially with a home record of 22-34. They have had difficulties in both hitting and pitching, reflected in their team statistics, including a low batting average of .236 and an ERA of 4.48. This matchup is crucial for the Brewers as they continue to seek improvements to salvage their season.
Both teams have recently met in a series where the Brewers have struggled against the Marlins, losing the last two games. As they prepare for this encounter, the Brewers will need to address their recent form and leverage home-field advantage to make a comeback.
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Odds and Betting Lines
| Bet Type | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over/Under | Not available |
| Miami Marlins Spread | +1.5 |
| Milwaukee Brewers Spread | -1.5 |
| Miami Marlins Moneyline | +176 |
| Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline | -210 |
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Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Tyler (MIL) | 0-1 | 3.92 | 1.45 | 20.2 | 20 | 15 | 10 | 1 |
| Tobias Myers (MIA) | 6-4 | 3.14 | 1.15 | 77.1 | 67 | 68 | 22 | 11 |
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Team Previews
Miami Marlins
The Miami Marlins come into this game with a solid lineup, showcasing a .254 batting average with 890 hits this season, ranking them 6th in MLB. Their offensive strength is highlighted by key players like William Contreras, who leads in batting average with .288, and Rhys Hoskins, who has hit 17 home runs. The Marlins are also supported by a strong bullpen, ranking 3rd in saves with 35. On the pitching side, Tobias Myers has shown consistency with a 3.14 ERA, making him a formidable opponent for the Brewers.
Milwaukee Brewers
The Milwaukee Brewers are currently facing challenges both at the plate and on the mound. They rank 29th in runs scored, with only 374 runs this season, and have a batting average of .236. Bryan De La Cruz leads the team with 18 home runs but struggles to find consistency across the lineup. The pitching staff, led by Kyle Tyler, has an ERA of 4.48, which ranks 25th in the league. The Brewers will need to find ways to capitalize on home games to improve their standings.
Team Injuries
Miami Marlins
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eury Perez | SP | Elbow | Out for the season |
| Josh Simpson | RP | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Aug 8 |
Milwaukee Brewers
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Chourio | RF | Ear | Probable for Jul 28 |
| Bryan Hudson | RP | Oblique | Expected to be out until at least Aug 8 |
Betting Trends
- The Miami Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
- The Milwaukee Brewers are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
- Marlins have covered the spread in 5 of their last 7 games.
- Brewers are 1-6 in their last 7 home games.
Recent Games
Miami Marlins Recent Games
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs New York | W 6-4 | W |
| vs New York | L 0-1 | L |
| vs New York | W 4-2 | W |
| vs Baltimore | W 6-3 | W |
| vs Baltimore | W 6-3 | W |
Milwaukee Brewers Recent Games
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Miami | L 6-2 | L |
| vs Miami | L 7-3 | L |
| @ Chicago | L 3-1 | L |
| @ Chicago | W 1-0 | W |
| @ Chicago | W 3-2 | W |
Team Rankings
| Team | Hitting | Starting Pitching | Relief Pitching | Fielding |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Marlins | 6th | 6th | 3rd | Tied-14th |
| Milwaukee Brewers | 20th | 25th | Tied-27th | 1st |
Significant Betting Stats
- Marlins are 8-2 in their last 10 games against teams with a losing record.
- Brewers are 1-5 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Marlins have a 3.72 ERA, ranking them 6th in MLB.
- Brewers' batting average is .236, ranking them 20th.
- Marlins cover the spread 61% of the time when playing against teams under .500.
- Brewers have lost 4 of their last 5 games overall.
- Marlins score an average of 4.8 runs per game, ranking them 8th.
- Brewers allow an average of 4.5 runs per game, ranking them 25th.
- Marlins are 6-1 in their last 7 games against the Brewers.
- Brewers are 1-4 in their last 5 games following a loss.
Weather
The weather for the game day is expected to be mostly sunny with a temperature around 82°F.
Prediction
Given the current form of both teams, the Miami Marlins are favored to win this matchup. With Tobias Myers on the mound, who has demonstrated solid performance with a 3.14 ERA and strong strikeout numbers, the Marlins are well-positioned to take advantage of a struggling Brewers team. Milwaukee's Kyle Tyler has shown vulnerability, and the Marlins' offense is capable of exploiting that. Therefore, the recommendation is to bet on the Miami Marlins to win.
Pick: Miami Marlins moneyline (+176)
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