MLB Moneyline Expert Picks: Colorado Rockies vs New York Mets - 8/7

- Big Ben Profits
- Aug 6, 2024, 3:36:18 PM
MLB Moneyline Expert Picks: Colorado Rockies vs New York Mets - 8/7
Photo Credit: nan
Game Summary
The Colorado Rockies face off against the New York Mets on August 7th at Coors Field in Denver, Colorado. The Rockies, currently struggling with a record of 41-72, are looking to end their season on a high note. They have shown some resilience recently, winning two of their last three games, including a surprising 20-7 victory over the Boston Red Sox. However, overall, their performance has been inconsistent, particularly on the mound, where they rank last in the league with an ERA of 5.50.
The Mets, on the other hand, sit with a more respectable record of 59-53 and are in contention for a playoff spot. They have demonstrated stronger pitching and hitting stats, ranking 7th in runs scored this season with 543. Their starting pitcher, Paul Blackburn, has been a key part of their success, boasting a solid 4.11 ERA and 5 wins on the season. The Mets are coming off a series of mixed results, but they are expected to capitalize on their advantages against a struggling Rockies team.
Historically, the Rockies have had a tough time against the Mets in recent matchups, which adds an extra layer of difficulty for Colorado as they try to find their footing. With the game set at Coors Field, known for its high-scoring games due to the altitude, fans can expect an exciting matchup with plenty of action.
Odds and Betting Lines
| Betting Type | Odds |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Colorado Rockies: +126 |
| New York Mets: -148 | |
| Spread | Colorado Rockies: +1.5 |
| New York Mets: -1.5 | |
| Over/Under | 9.5 Runs |
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Blackburn (NYM) | 5-2 | 4.11 | 1.18 | 57.0 | 51 | 44 | 16 | 8 |
| Ryan Feltner (COL) | 1-10 | 4.97 | 1.41 | 121.1 | 132 | 106 | 39 | 17 |
Team Previews
Colorado Rockies
The Rockies have had a tough season, ranking at the bottom of several statistical categories including ERA (5.50) and wins (41). Their hitting has not been enough to compensate for their pitching woes, as they sit 18th in the league with 477 runs scored. Key players like Ezequiel Tovar, who boasts a .280 batting average, and Michael Toglia with 19 home runs, have shown flashes of potential. However, their overall performance has been inconsistent.
In terms of relief pitching, the Rockies have struggled, ranking near the bottom in save conversions. This has put additional pressure on their starters, particularly Ryan Feltner, who has had a dismal record of 1-10 this season. His high WHIP of 1.41 indicates that he allows too many baserunners, which could be detrimental against a potent Mets lineup.
New York Mets
The Mets have maintained a competitive edge this season, highlighted by their 59-53 record. Their offense has been a strong point, with a team batting average of .249 and 543 runs scored. Star players like Francisco Lindor (.253 avg, 23 HRs) and Pete Alonso (23 HRs, 65 RBIs) are crucial to their offensive strategy.
On the pitching front, Paul Blackburn has been solid, with a 4.11 ERA and a good strikeout rate. The Mets' bullpen has also performed admirably, with a save conversion rate that keeps them in games late. This combination of hitting and pitching gives the Mets a distinct advantage coming into this matchup.
Team Injuries
Colorado Rockies
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Blackmon | DH | Head | Probable for Aug 6 |
| German Marquez | SP | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Aug 14 |
| Nolan Jones | LF | Back | Expected to be out until at least Aug 6 |
New York Mets
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Vientos | 3B | Ankle | Probable for Aug 6 |
Betting Trends
- The Rockies are 2-8 in their last 10 games overall.
- The Mets are 7-3 in their last 10 games against the Rockies.
- Colorado has lost 5 straight games at home.
- New York is 6-4 against the spread in their last 10 games.
- The total has gone over in 6 of Colorado's last 8 games.
Recent Games
Colorado Rockies Recent Games
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs San Francisco | W 7-3 | W |
| vs San Francisco | W 4-3 | W |
| vs Boston | L 3-2 | L |
| vs Boston | W 9-8 F/12 | W |
| vs Boston | L 6-0 | L |
New York Mets Recent Games
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Miami | L 6-4 | L |
| @ Miami | W 1-0 | W |
| @ Miami | L 4-2 | L |
| @ Miami | W 6-4 | W |
| @ New York | W 3-2 | W |
Team Rankings
| Team | Hitting | Starting Pitching | Relief Pitching | Fielding |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rockies | 18th | 30th | 22nd | Tied-21st |
| New York Mets | 12th | 19th | Tied-9th | 3rd |
Significant Betting Stats
- The Rockies are 5-15 in their last 20 games overall.
- The Mets are 4-1 in their last 5 games against teams with a losing record.
- The Rockies are 1-6 in their last 7 home games.
- The Mets have won 4 of their last 5 road games.
- Colorado is 1-4 in their last 5 vs. a right-handed starter.
- The Mets are 10-3 in their last 13 games against the National League West.
- The total has gone over in 4 of the Rockies' last 5 games.
- New York is 8-2 in their last 10 games against Colorado.
- Paul Blackburn has a 2.86 ERA in his last 5 starts.
- Ryan Feltner has allowed 3 or more runs in 9 of his last 10 starts.
Weather
Thunderstorms, temperature at 84°F.
Prediction
Given the current form of both teams, the New York Mets have a significant advantage over the Colorado Rockies. The Rockies are struggling with consistency, particularly in their pitching, which has been one of the worst in the league. Ryan Feltner’s high ERA and loss record highlight these issues. Meanwhile, Paul Blackburn has been a steady presence for the Mets, and their offensive capabilities make them a formidable opponent.
The combination of the Rockies' pitching struggles and the Mets' offensive depth suggests that the Mets will likely win this matchup. Additionally, the weather conditions at Coors Field often lead to higher scoring games. Therefore, the pick leans toward the Mets to win and potentially over on the total runs.
Pick: New York Mets moneyline


