Kingpin analysis
MLB Best Bets and Player Props for July 24, 2025
MLB Best Bets and Player Props for July 24, 2025
Thursday’s MLB slate presents great opportunities for value. We’ve analyzed each matchup and selected our favorite best bets and player props for the day.
Orioles vs. Guardians 🏟️
Time: 10:10 AM ET | Venue: Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
Starting Pitchers: Charlie Morton (BAL) vs. Logan Allen (CLE)
✅ Guardians ML (-120)
Charlie Morton has been hittable all season with a bloated 5.58 ERA. Allen, despite an up-and-down year, is more dependable and has the edge with Cleveland's solid bullpen support.
🔹 Logan Allen Over 4.5 Strikeouts
The Orioles strike out at a high rate against lefties, and Allen has surpassed this line in three straight home starts.
Blue Jays vs. Tigers ⚾
Time: 3:40 PM ET | Venue: Comerica Park, Detroit, MI
Starting Pitchers: Eric Lauer (TOR) vs. Reese Olson (DET)
✅ Under 8.5 Runs
Two quality arms on the mound and a pitcher-friendly ballpark set the stage for a low-scoring affair. Both Lauer and Olson are capable of shutting down these lineups.
🔹 Eric Lauer Over 5.5 Strikeouts
Detroit ranks near the bottom of MLB in strikeouts vs. left-handers. Lauer should take advantage of their weaknesses.
Padres vs. Cardinals 🔥
Time: 4:45 PM ET | Venue: Busch Stadium, St. Louis, MO
Starting Pitchers: Yu Darvish (SD) vs. Sonny Gray (STL)
✅ Cardinals ML (-135)
Darvish has not looked right, entering this game with a concerning 6.08 ERA. Sonny Gray has been strong at home and should lead the Cards to a win.
🔹 Paul Goldschmidt Over 1.5 Total Bases
Goldy matches up well against Darvish and thrives in home games vs right-handed pitching.
Athletics vs. Astros 🚀
Time: 5:10 PM ET | Venue: Daikin Park, Houston, TX
Starting Pitchers: Luis Severino (OAK) vs. Joey Alexander (HOU)
✅ Over 9.5 Runs
This matchup features two vulnerable pitchers. Severino has struggled all year, and Alexander’s inflated ERA suggests more offensive fireworks in Houston.
🔹 Kyle Tucker to Hit a Home Run
Tucker excels against right-handed pitching and has homered in 3 of his last 6 games. This is a juicy spot.
Mariners vs. Angels 🌊👼
Time: 6:38 PM ET | Venue: Angel Stadium, Anaheim, CA
Starting Pitchers: Levi Evans (SEA) vs. Yusei Kikuchi (LAA)
✅ Mariners ML (EVEN)
The Angels have struggled against righties and Seattle’s bullpen has the edge late. Evans has shown poise on the road and provides value here.
🔹 Julio Rodríguez Over 1.5 Hits + RBIs
J-Rod is coming off a 4-hit game and has had success against left-handed pitchers like Kikuchi. Expect him to stay hot.
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Simulated results. Entertainment only. Gambling involves risk.Simulated results for entertainment. Gambling involves risk. Bet only where legal.
