MLB Best Bets and Player Props for Friday, July 11, 2025

Get expert analysis, predictions, and one player prop for every MLB game on the slate for July 11, 2025. Each pick is based on pitching matchups, offensive trends, and recent team performances.

 

Cubs vs Yankees

Pick: Yankees ML -185

Explanation: Despite Flexen's impressive ERA, Rodon and the Yankees are too strong at home. Expect their bats to capitalize.

Player Prop: Aaron Judge Over 1.5 Total Bases

Guardians vs White Sox (Game 1)

Pick: Guardians ML -125

Explanation: Logan Allen has the edge over Smith, and the Guardians' lineup has produced well in day games.

Player Prop: Jose Ramirez to Record an RBI

Marlins vs Orioles

Pick: Orioles ML -130

Explanation: Kremer has pitched better at home and faces a Marlins team that struggles against right-handers.

Player Prop: Adley Rutschman Over 0.5 RBIs

Rockies vs Reds

Pick: Reds -215

Explanation: Marquez has been shelled on the road. The Reds’ offense feasts at home.

Player Prop: Elly De La Cruz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs

Mariners vs Tigers

Pick: Tigers ML -210

Explanation: Skubal is in Cy Young form. Seattle's offense has been cold.

Player Prop: Tarik Skubal Over 6.5 Strikeouts

Rays vs Red Sox

Pick: Rays ML

Explanation: Rasmussen gives Tampa the edge. Boston’s rookie Dobbins is still finding his footing.

Player Prop: Randy Arozarena Over 1.5 Total Bases

Guardians vs White Sox (Game 2)

Pick: Guardians ML -150

Explanation: Gavin Williams should dominate a weak Sox lineup in the second half of the doubleheader.

Player Prop: Steven Kwan to Score a Run

Mets vs Royals

Pick: Mets ML -150

Explanation: Senga is dominant, and the Royals have been inconsistent offensively.

Player Prop: Pete Alonso to Hit a Home Run

Pirates vs Twins

Pick: Twins ML -125

Explanation: Ryan has been solid all year. Expect him to contain the Pirates’ lineup.

Player Prop: Joe Ryan Over 5.5 Strikeouts

Rangers vs Astros

Pick: Astros ML -135

Explanation: Houston's home dominance continues against a struggling Rangers team.

Player Prop: Yordan Alvarez Over 1.5 Total Bases

Nationals vs Brewers

Pick: Brewers ML -185

Explanation: Milwaukee is dominant at home, and Priester should handle Washington’s lineup.

Player Prop: Christian Yelich Over 0.5 RBIs

Braves vs Cardinals

Pick: Cardinals ML -120

Explanation: Liberatore gives the Cards a slight edge at home in what should be a close game.

Player Prop: Nolan Arenado Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs

Diamondbacks vs Angels

Pick: Diamondbacks ML -125

Explanation: Nelson has been steady, while Anderson has struggled with command.

Player Prop: Ketel Marte to Record a Hit

Phillies vs Padres

Pick: Phillies ML -165

Explanation: Suarez is elite this season and should overpower a young Padres lineup.

Player Prop: Bryce Harper to Hit a Double

Blue Jays vs Athletics

Pick: Blue Jays ML -155

Explanation: Scherzer returns with vengeance. The A’s offense is among the worst in MLB.

Player Prop: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 Total Bases

Dodgers vs Giants

Pick: Giants ML -135

Explanation: Webb is one of the best home pitchers in the league. Dodgers struggle at Oracle Park.

Player Prop: Logan Webb Over 5.5 Strikeouts

>