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MLB Best Bets & Player Props for August 26, 2025
MLB Best Bets & Player Props – Tuesday, August 26, 2025
Breaking down today’s slate with betting picks and prop analysis for the key matchups.
Nationals vs. Yankees
Matchup: Washington (53-78) at New York (71-60) – Yankee Stadium
Probable Pitchers: MacKenzie Gore (WSH, 5-12, 4.11) vs. Luis Gil (NYY, 1-1, 4.26)
Best Bet
Yankees -180 ML
New York’s offense at home is a major edge against Gore, who has struggled with command. Gil’s upside plays well against a Nationals lineup lacking power.
Prop Play
Aaron Judge Over 1.5 Total Bases – Judge’s matchup vs. Gore’s fastball/slider combo sets up for hard contact at Yankee Stadium.
Red Sox vs. Orioles
Matchup: Boston (72-60) at Baltimore (60-71) – Camden Yards
Probable Pitchers: Lucas Giolito (BOS, 8-2, 3.72) vs. Kyle Bradish (BAL)
Best Bet
Under 8.5 Runs
Giolito’s control and Baltimore’s inconsistent offense point to a low-scoring affair. Bradish, when healthy, keeps the ball in the park at home.
Prop Play
Rafael Devers Over 0.5 RBI – If Boston puts runners on, Devers has been their most consistent run producer.
Braves vs. Marlins
Matchup: Atlanta (59-72) at Miami (62-69) – loanDepot Park
Probable Pitchers: Hurston Waldrep (ATL, 4-0, 0.73) vs. Sandy Alcantara (MIA, 7-11, 6.04)
Best Bet
Braves -120 ML
Waldrep’s dominance in his first starts gives Atlanta the clear edge. Alcantara has been hittable and Miami’s bullpen adds risk late.
Prop Play
Matt Olson To Hit a HR – Alcantara’s struggles with lefty power hitters make Olson a strong long-ball candidate.
Rays vs. Guardians
Matchup: Tampa Bay (64-67) at Cleveland (64-66) – Progressive Field
Probable Pitchers: Shane Baz (TB, 8-10, 5.22) vs. Patrick Messick (CLE, 0-0, 1.35)
Best Bet
Guardians -125 ML
Baz has been inconsistent, while Messick offers promise against a Rays lineup that struggles on the road.
Prop Play
José Ramírez Over 1.5 Total Bases – Ramirez remains the heart of Cleveland’s offense and matches up well against Baz’s mistakes.
Twins vs. Blue Jays
Matchup: Minnesota (59-72) at Toronto (77-55) – Rogers Centre
Probable Pitchers: Bailey Ober (MIN, 4-7, 5.05) vs. Chris Bassitt (TOR, 11-7, 4.18)
Best Bet
Blue Jays -175 ML
Bassitt has been reliable at home, while Ober has struggled with command, giving Toronto the advantage.
Prop Play
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 HR – Facing Ober, who has been prone to giving up homers, Guerrero has strong upside.
Phillies vs. Mets
Matchup: Philadelphia (76-55) at New York (70-61) – Citi Field
Probable Pitchers: Jesús Luzardo (PHI, 12-6, 4.10) vs. Sean Manaea (NYM, 1-2, 5.15)
Best Bet
Phillies -110 ML
Luzardo’s swing-and-miss ability is key against a Mets lineup that can strike out in bunches. Manaea hasn’t been sharp in 2025.
Prop Play
Bryce Harper Over 1.5 Total Bases – Harper thrives against lefties with diminished velocity like Manaea.
Diamondbacks vs. Brewers
Matchup: Arizona (64-68) at Milwaukee (82-50) – American Family Field
Probable Pitchers: Brandon Pfaadt (ARI, 12-8, 4.95) vs. Jacob Misiorowski (MIL, 4-2, 4.19)
Best Bet
Brewers -160 ML
Milwaukee’s lineup and bullpen depth support Misiorowski, while Pfaadt has been inconsistent on the road.
Prop Play
Christian Yelich Over 0.5 RBI – With Milwaukee’s offense surging, Yelich remains a run-production anchor.
Royals vs. White Sox
Matchup: Kansas City (67-65) at Chicago (48-83) – Rate Field
Probable Pitchers: Michael Lorenzen (KC, 5-8, 4.50) vs. Martin Perez (CHW, 1-3, 2.51)
Best Bet
Royals -125 ML
Kansas City’s offense has been stronger of late, and Perez’s early-season numbers may not hold against righty-heavy KC lineup.
Prop Play
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 1.5 Total Bases – Witt has been Kansas City’s spark and should produce against Perez.
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