MLB Against the Spread: Rockies vs Mets 7/13

- Big Ben Profits
- Jul 12, 2024, 7:48:57 PM
MLB Against the Spread: Colorado Rockies vs New York Mets
Photo Credit: © Wendell Cruz-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Colorado Rockies will face off against the New York Mets on July 13 at Citi Field in Queens, New York. The Rockies are coming into this game with a record of 47-45, while the Mets have struggled significantly this season, sitting at 33-61. This matchup features two teams on opposite ends of the spectrum in terms of performance, with the Rockies looking to continue their winning ways and the Mets hoping to turn their season around.
The Rockies have shown a balanced performance this season, ranking 10th in hits and runs, and maintaining a respectable team batting average of .249. Their pitching has been slightly below average, with a team ERA of 4.18, but their defense has been solid, committing just 63 errors, which ranks them 3rd in the league.
On the other hand, the Mets have struggled in almost every aspect of the game. They rank 21st in runs scored and 30th in team ERA at 5.58. Their defense has also been shaky, with 46 errors, ranking them 19th. The Mets' batting average of .244 places them 16th in the league, showing that their offense has not been able to compensate for their pitching and defensive deficiencies.
Odds and Betting Lines
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over/Under | 8.5 |
| Spread | Colorado Rockies +1.5 (-107) |
| Moneyline | New York Mets -1.5 (-113) |
Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Scott (COL) | 0-2 | 4.15 | 30 |
| Ryan Feltner (NYM) | 1-8 | 5.29 | 84 |
Team Previews
Colorado Rockies
Hitting: The Rockies have been strong offensively, ranking 10th in hits (791) and runs (446). Brandon Nimmo leads the team with a .252 batting average, while Pete Alonso has been a power hitter with 18 home runs and 62 RBIs.
Relief Pitching: The bullpen has been average, with 23 saves ranking them 17th in the league. Key relievers have managed to hold their own in close games.
Fielding: Defensively, the Rockies are among the best, committing only 63 errors, which ranks them 3rd in the league.
Starting Pitchers: Christian Scott will take the mound with a 4.15 ERA. His performance has been decent, but the Rockies will need more consistency from their starters.
New York Mets
Hitting: The Mets have struggled offensively, ranking 21st in runs scored (386) and 16th in batting average (.244). Brenton Doyle leads the team with a .277 average, and Ryan McMahon has been their primary power source with 14 home runs and 45 RBIs.
Relief Pitching: The bullpen has been a weak spot, with only 19 saves ranking them 25th. The relievers have struggled to close out games effectively.
Fielding: Defensively, the Mets have committed 46 errors, placing them in the middle of the pack at 19th.
Starting Pitchers: Ryan Feltner will start for the Mets, carrying a 5.29 ERA. With only one win and eight losses, Feltner has had a tough season so far.
Team Injuries
Colorado Rockies
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Jones | LF | Undisclosed | Expected to be out until at least Jul 13 |
New York Mets
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Reid-Foley | RP | Shoulder | Expected to be out until at least Jul 25 |
Betting Trends
- The Rockies are 5-2 in their last 7 games against teams with a losing record.
- The Mets are 2-8 in their last 10 games at home.
- The Rockies have hit the over in 4 of their last 6 games.
- The Mets have hit the under in 6 of their last 8 games.
Recent Games
Colorado Rockies
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Cincinnati | L 6-0 | L |
| @ Cincinnati | L 12-6 | L |
| @ Cincinnati | W 6-5 | W |
| @ Cincinnati | L 8-1 | L |
| vs Kansas City | L 10-1 | L |
New York Mets
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Pittsburgh | L 8-2 | L |
| @ Pittsburgh | W 3-2 | W |
| @ Pittsburgh | L 14-2 | L |
| @ Washington | L 1-0 | L |
| @ Washington | W 7-5 | W |
Team Rankings
| Aspect | Colorado Rockies | New York Mets |
|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 10th | 13th |
| Starting Pitching | 21st | 30th |
| Relief Pitching | 17th | 25th |
| Fielding | 3rd | 19th |
Significant Betting Stats
- The Rockies are 33-61 against the spread this season.
- The Mets are 47-45 against the spread this season.
- The Rockies have covered the spread in 5 of their last 7 games against the Mets.
- The Mets have failed to cover the spread in 6 of their last 8 home games.
- The Rockies are 21-21 against the spread on the road.
- The Mets are 13-34 against the spread at home.
- The Rockies have hit the over in 4 of their last 6 games.
- The Mets have hit the under in 6 of their last 8 games.
- The Rockies are 5-2 in their last 7 games against teams with a losing record.
- The Mets are 2-8 in their last 10 games at home.
Weather
The weather forecast for the game at Citi Field is partly sunny with a chance of thunderstorms and a temperature of around 80°F. This could play a role in the game, especially if the thunderstorms affect the conditions on the field.
Prediction
Pick: Colorado Rockies +1.5 (-107)
The Rockies have been the more consistent team this season and have shown the ability to perform well on the road. Christian Scott has been solid on the mound, and the Rockies' offense is more potent than the Mets' struggling lineup. With the Mets' poor home record and struggles to cover the spread, taking the Rockies with the +1.5 spread offers good value. The weather conditions could also play a factor, potentially disrupting the Mets' already shaky performance.


