Minnesota Twins vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, Pick and Preview, April 30 (4/30): MLB

Minnesota Twins vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, Pick and Preview, April 30 (4/30): MLB

Credit: photo by Jonathan Dyer-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 4:10 p.m. EST
Twins money line +145
Twins run line -1.5 (-150)
Rays money line -155
Rays run line +1.5 (+130)
Over / under 8

 

Key stats

  Minnesota Twins Tampa Bay Rays
Record 11-9 12-8
Road / home record 3-5 9-5
Last 10 record 7-3 7-3
Streak L1 W3
Over / under record 7-12-1 7-13
Runs / game 3.95 4.21
Runs allowed / game 3.21 3.89

Preview

The Minnesota Twins and the Tampa Bay Rays will play the 2nd game of series at the Tropicana Field on Saturday afternoon. The Rays won the first of the series 6-1.  Josh Lowe and Mike Zunino homered for the first time this season, Corey Kluber gave up one hit in six innings.

Minnesota Twins

The Twins get here with a 11-9 record and just ended their 7 game winning streak after losing to the Rays on Friday. The team is averaging 3.95 runs per game and allowing 3.21 runs. Luis Arraez is batting for .311 AVG. Byron Buxton leads with 11 RBI and 6 home runs.

Bundy, who had given up one run in three previous starts, gave up six runs on seven hits in six innings, striking out seven.

Probable Pitcher: Chris Archer (0-0, 3.18 ERA)

Archer will be on the mound in the 2nd game of the series for the Twins. Archer allowed two runs on three hits and three walks over three innings in Sunday's win over the White Sox. He struck out two and did not factor in the decision. 

Tampa Bay Rays

The Rays get here with a 12-8 record and have won their last 3 games. The team is averaging 4.21 runs while allowing 3.89 runs per game. Wander Franco leads the team, batting for a .316 avg with 4 home runs and 13 RBI.

Kluber (1-1) gave up one run on one hit and no walks in six innings, striking out six in his fourth start for the Rays.

Probable Pitcher:

Shane McClanahan (1-1, 2.45 ERA) will be on the mound for the Rays in the 2nd game of the series. McClanahan allowed two earned runs on six hits and no walks while striking out seven across seven innings to earn the win Sunday against Boston. He had one start against the Twins last season and allowed 2 runs in 5.1 innings pitched.

BETTING TRENDS

Minnesota are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games on the road.

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games.

Tampa Bay are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games.

Prediction

The Twins were on a 7 game winning streak and were averaging 5 runs per game in their last 5 games but they couldn't do much against Corey Kluber and the Rays bullpen. The Rays continue to show that they're main candidates for the playoffs again. I can't see the Twins going with less than 4 runs on this game and in the last 10 head to head games the average score is 5.2-5.4 so I'm going to take the over on this one.

PICK: Over 8  (-110)

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