Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals Spread Prediction 8/21
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Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals Spread Prediction 8/21

Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals Spread Prediction 8/21

Read our expert spread prediction for the Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals game on August 21. Get the latest odds, betting trends, and in-depth team analysis.

Game Summary

The upcoming matchup between the Milwaukee Brewers and St. Louis Cardinals promises to be a highly competitive game held at Busch Stadium in St. Louis, Missouri. Scheduled for August 21, this game marks an important clash as both teams are looking to improve their standings in the National League Central division. The Brewers enter the game with a record of 61-63, while the Cardinals are significantly outperforming with a 72-52 record. Historically, these two teams have had their share of close contests, making the upcoming game intriguing for fans and bettors alike.

The Milwaukee Brewers have had a mixed season, currently struggling to find consistency after a few disappointing losses. They have shown flashes of brilliance, but their overall performance has been lackluster, especially on the road where they hold a 29-34 record. The team's offense has been underwhelming, averaging just 4.2 runs per game which ranks them 24th in the league. However, their pitching staff has been a bright spot, holding a collective ERA of 4.17, good enough for 20th place nationally. Kyle Gibson is slated to take the mound for the Brewers; he has a record of 7-5 with a 4.26 ERA this season. While Gibson has been effective at times, he needs to limit the walks, as he currently has 50 walks this season, which could be a point of concern against a solid Cardinals lineup.

On the other side, the St. Louis Cardinals are coming off a series of impressive performances, showcasing a strong home advantage with a record of 38-24 at Busch Stadium. The Cardinals boast one of the best offenses in the league, ranking 11th in runs scored with a total of 594 and 8th in batting average at .253. They will be led by Tobias Myers, who has established himself as a reliable starter with a 6-5 record and a stellar 2.81 ERA. Myers has been particularly effective at home, giving the Cardinals a significant edge in this matchup.

The stakes are high for both teams as they vie for a better position in the playoff race. The Brewers will be looking to claw back into contention, while the Cardinals aim to solidify their playoff spot. With the combination of both teams' current forms and their recent head-to-head encounters, this game is set to be one of the most captivating matchups of the day. The weather is forecasted to be mostly sunny with temperatures around 86°F, which could play a role in the game dynamics as well.

Odds and Betting Lines

Bet Type Odds
Milwaukee Brewers (Spread) -1.5
St. Louis Cardinals (Spread) 1.5
Milwaukee Brewers Odds +160
St. Louis Cardinals Odds -194

Pitching Probables

Pitcher W-L ERA IP K BB HR
Tobias Myers (STL) 6-5 2.81 99.1 85 25 13
Kyle Gibson (MIL) 7-5 4.26 131.0 121 50 18

Team Previews

Milwaukee Brewers

The Brewers have been struggling at the plate, which is evident from their ranking of 24th in runs scored. Their batting average of .245 is decent, but they need to find more power in their lineup. The team is led by Alec Burleson, boasting a .277 batting average along with 21 home runs and 70 RBIs, which showcases his capabilities as a key player. Defensively, the Brewers have shown some weaknesses with 56 errors this season, ranking them 27th in that category.

On the pitching side, the Brewers have a strong bullpen that has contributed to their success. Their collective ERA of 4.17 demonstrates their ability to keep games close, but with Gibson on the mound, they will need to improve on preventing walks to minimize scoring opportunities for the Cardinals.

St. Louis Cardinals

The Cardinals are having a remarkable season, currently sitting comfortably in the playoff race. Their offense has been a powerhouse, with an impressive batting average of .253 and ranking 11th in runs scored. Willy Adames is leading the charge with 22 home runs and 85 RBIs, showcasing his importance in the lineup. The Cardinals also have a solid defense, with only 65 errors, placing them in the middle of the league standings for fielding.

Pitching has also been a strong suit for the Cardinals, with Myers leading the way. His 2.81 ERA speaks to his effectiveness, and he has been particularly dominant at home. The combination of a potent offense and solid pitching makes the Cardinals a formidable opponent in this matchup.

Team Injuries

Milwaukee Brewers

Player Name Position Injury Injury Status
J.B. Bukauskas RP Triceps Expected to be out until at least Aug 20
Rob Zastryzny RP Elbow Out for the season
Oliver Dunn 3B Back Expected to be out until at least Aug 20

St. Louis Cardinals

Player Name Position Injury Injury Status
Steven Matz SP Back Expected to be out until at least Aug 26
Mike Siani CF Oblique Expected to be out until at least Aug 30

Betting Trends

  • The Brewers are 4-6 in their last 10 games against the spread.
  • The Cardinals are 7-3 in their last 10 games against the spread.
  • The Brewers are 3-7 in their last 10 road games.
  • The Cardinals are 5-5 in their last 10 home games.
  • Milwaukee is 1-4 in their last 5 games overall.
  • St. Louis is 4-1 in their last 5 games against a right-handed starter.

Recent Games

Milwaukee Brewers

Opponent Score W/L
vs Cincinnati W8-3 W
vs Cincinnati W1-0 W
vs Cincinnati L4-3 L
vs Los Angeles L5-2 L
vs Los Angeles L7-2 L

St. Louis Cardinals

Opponent Score W/L
@ Kansas City L8-3 L
@ Kansas City W8-5 W
@ Cincinnati L6-1 L
@ Cincinnati L4-1 L
@ Cincinnati L9-2 L

Team Rankings

Team Hitting Starting Pitching Relief Pitching Fielding
Milwaukee Brewers 24th 20th Rank Not Available 27th
St. Louis Cardinals 11th 2nd Rank Not Available Rank Not Available

Significant Betting Stats

  • The Brewers are 3-1 in their last four games as an underdog.
  • The Cardinals have covered the spread in 7 of their last 10 home games.
  • Milwaukee is 1-5 in their last 6 games following a win.
  • St. Louis is 4-1 in their last 5 games against teams with a losing record.
  • Gibson has struggled against teams with high batting averages.
  • Myers has a solid record at home, which favors St. Louis.
  • Milwaukee is 5-2 in their last 7 games after an off day.
  • St. Louis is 6-4 in their last 10 games against the spread.
  • The total has gone over in 4 of the Brewers' last 5 games.
  • The Cardinals are 3-1 in their last 4 games against the spread when playing at home.

Weather

The weather forecast for the game day shows mostly sunny skies with a temperature of 86°F. This could lead to favorable hitting conditions, as the warm temperatures may aid in ball travel and hitting effectiveness.

Prediction

Based on the current form of both teams and the effectiveness of their starting pitchers, the St. Louis Cardinals are likely to cover the spread in this matchup. With Tobias Myers pitching at home and his impressive ERA, I believe the Cardinals will have an advantage in this game. Furthermore, the Brewers have shown inconsistencies in their performance, especially in away games. Therefore, I recommend taking the Cardinals to cover the -1.5 spread.

Pick: St. Louis Cardinals -1.5

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