Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals Spread Prediction 8/20
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Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals Spread Prediction 8/20

Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals Spread Prediction 8/20

As the Milwaukee Brewers look to extend their current five-game winning streak, they face off against the St. Louis Cardinals in an exciting NL Central matchup. This game is set for August 20, 2024, at 7:45 p.m. EDT at Busch Stadium in St. Louis. The Brewers, currently leading the division, will have their hands full against the Cardinals, who are trying to stay afloat in the playoff race.


Game Summary

The Milwaukee Brewers (72-52) are coming off a strong stretch, winning five consecutive games and currently sit atop the NL Central standings. Their recent form has been impressive, characterized by solid pitching and a timely offense. The Brewers boast a 34-28 record on the road, which is significant as they head into a challenging environment in St. Louis. They have found success by consistently outhitting their opponents, as evidenced by their remarkable 50-4 record when achieving more hits than their adversaries.

The St. Louis Cardinals (61-63), on the other hand, are struggling to find consistency. With a record of 32-29 at home, they are looking to capitalize on their home-field advantage as they face a top-tier team. The Cardinals have been outscored by 15 runs in their last ten games, reflecting a need for improvement on both sides of the ball. Their collective batting average of .245 ranks seventh in the National League, but recent performances have left something to be desired, as indicated by their 3-7 record over their last ten outings. This matchup marks the eighth meeting of the season between these two teams, with the Brewers holding a significant 6-1 advantage in the season series. The Cardinals will be looking to turn the tide, especially with key players like Alec Burleson, who leads the team with 21 home runs and 70 RBIs, while the Brewers will rely on their star players like Willy Adames, who has also been impactful with 50 extra-base hits. With the Brewers riding high on momentum and the Cardinals desperate for a win to stay relevant in the playoff chase, expect a fiercely contested game. The pitching matchup features Frankie Montas (5-8, 4.86 ERA) for the Brewers and Erick Fedde (8-6, 3.40 ERA) for the Cardinals, adding intrigue to the game as both teams look for a critical win in the division race.


Odds and Betting Lines

Type Odds
Over/Under 8 runs
Spread (Brewers) +1.5
Spread (Cardinals) -1.5
Moneyline (Brewers) +108
Moneyline (Cardinals) -129

Pitching Probables

Pitcher W-L ERA WHIP Strikeouts
Frankie Montas (MIL) 5-8 4.86 1.46 96
Erick Fedde (STL) 8-6 3.40 1.16 120

Team Previews

Milwaukee Brewers

The Brewers have been performing well, particularly in their last five games where they have showcased a solid pitching staff led by ace pitchers. Their offense, while not explosive, has shown the ability to produce runs when needed, particularly with players like Willy Adames contributing heavily. Their hitting has been consistent, and they rank among the top in the league for runs scored when they outhit their opponents. Defensively, they have managed to secure games with strategic plays and strong relief pitching.

St. Louis Cardinals

The Cardinals are in a tough spot, currently sitting below the .500 mark. Their hitting has been inconsistent, and while they have a few standout players like Alec Burleson, the overall performance has yielded mixed results. Key injuries have hampered their depth and effectiveness, especially in crucial situations. The pitching has been a bright spot with Fedde performing well, but they will need consistent support from their bullpen to close out games effectively. The Cardinals must find a way to fight through their struggles to contend in this game.


Team Injuries

Milwaukee Brewers

Player Name Position Injury Status
Christian Yelich OF Back 10-Day IL
Blake Perkins OF Calf 10-Day IL
Wade Miley SP Elbow 60-Day IL

St. Louis Cardinals

Player Name Position Injury Status
Drew Rom SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
Matt Carpenter 3B Back 10-Day IL

Betting Trends

  • Brewers are 50-4 when outhitting opponents.
  • Cardinals are 3-7 in their last 10 games.
  • Brewers are 7-3 in their last 10 games.
  • Cardinals are 32-29 at home this season.
  • Brewers have won 6 of the 7 meetings against the Cardinals this season.

Recent Games

Milwaukee Brewers

Opponent Score W/L
vs Cleveland W2-0 W
vs Cleveland W5-3 W
vs Los Angeles L2-1 L
vs Los Angeles L7-6 L
vs Cincinnati W8-3 W

St. Louis Cardinals

Opponent Score W/L
vs Los Angeles L2-1 L
vs Los Angeles W5-2 W
@ Kansas City L8-3 L
@ Kansas City W8-5 W
@ Cincinnati L6-1 L

Team Rankings

Category Brewers Cardinals
Hitting 24th 11th
Starting Pitching 20th 2nd
Relief Pitching Tied-1st 3rd
Fielding 27th Tied-17th

Significant Betting Stats

  • Brewers are 50-4 when they outhit their opponent.
  • Cardinals are 3-7 over their last 10 games.
  • Brewers are 34-28 on the road.
  • Cardinals are 32-29 at home.
  • Brewers have a 6-1 advantage in the season series.
  • Cardinals rank 11th in hits with 1,062 for the season.
  • Brewers have a 4.17 ERA, ranking 20th in MLB.
  • Cardinals have a 3.66 ERA, ranking 2nd in MLB.
  • Brewers are 66-58 against the spread this season.
  • Cardinals are 59-65 against the spread this season.

Weather

Sunny, with a temperature around 86°F.


Prediction

Given the current form of both teams, the Brewers are clearly the stronger side, especially with their recent winning streak and overall better record. While the Cardinals have the home-field advantage, they have struggled to maintain consistency in their play, particularly against teams that can hit effectively. The Brewers' ability to outhit their opponents has been a crucial factor in their success, and I expect them to continue this trend against a Cardinals team dealing with injuries and underperformance.

Pick: Milwaukee Brewers +1.5

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