Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals Over/Under Prediction 8/20
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Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals Over/Under Prediction 8/20

Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals Over/Under Prediction 8/20

In this upcoming matchup, the Milwaukee Brewers will face off against the St. Louis Cardinals, as both teams look to make their mark in the NL Central. With the Brewers entering the game on a five-game win streak, the stakes are high as they aim to extend their lead in the division.

Game Summary

The Milwaukee Brewers (72-52) are set to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (61-63) on August 20, 2024, at Busch Stadium in St. Louis at 7:45 p.m. EDT. The Brewers enter this game riding a five-game winning streak, a significant momentum boost as they vie for positioning in the competitive NL Central. Currently, Milwaukee sits at the top of the division, while the Cardinals are trying to claw their way back to .500 and stay relevant in the playoff race.

Historically, the Brewers have dominated the season series against the Cardinals, leading 6-1 in their previous encounters this season. The Brewers' offense has been solid, despite a recent dip in batting average (.181 over the last 10 games), but they have managed to outscore opponents effectively with a remarkable 50-4 record when they out-hit their rivals.

On the other hand, the Cardinals have struggled recently, going 3-7 in their last ten games. Their batting average has been slightly better than the Brewers' at .247, and they rank seventh in the NL in terms of batting average. Key players for the Cardinals include Alec Burleson, who has been a standout with 21 home runs and 70 RBIs, and Willson Contreras who has shown some recent form with two home runs in the past 10 games.

This matchup features two distinct pitchers: Frankie Montas (5-8, 4.86 ERA) for the Brewers and Erick Fedde (8-6, 3.40 ERA) for the Cardinals. Fedde has been notably effective lately, holding a lower ERA and WHIP (1.15) compared to Montas (1.46 WHIP). As both teams approach this game, injuries also play a crucial role; the Brewers are missing key players such as Christian Yelich and several pitchers, while the Cardinals are without Drew Rom and a few others. With the stakes high and the pitching matchup favoring Fedde, this game will surely be exciting.

Odds and Betting Lines

Over/Under 8 runs
Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline +108
St. Louis Cardinals Moneyline -129

Pitching Probables

Player W-L ERA WHIP Strikeouts
Frankie Montas (MIL) 5-8 4.86 1.46 96
Erick Fedde (STL) 8-6 3.40 1.15 120

Team Previews

Milwaukee Brewers

The Brewers have a solid hitting lineup with a team batting average of .245, ranking them 13th in the league. Their pitching staff boasts an ERA of 4.17, placing them 20th overall, but they excel when out-hitting their opponents, posting a record of 50-4 under such circumstances. Key hitters include Willy Adames, who has 50 extra-base hits, and William Contreras, who has also been productive recently, contributing to the team's offensive output.

St. Louis Cardinals

The Cardinals have had a mixed season with a batting average of .253, which ranks them 8th in the league. Their pitching staff has been significantly better, with an ERA of 3.66, placing them 2nd overall in the MLB. Despite their recent struggles, they possess offensive firepower with Alec Burleson leading the charge. However, with multiple injured players, their depth may be tested as they look to secure a win at home.

Team Injuries

Milwaukee Brewers

Player Name Position Injury Injury Status
Christian Yelich OF Back 10-Day IL
Blake Perkins OF Calf 10-Day IL
Wade Miley SP Elbow 60-Day IL

St. Louis Cardinals

Player Name Position Injury Injury Status
Drew Rom SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
Matt Carpenter 3B Back 10-Day IL

Betting Trends

  • The Brewers are 50-4 in games where they out-hit their opponents.
  • The Cardinals have struggled recently with a 3-7 record in their last 10 games.
  • The Brewers are 7-3 in their last 10 games overall.

Recent Games

Milwaukee Brewers Recent Games

Opponent Score W/L
vs Cincinnati W8-3 W
vs Cincinnati W1-0 W
vs Cleveland W2-0 W
vs Cleveland W5-3 W
vs Cleveland W6-4 W

St. Louis Cardinals Recent Games

Opponent Score W/L
vs Los Angeles L2-1 L
vs Los Angeles W5-2 W
vs Texas L6-3 L
vs Texas W8-1 W
vs Texas W10-1 W

Team Rankings

Team Hitting Starting Pitching Relief Pitching Fielding
Milwaukee Brewers 24th 20th Tied-1st 27th
St. Louis Cardinals 11th 2nd 3rd Tied-17th

Significant Betting Stats

  • Milwaukee is 7-3 in their last 10 games.
  • St. Louis is 3-7 in their last 10 games.
  • Fedde has a 3.40 ERA, which is significantly better than Montas' 4.86.
  • The Cardinals have a 50% win rate at home.
  • The Brewers have had a strong performance when hitting more than their opponents.
  • Montas has given up 16 home runs this season.
  • Fedde has 120 strikeouts, indicating his ability to miss bats.
  • Milwaukee has a road record of 34-28.
  • St. Louis is 32-29 at home.
  • Both teams have shown vulnerability in their recent matchups.

Weather

Forecast for August 20 at Busch Stadium: Sunny, temperature around 86°F.

Prediction

Given the Brewers' five-game winning streak and their strong record against the Cardinals this season, they have the momentum. However, with Fedde pitching effectively and the Cardinals looking to bounce back at home, this game could be closely contested. The total is set at 8 runs, which seems reasonable given both team's recent performances. Milwaukee's struggles at the plate have been notable, while St. Louis has been inconsistent. Therefore, betting on the Under 8 runs could be a wise choice considering both pitching matchups and the trend of recent games.

Pick: Under 8 runs

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