Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 30 (8/30): MLB

Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 30 (8/30): MLB

Credit: photo by  Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 8:10 p.m. EST
Brewers money line -192
Brewers run line -1.5 (+107)
Pirates money line +153
Pirates run line +1.5 (-132)
Over / under 9

 

Key stats

  Milwaukee Brewers  Pittsburgh Pirates
Record 68-59 48-80
Home / road record 34-25 22-44
Last 10 record 5-5 3-7
Streak W3 L1
Over / under record 64-56-7 59-61-8
Runs / game 4.52 3.58
Runs allowed / game 4.31 5.13

 

Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates and the Milwaukee Brewers will play the 2nd game of the series at the American Family Field on Tuesday night. The Brewers came back and beat the Pirates 7-5 in the second game of the series. Garrett Mitchell hit a tying home run in the eighth inning and Keston Hiura connected for a game-ending shot in the ninth.

 

Milwaukee Brewers

The Brewers get here with a 66-59 record and have won their last 3 games. They're averaging 4.52 runs while allowing 4.1 runs per game. They're batting for .236 AVG, 574 runs scored in 995 hits and 178 home runs, ranking #10 in offense in the league behind the Texas Rangers. Rowdy Tellez leads the team with 27 home runs and 75 RBI while Christian Yelich is batting for a .264 AVG.

Defensively they are allowing 4.31 runs per game and ranking #17 in the league. Corbin Burnes leads the pitching staff with a 2.84 ERA, 190 strikeouts and 9 wins recorded with the Brewers.

Probable Pitcher:  Jason Alexander (2-1, 5.26 ERA)

Alexander will be on the mound in the 2nd game of the series for Milwaukee. Tuesday would have been Adrian Houser's turn through the rotation, but the Brewers could look to push back his next start or deploy him in tandem with Alexander. He has allowed 2 runs on 3 hits with 2 strikeouts in 2 innings versus the Pirates in his career.

Pittsburgh Pirates

The Pirates get to this game with a 48-80 record and have lost 8 of their last 9 games. The team is averaging 3.58 runs per game. They're batting for .221 AVG, 453 runs scored in 918 hits and 124 home runs, ranking #28 in offense in the league behind the Washington Nationals. Bryan Reynolds leads the team in home runs with 21, 48 RBI and batting for an average of .251.

Defensively they are allowing 5.13 runs per game and ranking #27 in the league. JT Brubaker leads the pitching staff with a 4.39 ERA, 132 strikeouts and 3 wins with the Pirates.

Probable Pitcher:  Mitch Keller (4-10, 4.50 ERA)

Keller will likely be on the mound in the 1st game of the series for the Pirates. Keller took the loss in Wednesday's 14-2 rout at the hands of Atlanta, surrendering seven runs (two earned) on seven hits and two walks over 3.2 innings. He struck out five. He has a 0-2 record with an ERA of 4.40 and 11 strikeouts in 3 appearances versus the Brewers in his career.

 

BETTING TRENDS

Pittsburgh are 1-7 SU in their last 8 games on the road.

Pittsburgh are 3-10 SU in their last 13 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games.

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games against Pittsburgh.

Milwaukee are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games at home.

 

Prediction

The Brewers continue to play great offense scoring an average of 6.5 runs per game in their last 4 games. For this game they'll send Alexander to the mound who has struggled lately allowing 12 runs in his last 15 innings pitched but still the Brewers have won in 4 of his last 5 starts. Mitch Keller will start for the Pirates who has been up and dow this season and the Pirates have lost in 6 of his last 7 starts. Both teams have been playing good offense so expect to keep it going on this game. Take the over.

PICK: Over 9 (-110) 

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