Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 29 (8/29): MLB

Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 29 (8/29): MLB

Credit: photo by  Benny Sieu-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 8:10 p.m. EST
Brewers money line -330
Brewers run line -1.5 (-160)
Pirates money line +260
Pirates run line +1.5 (+135)
Over / under 7.5

 

Key stats

  Milwaukee Brewers  Pittsburgh Pirates
Record 67-59 48-79
Home / road record 33-25 22-43
Last 10 record 5-5 3-7
Streak W2 W1
Over / under record 63-56-7 58-61-8
Runs / game 4.52 3.58
Runs allowed / game 4.31 5.13

 

Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates and the Milwaukee Brewers will meet again to play a 3-game series at the American Family Field. The Brewers won their last series against the Cubs while the Pirates lost 2 of 3 times vs Phillies and are 7-9 against the Brewers so far this season.

 

Milwaukee Brewers

The Brewers get here with a 65-59 record and have lost 3 of their last 5 games. They're averaging 4.52 runs while allowing 4.1 runs per game. They're batting for .236 AVG, 574 runs scored in 995 hits and 178 home runs, ranking #10 in offense in the league behind the Texas Rangers. Rowdy Tellez leads the team with 27 home runs and 75 RBI while Christian Yelich is batting for a .264 AVG.

Defensively they are allowing 4.31 runs per game and ranking #17 in the league. Corbin Burnes leads the pitching staff with a 2.84 ERA, 190 strikeouts and 9 wins recorded with the Brewers.

Probable Pitcher:  Corbin Burnes (9-6, 2.84 ERA)

Burnes will be on the mound in the 1st game of the series for Milwaukee. Burnes took the loss against the Dodgers on Tuesday. In 3.2 innings, he gave up seven runs on six hits, two walks, and a hit batter while striking out three. He has a 6-1 record with an ERA of 3.02, 68 strikeouts and 1 save in 19 appearances against the Pirates in his career.

Pittsburgh Pirates

The Pirates get to this game with a 48-79 record and have lost 7 of their last 8 games. The team is averaging 3.58 runs per game. They're batting for .221 AVG, 453 runs scored in 918 hits and 124 home runs, ranking #28 in offense in the league behind the Washington Nationals. Bryan Reynolds leads the team in home runs with 21, 48 RBI and batting for an average of .251.

Defensively they are allowing 5.13 runs per game and ranking #27 in the league. JT Brubaker leads the pitching staff with a 4.39 ERA, 132 strikeouts and 3 wins with the Pirates.

Probable Pitcher:  Jerad Eickhoff (0-1, 20.77 ERA)

Eickhoff will likely be on the mound in the 1st game of the series for the Pirates. Eickhoff will remain in the organization as a swingman at Indianapolis after he was added to and removed from the Pirates' 40-man roster following one spot start with the big club. In his Pittsburgh debut against the Cubs, Eickhoff was tagged for 10 earned runs on 10 hits and one walk while striking out four over 4.1 innings. He is 1-3 with an ERA of 7.20 and 20 strikeouts in 5 appearances against the Brewers in his career.

 

BETTING TRENDS

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee.

Pittsburgh Pirates are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games against Milwaukee.

Pittsburgh Pirates are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games on the road.

Milwaukee Brewers are 12-6 SU in their last 18 games at home.

 

Prediction

The Brewers played great offense in their last series vs Cubs scoring an average of 6.3 runs per game and will face one of the worst bullpens in the league. For the series opener they'll send Corbin Burnes to the mound who was pounded in his last start but hey we can't blame him, it was against the Dodgers, the best offense in the MLB. With Brubaker currently in the paternity list the Pirates will have to use Jerad Eickhoff who was awful in his first start this season vs Cubs. Burnes has dominated the Pirates in his career so this should be a day in the park for him. Take the Brewers.

PICK: Brewers -1.5 (-160) 

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