Kingpin analysis
Miles Mikolas Player Props: Cardinals vs Cubs 8/4

Miles Mikolas Player Props: Cardinals vs Cubs 8/4
Photo Credit: © Jeff Curry-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The St. Louis Cardinals (57-54) will face the Chicago Cubs (54-59) in the fourth game of their weekend series on August 4, 2024, at 7:10 PM EDT at Wrigley Field in Chicago. The Cubs currently lead the series 2-1 and will look to extend their advantage against their division rivals. Historically, this season, the Cardinals hold a slight edge in their season series with a 7-5 record against the Cubs. The matchup will feature Miles Mikolas on the mound for St. Louis, who is looking to improve on his 8-8 record and 4.99 ERA. The Cubs will counter with Justin Steele, who has had a solid season with a 3.38 ERA despite a 2-5 record. In their last ten games, the Cardinals have struggled, going 4-6 with a 5.31 ERA, while the Cubs have evened out at 5-5 but boast a slightly better 4.55 ERA. The Cardinals have shown resilience this season, particularly when scoring at least five runs, boasting a record of 35-10 in those games. Meanwhile, the Cubs have been more effective at home, with a record of 29-26. With both teams vying for position in the tightly contested NL Central, this game holds significant implications for their playoff aspirations.
Player Prop Odds
- Miles Mikolas to Record a Win: No (-260), Yes (+185)
Player Analysis
Miles Mikolas has had a mixed season, currently sitting at an 8-8 record with a 4.99 ERA and 83 strikeouts. His WHIP of 1.23 indicates that he has been able to limit base runners to an extent, but his ERA suggests that he has struggled at times to keep runs off the board. Mikolas's last few outings have been a mix of strong performances and struggles, which is reflected in his recent results. He'll need to harness his command and limit hard contact against a Cubs lineup that has shown it can produce runs.
Opposing Analysis
The Cubs have a lineup that can be threatening, led by Cody Bellinger with a batting average of .276 and 11 home runs. Seiya Suzuki has also been hot lately, collecting three homers in his last ten games. This season, the Cubs have a team batting average of .246, ranking them 13th in the league. They are capable of capitalizing on Mikolas's mistakes, especially if he struggles with his command. Given the Cubs' ability to score runs when they don't hit home runs, Mikolas will need to be careful not to leave pitches over the plate.
Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Mikolas (STL) | 8-8 | 4.99 | 83 |
| Justin Steele (CHC) | 2-5 | 3.38 | 98 |
Team Previews
The St. Louis Cardinals have shown flashes of offensive power this season, ranking 18th in runs scored (472) and 21st in hits (879). Their batting average of .233 is concerning, but they have an impressive record when scoring five or more runs. Their pitching staff has been solid, ranking 8th in the league with a 3.78 ERA overall. However, the team has struggled with errors, totaling 55 this season, which can lead to unearned runs. On the other hand, the Chicago Cubs have a slightly better overall record and have been more consistent at home. With a batting average of .246, they rank 13th in the league and have scored 466 runs this season. Their pitching staff, with an ERA of 4.06, sits in the middle of the pack, but they have a strong bullpen that can close out tight games, ranking first in the league with 38 saves.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Drew Rom | SP | Expected to be out until at least Sep 15 |
| Mike Siani | CF | Expected to be out until at least Aug 30 |
| Ian Happ | LF | Expected to be out until at least Aug 5 |
| Tomas Nido | C | Expected to be out until at least Sep 2 |
Recent Games
St. Louis Cardinals
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Chicago | 5-4 | W |
| @ Chicago | 6-3 | L |
| @ Chicago | 5-4 | L |
| vs Texas | 10-1 | W |
| vs Texas | 8-1 | W |
Chicago Cubs
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs St. Louis | 5-4 | W |
| vs St. Louis | 6-3 | W |
| vs St. Louis | 5-4 | L |
| @ Cincinnati | 13-4 | W |
| @ Cincinnati | 6-3 | L |
Prediction
Pick: Yes on Miles Mikolas to Record a Win (+185)
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