Miguel Vargas MLB Props - Giants vs Dodgers 7/22
- Big Ben Profits
- Jul 22, 2024, 11:12:58 PM
Miguel Vargas's MLB Props - Giants vs Dodgers 7/22
Game Summary
The Los Angeles Dodgers will host the San Francisco Giants to open a four-game series on Monday, July 22, 2024, at Dodger Stadium. The game is scheduled to begin at 10:10 PM EDT. The Dodgers currently sit at the top of the NL West with a 59-41 record, while the Giants are fourth in the same division with a 48-52 record. Historically, the Dodgers have dominated this matchup, leading the season series 6-3.
In their last ten games, the Dodgers have posted a 4-6 record, with a batting average of .240 and an ERA of 5.62, being outscored by 16 runs. The Giants, on the other hand, have also gone 4-6, with a batting average of .229 and an ERA of 4.34, being outscored by five runs.
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Player Prop Odds
Miguel Vargas's player prop odds for the upcoming game are as follows:
Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+475)
Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-130), Under 0.5 (+100)
Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+255), Under 0.5 (-370)
Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+180), Under 0.5 (-250)
Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+145)
Batter Total Bases: Over 0.5 (-135), Under 0.5 (+105)
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Player Analysis
Miguel Vargas has been a key player for the Dodgers this season. In the last ten games, he's shown some promising performances, including notable hits and RBIs. While Vargas's overall batting average for the season stands at .234, he has managed to come through in clutch situations, contributing significantly to the Dodgers' offensive stats.
With 14 home runs and 46 RBIs so far this season, Vargas has proven to be a reliable hitter, especially against right-handed pitchers. His ability to get on base and drive in runs will be crucial in this series against the Giants. Given his recent form and the favorable odds, betting on Vargas to at least get a hit or score a run seems like a smart choice.
Opposing Analysis
The San Francisco Giants will have Blake Snell on the mound. Snell has struggled this season, with an ERA of 6.31 and a win-loss record of 0-3. Over 35.2 innings pitched, he has allowed 34 hits, 17 walks, and four home runs, while striking out 42 batters. The Giants’ bullpen has also been inconsistent, which could play into Vargas’s favor.
Given the Giants' pitching woes, particularly Snell's high ERA and tendency to allow hits, Vargas has a good chance to capitalize on this matchup. The Giants have also been defensively average, further increasing the likelihood of Vargas getting on base and potentially driving in runs.
Pitching Probables
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| Player | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Snell (SF) | 0-3 | 6.31 | 42 |
| Dodgers: TBD | -- | -- | -- |
Team Previews
San Francisco Giants
The Giants have struggled on the road this season with a 20-30 record. As a team, they rank fourth in the majors with 868 hits and tied for first with 499 runs. They have an overall batting average of .254, which is good for sixth place in the league. The Giants' pitching staff has a collective ERA of 3.76, placing them ninth in the league, but their bullpen has been inconsistent at times.
Los Angeles Dodgers
The Dodgers have been strong at home with a 31-19 record. They are third in the majors with 138 home runs, averaging 1.4 per game. With a total of 820 hits and 436 runs, they rank 15th in both categories. Their team batting average stands at .243. The pitching staff has an ERA of 4.42, which is 23rd in the league, and the bullpen has been middle-of-the-pack. The Dodgers' defense has committed 57 errors, putting them 10th in the league in that category.
Team Injuries
San Francisco Giants
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Keaton Winn | SP | 15-Day IL (Elbow) |
| Jung Hoo Lee | OF | 60-Day IL (Labrum) |
| Tom Murphy | C | 60-Day IL (Head) |
| Alex Cobb | SP | 60-Day IL (Hip) |
| Ethan Small | SP | 60-Day IL (Oblique) |
Los Angeles Dodgers
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Miguel Rojas | SS | Day-to-day (Forearm) |
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto | SP | 60-Day IL (Tricep) |
| Dustin May | SP | 60-Day IL (Elbow/Esophagus) |
| Tyler Glasnow | SP | 15-Day IL (Back) |
| Max Muncy | 1B | 60-Day IL (Oblique) |
Recent Games
San Francisco Giants
| Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|
| @ Colorado | 3-7 | L |
| @ Colorado | 3-4 | L |
| @ Colorado | 3-2 | W |
| vs New York Mets | 1-7 | L |
| vs New York Mets | 4-2 | W |
Los Angeles Dodgers
| Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|
| vs Boston | 4-1 | W |
| vs Boston | 7-6 (F/11) | W |
| vs Boston | 9-6 | W |
| @ Philadelphia | 2-5 | L |
| @ Philadelphia | 1-3 | L |
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Prediction
Given Miguel Vargas's recent form and Blake Snell's struggles on the mound, betting on Vargas to get a hit or score a run seems like a reasonable prediction. The favorable odds for these props make them even more enticing. Specifically, the "Over 0.5 Hits" at -130 and "Over 0.5 Runs Scored" at +180 offer good value bets.
Pick: Over 0.5 Hits (-130)
Pick: Over 0.5 Runs Scored (+180)
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