Miami Marlins vs San Diego Padres Prediction, Pick and Preview, May 7 (5/7): MLB

Credit: photo by Orlando Ramirez-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time	8:40 p.m. EST
Marlins money line	+100
Marlins run line	+1.5 (-200)
Padres money line	-120
Padres run line	-1.5 (+170)
Over / under	6.5

 

Key stats

	Miami Marlins	San Diego Padres
Record	12-14	18-9
Road / home record	6-7	8-4
Last 10 record	4-6	8-2
Streak	L6	W2
Over / under record	11-15	12-15
Runs / game	3.88	4.59
Runs allowed / game	3.85	3.78

 

Preview

The Miami Marlins and the San Diego Padres will play the 3rd game of the series at the Petco Park on Saturday. The Padres won the 2nd game of the series 3-2. Machado got another big hit for the Padres, and Yu Darvish pitched seven strong innings.

Miami Marlins

The Marlins get here with a 12-14 record and have lost 6 games in a row. The team is averaging .232 at bat scoring 3.88 runs per game and allowing 3.8 runs.  Jazz Chisholm Jr leads with 4 home runs, 19 RBI and batting for an average of .321. 

Alcantara allowed 2 runs in 5 hits and struck out 5 batters across 4.1 innings against the Padres.

Probable Pitcher: 

Pablo Lopez (3-1, 1.29 ERA) will take the mound in the 3rd game of the series for the Marlins. Lopez allowed four runs on six hits and two walks over 4.2 innings Monday, striking out seven and taking a loss against Arizona.

San Diego Padres

The Padres get here with a 18-9 record and have won 8 of their last 10 games. The team is averaging 4.6 runs per game with a .231 at bat while allowing 3.8 runs. Manny Machado is leading the team with 7 home runs and 21 RBI while Eric Hosmer has the better batting average with .382.

 Yu Darvish pitched seven strong innings allowing 2 runs in 5 hits across 7 innings.

Probable Pitcher:

Sean Manaea (2-2, 3.60 ERA) will be on the mound for the Padres in the 3rd game of the series. Manaea allowed three runs on five hits and three walks while striking out six over 6.2 innings against Pittsburgh on Saturday. He did not factor in the decision.

BETTING TRENDS

Miami are 0-6 SU in their last 6 games.

Miami are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games against San Diego.

San Diego are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 8 of San Diego's last 11 games against Miami.

Prediction

The Marlins are on 6 game losing streak and have struggled offensively against the Padres. The Padres have won 8 of their last 10 games and 4 of their last 5 games against Miami. These are 2 good pitchers and I've won the past 2 games with the under but 6.5 is a low total, in the last 10 head to head games the average score is 3.8-3.5. I'm taking the over this time.

PICK: Over 6.5 (-110)

Find more sports picks from the top sports bettors and MLB experts all in one place using our iOS and Google Play apps, as well as our other articles at Kingpin.pro.  We are the home for MLB picks, sports picks and sports betting.