Miami Marlins vs San Diego Padres Prediction, Pick and Preview, May 6 (5/6): MLB

Miami Marlins vs San Diego Padres Prediction, Pick and Preview, May 6 (5/6): MLB

Credit: photo by Orlando Ramirez-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 9:40 p.m. EST
Marlins money line +115
Marlins run line +1.5 (-195)
Padres money line -138
Padres run line -1.5 (+165)
Over / under 6.5

 

Key stats

  Miami Marlins San Diego Padres 
Record 12-13 17-9
Road / home record 6-6 7-4
Last 10 record 5-5 7-3
Streak L5 W1
Over / under record 11-14 12-14
Runs / game 3.96 4.65
Runs allowed / game 3.88 3.85

 

Preview

The Miami Marlins and the San Diego Padres will play the 2nd game of the series at the Petco Park on Friday night. The Padres won the first game of the series 2-1. Machado, one of the hottest hitters in the majors, had two impressive homers and Nick Martinez threw seven strong innings to lead the San Diego Padres to the win.

Miami Marlins

The Marlins get here with a 12-13 record and have lost 5 games in a row. The team is averaging .234 at bat scoring 3.96 runs per game and allowing 3.8 runs.  Jazz Chisholm Jr leads with 4 home runs, 19 RBI and batting for an average of .324. 

Pablo Lopez leads the pitching staff with 3 wins and a 1.29 ERA while he has struck out 30 batters so far.

Probable Pitcher: 

Sandy Alcantara (2-1, 2.90 ERA) will take the mound in the 2nd game of the series for the Marlins. Alcantara took the loss to the Mariners on Sunday, allowing five runs on six hits -- including two home runs -- over 5.2 innings. He struck out six and walked four. Last time he faced the Padres he threw 7 scoreless innings and struck out 7 batters.

San Diego Padres

The Padres get here with a 17-9 record and have won 8 of their last 10 games. The team is averaging 4.6 runs per game with a .231 at bat while allowing 3.8 runs. Manny Machado is leading the team with 7 home runs and 20 RBI while Eric Hosmer has the better batting average with .376.

Joe Musgrove is leading the pitching staff with 4 wins and 1.97 ERA.

Probable Pitcher:

Yu Darvish (2-1, 4.44 ERA) will be on the mound for the Padres in the 2nd game of the series. Darvish gave up three runs on eight hits and one walk while striking out five in six innings Friday against the Pirates. He picked up the win. He has a 4.44 ERA in his last 3 starts against the Marlins.

BETTING TRENDS

Miami are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games.

Miami are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games on the road.

San Diego are 7-2 SU in their last 9 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Diego's last 10 games against Miami.

Prediction

The Marlins are on 5 game losing streak but they have won 5 of their last 6 games on the road. The Padres have won 7 of their last 10 games and the offense continue to respond as they're averaging 5.7 runs per game in their last 10 games. However, Alcantara dominated the Padres last season and with Yu Darvish for the Padres I'm taking the under again.

PICK: Under 6.5 (-110)

Find more sports picks from the top sports bettors and MLB experts all in one place using our iOS and Google Play apps, as well as our other articles at Kingpin.pro.  We are the home for MLB picks, sports picks and sports betting.

Winnings $79,845
last 30 days winnings $3,085
Yesterday winnings ($1,000)
Top Sport MLB
W-L-D 718 - 484 - 13
Winnings % 58%
Winnings $74,787
last 30 days winnings $20
Yesterday winnings $0
Top Sport MLB
W-L-D 405 - 263 - 8
Winnings % 59%