Miami Marlins vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 14 (7/14): MLB
- Wolfeofbetting
- Jul 14, 2022, 5:34:41 AM
Credit: photo by Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports
Odds
| Time | 12:10 p.m. EST |
| Pirates money line | +134 |
| Pirates run line | +1.5 (-150) |
| Marlins money line | -160 |
| Marlins run line | -1.5 (+130) |
| Over / under | 7.5 |
Key stats
| Pittsburgh Pirates | Miami Marlins | |
| Record | 38-51 | 42-45 |
| Road / home record | 18-28 | 21-19 |
| Last 10 record | 6-4 | 6-4 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Over / under record | 37-46-6 | 42-42-3 |
| Runs / game | 3.62 | 4.30 |
| Runs allowed / game | 5.16 | 4.25 |
Preview
The Pittsburgh Pirates and the Miami Marlins will play the 4th game of the series at the loanDepot park on Thursday. The Marlins took the win 5-4 on Wednesday's game but are 1-2 on the series. Jesús Aguilar hit a tying single and scored the winning run on a wild pitch as the Miami Marlins rallied for three runs in the 10th inning to beat the Pittsburgh Pirates.
Pittsburgh Pirates
The Pirates get to this game with a 38-51 record and have won 4 of their last 5 games. The team is averaging 3.6 runs per game. They're batting for .221 AVG, 316 runs scored in 620 hits and 95 home runs, ranking #28 in offense in the league behind the Washington Nationals. Bryan Reynolds leads the team in home runs with 15, 32 RBI and batting for an average of .261.
Defensively they are allowing 5.1 runs per game and ranking #26 in the league. JT Brubaker leads the pitching staff with a 4.02 ERA, 97 strikeouts and 2 win with the Pirates.
Probable Pitcher: Zach Thompson (3-6, 4.38 ERA)
Thompson will be on the mound in the 4th game of the series for the Pirates. Thompson did not factor into the decision in Saturday's 4-3 win over the Brewers, allowing two runs on six hits and three walks while striking out four batters in 4.2 innings. He hasn't pitched against the Miami Marlins in his career.
Miami Marlins
The Marlins get here with a 42-45 record and have lost 3 of their last 5 games. The team is averaging 4.3 runs per game. They're batting for .242 AVG, have 359 runs scored in 684 hits and 90 home runs, ranking #18 in offense in the league behind the Chicago Cubs. Jazz Chisholm Jr leads with 14 home runs, 45 RBI. Garret Cooper is batting for an average of .300.
Defensively they are allowing 4.2 runs per game and rank #16 in the league. Sandy Alcantara is leading the team with a 1.73 ERA, 111 strikeouts and 9 wins recorded.
Probable Pitcher:
Braxton Garrett (1-3, 4.33 ERA) will take the mound in the 4th game of the series for the Marlins. On Saturday against the Mets, Garrett pitched 5.2 innings and gave up three runs on three hits, one walk, and three strikeouts. He did not factor in the decision. He hasn't pitched against the Pittsburgh Pirates in his career.
BETTING TRENDS
Pittsburgh Pirates are 8-3 SU in their last 11 games when playing on the road against Miami.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Pittsburgh's last 9 games against an opponent in the National League.
Miami Marlins are 8-4 SU in their last 12 games against an opponent in the National League.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games against an opponent in the National League Central Division division.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Miami's last 12 games against Pittsburgh.
Prediction
The Marlins finally got their first win on this series after beating the Pirates 5-4 on Wednesday game. They'll send Braxtin Garrett to the mound for this game who has been up and down this season and has only 7 starts so far. The Marlins are 3-4 in his 7 starts and allowed 3 runs in his last start. The Pirates were on a 4 game winning streak befoer losing vs Marlins and they'll try to win this series by sending Zach Thompson to the mound who has done a decent job lately allowing no more than 2 runs per game in his last 6 starts. The Marlins have struggled offensively and the Pirates aren't an elite offense so I expect a low scoring game as both starters should hold them for 5 innings at least. Take the under.
PICK: Under 7.5 (-110)
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