Miami Marlins vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 11 (7/11): MLB
- Jul 10, 2022, 11:15:42 PM
Credit: photo by Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports
|Time||6:40 p.m. EST|
|Pirates money line||+130|
|Pirates run line||+1.5 (-150)|
|Marlins money line||-155|
|Marlins run line||-1.5 (+130)|
|Over / under||8|
|Pittsburgh Pirates||Miami Marlins|
|Road / home record||16-27||20-17|
|Last 10 record||5-5||7-3|
|Over / under record||36-44-6||41-40-3|
|Runs / game||3.62||4.30|
|Runs allowed / game||5.16||4.25|
The Pittsburgh Pirates will visit the Miami Marlins to play a 4-game series at the loanDepot park. The Pirates won their last series against the Brewers while the Marlins tied 2-2 vs the NY Mets. This is the 1st time these teams meet this season.
The Pirates get to this game with a 36-50 record and have won 3 of their last 5 games. The team is averaging 3.6 runs per game. They're batting for .221 AVG, 316 runs scored in 620 hits and 95 home runs, ranking #28 in offense in the league behind the Washington Nationals. Bryan Reynolds leads the team in home runs with 15, 32 RBI and batting for an average of .261.
Defensively they are allowing 5.1 runs per game and ranking #26 in the league. JT Brubaker leads the pitching staff with a 4.34 ERA, 88 strikeouts and 2 win with the Pirates.
Probable Pitcher: Mitch Keller (2-6, 5.21 ERA)
Keller will be on the mound in the 1st game of the series for the Pirates. Keller took the loss against the Yankees on Wednesday, allowing four runs on ten hits in six innings while striking out seven and walking one. He has an ERA of 4.91 and 5 strikeouts in 2 appearances versus the Marlins in his career.
The Marlins get here with a 40-42 record and have won 7 of their last 9 games. The team is averaging 4.3 runs per game. They're batting for .242 AVG, have 359 runs scored in 684 hits and 90 home runs, ranking #18 in offense in the league behind the Chicago Cubs. Jazz Chisholm Jr leads with 14 home runs, 45 RBI. Garret Cooper is batting for an average of .300.
Defensively they are allowing 4.2 runs per game and rank #16 in the league. Sandy Alcantara is leading the team with a 1.73 ERA, 111 strikeouts and 9 wins recorded.
Trevor Rogers (4-7, 5.57 ERA) will take the mound in the 1st game of the series for the Marlins. Rogers suffered the loss on Wednesday as the Marlins were defeated 5-2 by the Angels. Over 4.2 innings, he allowed three runs on four hits and two walks. He hit two hitters while striking out five. He has allowed 2 runs on 4 hits with 2 walks and 5 strikeouts in 6 innings against the Pirates in his career.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Pittsburgh's last 9 games on the road.
Pittsburgh Pirates are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games when playing on the road against Miami.
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Miami's last 20 games against an opponent in the National League Central Division division.
Miami Marlins are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games at home.
The Pirates upset the Milwaukee Brewers beating them 2 of 3 times at their home field but they're still 16-27 on the road so far this season. For this game Mitch Keller will get the ball and he has been pounded all season and the Pirates have lost in 10 of his 14 starts this season. He's also holding a 4.91 ERA against the Marlins in his career. Miami has a good record at home and will send Trevor Rogers to the mound who has been average this season but dominated the Pirates the last season. Expect the Marlins to take care of business at home and get this win.
PICK: Marlins ML (-155)
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