Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 16 (7/16): MLB

Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 16 (7/16): MLB

Credit: photo by  Sam Navarro-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 4:10 p.m. EST
Phillies money line -113
Phillies run line -1.5 (+150)
Marlins money line -107
Marlins run line +1.5 (-175)
Over / under 7.5

 

Key stats

  Philadelphia Phillies Miami Marlins
Record 47-43 43-46
Road / home record 23-22 22-20
Last 10 record 5-5 4-6
Streak W1 L1
Over / under record 46-42-2 42-44-3
Runs / game 4.66 4.22
Runs allowed / game 4.13 4.20

 

Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies and the Miami Marlins will play the 2nd game of the series at the loanDepot park. The Phillies took the win in a very close game 1 of the series. Kyle Gibson (5-3) pitched six innings of one-run ball for the Phillies and  J.T. Realmuto had three hits against his former team to beat them 2-1.

Philadelphia Phillies

The Phillies get to this game with a 47-43 record and have lost 4 of their last 5 games. The team is averaging 4.66 runs per game. They're batting for .245 AVG, 415 runs scored in 738 hits and 115 home runs, ranking #7 in offense in the league behind the Boston Red Sox. Kyle Schwarber leads the team with 28 home runs and 57 RBI while Alec Bohm is batting for .273 avg.

Defensively they are allowing 4.1 runs per game and rank #11 in the league. Zack Wheeler leads the team with a 2.89 ERA, 108 strikeouts and 8 wins recorded for the Phillies.

Probable Pitcher:  Ranger Suarez (6-5, 4.33 ERA)

Suarez will be on the mound in the 2nd game of the series for the Phillies. Suarez will rejoin the Phillies' rotation after spending just over the minimum of 15 days on the injured list due to a low back spasm. He didn't participate in a rehab assignment ahead of Saturday's start. He is 3-1 with an ERA of 3.60, 36 strikeouts and 1 save in 14 appearances against the Marlins in his career.

Miami Marlins

The Marlins get here with a 43-46 record and have lost 3 of their last 5 games. The team is averaging 4.2 runs per game. They're batting for .240 AVG, have 367 runs scored in 701 hits and 90 home runs, ranking #20 in offense in the league behind the Chicago White Sox. Jazz Chisholm Jr leads with 14 home runs, 45 RBI. Garret Cooper is batting for an average of .300. 

Defensively they are allowing 4.2 runs per game and rank #13 in the league. Sandy Alcantara is leading the team with a 1.73 ERA, 111 strikeouts and 9 wins recorded.

Probable Pitcher: 

Max Meyer (0-0, 0.00 ERA) will take the mound in the 2nd game of the series for the Marlins. Meyer is one of the top pitching prospects in baseball and will make his major-league debut Saturday after he posted a 3.72 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in 58 innings over 12 starts in Jacksonville to begin the year.

BETTING TRENDS

Philadelphia Phillies are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games against Miami.

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games on the road.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games at home.

Miami Marlins are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games when playing at home against Philadelphia.

Prediction

The Phillies have struggled lately as they have lost 4 of their last 5 games and are averaging 2.3 runs per game in their last 9 games. They'll send Ranger Suarez to the mond who has been regular this season but constant and already beat the Marlins earlier this season. The Marlins have also struggled offensively and have lost 6 of their last 10 games. Max Meyer will make his major league debut and he's a great prospect for the Marlins and has done a great job in the minors. Expect another close game and the under is the best play.

PICK: Under 7.5 (-110)

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