Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 15 (7/15): MLB

Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 15 (7/15): MLB

Credit: photo by  Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 6:40 p.m. EST
Phillies money line +143
Phillies run line +1.5 (-165)
Marlins money line -174
Marlins run line -1.5 (+140)
Over / under 7

 

Key stats

  Philadelphia Phillies Miami Marlins
Record 46-43 43-45
Road / home record 22-22 22-19
Last 10 record 5-5 5-5
Streak L4 W2
Over / under record 46-41-2 42-43-3
Runs / game 4.66 4.22
Runs allowed / game 4.13 4.20

 

Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies and the Miami Marlins will meet again to play a 3-game series at the loanDepot park. The Phillies lost their last series against the Blue Jays while the Marlins tied 2-2 vs Pirates. In the last 7 head to head games this season the Marlins lead 4-3.

Philadelphia Phillies

The Phillies get to this game with a 46-43 record and have lost their last 4 games. The team is averaging 4.66 runs per game. They're batting for .245 AVG, 415 runs scored in 738 hits and 115 home runs, ranking #7 in offense in the league behind the Boston Red Sox. Kyle Schwarber leads the team with 28 home runs and 57 RBI while Alec Bohm is batting for .273 avg.

Defensively they are allowing 4.1 runs per game and rank #11 in the league. Zack Wheeler leads the team with a 2.89 ERA, 108 strikeouts and 8 wins recorded for the Phillies.

Probable Pitcher:  Kyle Gibson (4-3, 4.53 ERA)

Gibson will be on the mound in the 1st game of the series for the Phillies. He tossed 7 scoreless innings and struck out 5 batters in the 1-0 against the Cardinals on July 9th. He did not factor in the decision. He is 0-2 with an ERA of 6.50 and 16 strikeouts in 3 appearances versus the Marlins in his career.

Miami Marlins

The Marlins get here with a 43-45 record and have won 3 of their last 5 games. The team is averaging 4.2 runs per game. They're batting for .240 AVG, have 367 runs scored in 701 hits and 90 home runs, ranking #20 in offense in the league behind the Chicago White Sox. Jazz Chisholm Jr leads with 14 home runs, 45 RBI. Garret Cooper is batting for an average of .300. 

Defensively they are allowing 4.2 runs per game and rank #13 in the league. Sandy Alcantara is leading the team with a 1.73 ERA, 111 strikeouts and 9 wins recorded.

Probable Pitcher: 

Sandy Alcantara (9-3, 1.73 ERA) will take the mound in the 1st game of the series for the Marlins. In Sunday's victory over the Mets in extra innings, Alcantara threw seven scoreless innings while giving up six hits and one walk. He did not influence the outcome while recording four strikeouts. He has a 6-4 record with an ERA of 3.03 and 66 strikeouts in 12 appearances against the Phillies in his career.

BETTING TRENDS

Philadelphia Phillies are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Miami.

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 6 games against an opponent in the National League.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games against Philadelphia.

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 7 games at home.

Prediction

The Phillies have struggled lately as they have lost 4 straight games and are averaging 2.3 runs per game in their last 8 games. They'll face one of the best pitchers in the National league, Alcantara hasn't allowed runs in his last 15 inning pitched and has good numbers against the Phillies. Kyle Gibson will start for the Phillies and he's coming from a great start vs St Louis where he pitched 7 scoreless innings. The Marlins scored only 1 run the last time they faced Gibson and they haven't been so good offensively, also Cooper is unlikely to play so the under looks like a good play. Take the under.

PICK: Under 7 (-110)

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