Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, Pick and Preview, October 4 (10/4) MLB

Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, Pick and Preview, October 4 (10/4) MLB

 

Odds

Time 6:40 p.m. EST
Braves money line -210
Braves run line -1.5 (-130)
Marlins money line +170
Marlins run line +1.5 (+110)
Over / under 8.5

 

Key stats

  Atlanta Braves  Miami Marlins
Record 100-60 68-92
Road / home record 45-34 33-46
Last 10 record 7-3 6-4
Streak L1 W3
Over / under record 79-72-8 69-81-9
Runs / game 4.89 3.58
Runs allowed / game 3.72 4.18

 

Preview

The Miami Marlins and the Atlanta Braves will play the 2nd game series of the season at the loanDepot park on Tuesday. The Marlins took the win 4-0 in the first game of the series. Jesús Luzardo struck out 12 in six innings, Bryan De La Cruz hit a two-run homer. 

 

Atlanta Braves

The Braves get here with a 100-60 record and have won 7 their last 10 games. The team is averaging 4.89 runs per game. They're batting for .254 AVG, 778 runs scored in 1367 hits and 241 home runs, ranking #3 in offense in the league behind the NY Yankees. Austin Riley is leading the team with 38 home runs and 93 RBI while Dansby Swanson has the better batting average with .277. 

Defensively they are allowing 3.72 runs per game and rank #4 in the league. Max Fried leads the pitching staff with a 2.48 ERA, 170 strikeouts and 14 wins recorded with the Braves. 

Probable Pitcher:  Jake Odorizzi (5-6, 4.53 ERA)

Odorizzi will be on the mound in the 2nd game of the series for the Braves.Odorizzi did not factor into the decision Wednesday, allowing two runs on four hits and three walks over 3.2 innings in a 3-2 loss against the Nationals. He is 3-1 with an ERA of 3.53 and 37 strikeouts in 7 appearances against the Marlins in his career.

Miami Marlins

The Marlins get here with a 68-92 record and have won 4 of their last 6 games. The team is averaging 3.58 runs per game. They're batting for .229 AVG, have 569 runs scored in 1215 hits and 140 home runs, ranking #28 in offense in the league behind the Washington Nationals. Jesus Aguilar leads with 15 home runs, 49 RBI. Garret Cooper is batting for an average of .274. 

Defensively they are allowing 4.18 runs per game and rank #12 in the league. Sandy Alcantara is leading the team with a 2.28 ERA, 207 strikeouts and 14 wins recorded.

Probable Pitcher:  Braxton Garrett (3-6, 3.56 ERA)

garret will be on the mound in the 2nd game of the series for the Marlins. Garrett did not factor into the decision Thursday, allowing two runs on six hits with two strikeouts over four innings against the Brewers. He is 0-1 with an ERA of 3.00 and 4 strikeouts in 2 appearances versus the Braves in his career.

 

BETTING TRENDS

Atlanta are 8-1 SU in their last 9 games against Miami.

Atlanta are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games on the road.

Atlanta are 9-2 SU in their last 11 games when playing on the road against Miami.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games.

Miami are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games at home.

 

Prediction

The Braves couldn't do much against a great performance from Luzardo and the Marlins bullpen who held them to zero runs in the game. For this game the Marlins will send Garrett to the mound who has been decent lately and the Marlins have won in his last 3 starts. Odorizzi will take the mound for the Braves who has been up and down this season but has good numbers vs Marlins. The under is cashing big time for the Marlins and with the Braves mind in the playoffs I think the best play is the under.

PICK: Under 8.5 (-110) 

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