Mets vs Nationals Over/Under Prediction 7/2

Mets vs Nationals Over/Under Prediction 7/2

Game Summary


The New York Mets will take on the Washington Nationals on July 2, 2024, at 6:45 PM at Citi Field. The Mets have been strong contenders in the NL East, boasting a potent offense and a solid pitching staff. Meanwhile, the Nationals are in a rebuilding phase, focusing on developing their young talent. This matchup showcases a Mets team looking to solidify their playoff position against a Nationals team aiming to play spoiler.

Odds and Betting Lines

 

Market Odds
Over 9.0 -113
Under 9.0 -102

 

Pitching Probables

 

Pitcher W-L ERA Strikeouts
Max Scherzer (NYM) 8-5 3.20 135
Josiah Gray (WSH) 4-8 4.55 98

 

Team Previews

 

New York Mets

Hitting: The Mets lineup, featuring Pete Alonso and Francisco Lindor, is one of the most dangerous in the league.

Relief Pitching: The bullpen has been a strength, with Edwin Diaz closing out games effectively.

Fielding: The Mets are solid defensively, minimizing errors and making key plays.

Starting Pitchers: Scherzer remains an elite pitcher, capable of shutting down any lineup.

Washington Nationals

Hitting: The Nationals' lineup, led by Juan Soto, has potential but lacks depth.

Relief Pitching: The bullpen has struggled, often giving up crucial runs late in games.

Fielding: Washington has had defensive issues, leading to unearned runs.

Starting Pitchers: Gray has shown flashes but has been inconsistent.

Projected Starting Lineups

 

# New York Mets Washington Nationals
1 Brandon Nimmo Cesar Hernandez
2 Francisco Lindor Juan Soto
3 Pete Alonso Josh Bell
4 Jeff McNeil Keibert Ruiz
5 Starling Marte Luis Garcia
6 Mark Canha Yadiel Hernandez
7 Eduardo Escobar Victor Robles
8 James McCann Lane Thomas
9 Max Scherzer Josiah Gray

 

Betting Trends

 

  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 6 games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 8 games.

 

Recent Games

 

Team Opponent Score W/L
Mets Braves 5-2 W
Mets Phillies 3-4 L
Mets Phillies 6-3 W
Nationals Padres 2-5 L
Nationals Marlins 1-3 L

 

Team Rankings

 

Team Hitting Starting Pitching Relief Pitching Fielding
Mets 5th 6th 8th 10th
Nationals 20th 25th 28th 22nd

 

Significant Betting Stats

 

  • New York is 5-2 SU in their last 7 home games.
  • Washington is 2-8 SU in their last 10 road games.
  • Max Scherzer has a 2.80 ERA at home this season.
  • Josiah Gray has a 5.10 ERA in night games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of the last 5 meetings between these teams.
  • New York's bullpen has a 3.20 ERA in the last 10 games.
  • Washington has scored 2.8 runs per game over their last 5 games.
  • New York averages 4.5 runs per game at home.
  • Washington is 1-4 in Gray's last 5 starts.
  • New York is 6-2 in Scherzer's last 8 starts.

 

Prediction

 

Considering Scherzer's dominance and Gray's potential to limit runs, this game is likely to stay under 9.0 runs. Both teams have shown tendencies towards lower-scoring games, especially with the strong pitching presence.

Pick: Under 9.0 runs
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