Mets vs Dodgers Prediction MLB Picks Today 5/29

Mets vs Dodgers Prediction MLB Picks Today 5/29

© Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports

 

MLB Preview and Prediction: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets

The Los Angeles Dodgers face the New York Mets at Citi Field in what promises to be an intriguing matchup between two teams with contrasting fortunes this season.

 

Game Overview:

  • Date: May 29, 2024
  • Time: 1:10 PM
  • Location: Citi Field, Queens, New York
  • Weather: 76°F

Team Breakdown:

Los Angeles Dodgers:

The Dodgers hold a strong 35-22 record with a 16-11 away record. James Paxton is the probable starting pitcher for Los Angeles.

Key Players:

  • Home Runs: Shohei Ohtani (13 HR)
  • Batting Average: Mookie Betts (.338 AVG)
  • Runs Batted In: Teoscar Hernandez (38 RBI)

James Paxton has been solid with a 5-0 record, a 3.49 ERA, and a WHIP of 1.43 over 49.0 innings. However, his high WHIP indicates potential control issues that could lead to scoring opportunities for the Mets.

New York Mets:

The Mets have a struggling 22-32 record with an 11-18 home record. David Peterson is set to start for New York.

Key Players:

  • Home Runs: Pete Alonso (12 HR)
  • Batting Average: Starling Marte (.255 AVG)
  • Runs Batted In: Brandon Nimmo (29 RBI)

David Peterson has no recorded stats this season due to being on the 60-Day IL. His performance in this game is uncertain, potentially leading to scoring chances for the Dodgers.

Game Odds:

Team Moneyline Total Run Line
LAD (35-22) -140 o8.5 (-125) -1.5 (+105)
NYM (22-32) +110 u8.5 (+105) +1.5 (-135)

Prediction:

For this matchup, we predict the total score to go over 8.5 runs. Here's why:

James Paxton, despite his good record, has a high WHIP of 1.43, indicating he allows a fair number of base runners, which could translate into runs scored. Additionally, David Peterson's return from a long IL stint adds uncertainty to the Mets' pitching effectiveness.

Both teams have potent offensive players. The Dodgers' Shohei Ohtani and Mookie Betts are capable of driving in runs, while the Mets' Pete Alonso and Brandon Nimmo can contribute significantly to the scoreboard. Furthermore, both teams have shown they can score, with the Dodgers averaging 4.5 runs per game and the Mets having a solid lineup despite their struggles.

Given the potential for scoring from both lineups and the pitching uncertainties, a high-scoring game exceeding 8.5 runs is a strong possibility.

Pick: Over 8.5 Runs (-125)

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