Mauricio Dubon's MLB Prop Picks - Astros vs Athletics 7/22

Game Summary

The Houston Astros will face off against the Oakland Athletics at the Oakland Coliseum on Monday, July 22, 2024, at 9:40 p.m. EDT. The Astros, currently holding a 52-47 record, sit at the top of the AL West, while the Athletics, with a 39-62 record, are at the bottom of the division. Houston is coming off a recent series against the Mariners, where Yordan Alvarez notably hit for the cycle. The Athletics have a slightly better home record at 24-26 compared to their overall performance, but they've struggled significantly when allowing home runs.

Recent matchups between these two teams have been heavily in favor of the Astros, who lead the season series 6-1. Houston's performance on the road has been lackluster, with a 24-26 record, and they have struggled in close games, holding a 7-17 record in games decided by one run. Conversely, Oakland's last 10 games have shown a mixed performance with a 5-5 record, a .281 batting average, and a 5.48 ERA, outscoring their opponents by 16 runs.

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Player Prop Odds

Mauricio Dubon Props:

• Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+280)
• Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+195)
• Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+180)
• Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+120)
• Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-170)
• Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+110)

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Player Analysis

Mauricio Dubon has been a reliable asset for the Houston Astros this season. With a batting average of .262 and 8 home runs, he has consistently contributed to the team’s offensive efforts. Over the past 10 games, Dubon has shown a steady performance, going 11-for-35 at the plate with three doubles and a home run. His ability to get on base and create scoring opportunities makes him a key player to watch in this matchup against the Athletics.

Dubon's versatility in the lineup adds to his value. He has been effective both as a leadoff hitter and in various other spots in the batting order, which allows Houston to maximize his on-base percentage and use his speed to their advantage.

Opposing Analysis

Hogan Harris will be starting for the Oakland Athletics. Harris, with a 1-3 record and a 3.40 ERA, has shown flashes of potential this season. However, his 1.45 WHIP and 23 walks over 47.2 innings indicate that he can be prone to control issues. This could be an area where Dubon and the Astros can capitalize, particularly if Harris struggles to find the strike zone early.

Houston's lineup, featuring power hitters like Yordan Alvarez and Jose Altuve, will undoubtedly pressure Harris. The Athletics' bullpen has also been inconsistent, posting a 4.44 ERA, which ranks 24th in the league. If Harris exits the game early, the Astros' hitters, including Dubon, will have ample opportunities to exploit Oakland's relief pitching.

Pitching Probables

Player	W-L	ERA	WHIP	IP	H	K	BB	HR
Spencer Arrighetti (HOU)	4-7	5.63	1.60	80.0	84	93	44	11
Hogan Harris (OAK)	1-3	3.40	1.45	47.2	46	35	23	6

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Team Previews

Houston Astros

The Houston Astros have been a solid team this season, despite some struggles on the road and in close games. Their lineup is potent, featuring stars like Yordan Alvarez and Jose Altuve. The Astros rank 1st in batting average (.261), 2nd in hits (888), and 9th in runs scored (468).

However, pitching has been a concern, with a team ERA of 4.44, ranking 24th in the league. Their bullpen has been inconsistent, which could be problematic in high-leverage situations. Defensively, the Astros have committed 41 errors, tied for 29th in the league, indicating that their fielding has room for improvement.

Oakland Athletics

The Athletics have struggled this season, sitting at the bottom of the AL West with a 39-62 record. Offensively, they have been inconsistent, with a .230 team batting average (28th in the league) and 773 hits (26th in the league). They have allowed 416 runs, tied for 21st in the league.

Their pitching staff has a 4.00 ERA, which ranks 16th in the league, and the bullpen has been a weak link, especially when it comes to controlling runs in close games. The Athletics' fielding is another area of concern, with 61 errors (5th in the league).

Team Injuries

Player	Position	Injury	Status
Victor Caratini	C	Hip	10-Day IL
Justin Verlander	SP	Neck	15-Day IL
Cristian Javier	SP	Forearm	60-Day IL
Kyle Tucker	OF	Shin	10-Day IL
Jose Urquidy	SP	Forearm	60-Day IL

Player	Position	Injury	Status
Jacob Wilson	SS	Hamstring	10-Day IL
Luis Medina	SP	Elbow	15-Day IL
Tyler Soderstrom	C	Undisclosed	10-Day IL

Recent Games

Houston Astros

Opponent	Score	W/L
@ Seattle	W 3-0	W
@ Seattle	W 4-2	W
@ Seattle	L 6-4	L
@ Oakland	9:40 PM	Upcoming
@ Oakland	9:40 PM	Upcoming

Oakland Athletics

Opponent	Score	W/L
vs Los Angeles	W 13-3	W
vs Los Angeles	W 8-2	W
vs Los Angeles	L 8-5	L
vs Houston	9:40 PM	Upcoming
vs Houston	9:40 PM	Upcoming

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Prediction

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