Matt Wallner MLB Props - Phillies vs Twins 7/22
- A Plus Picks
- Jul 22, 2024, 9:01:55 PM
Matt Wallner's MLB Props - Phillies vs Twins 7/22
Game Summary
The Philadelphia Phillies (63-36, first in the NL East) will face off against the Minnesota Twins (54-44, second in the AL Central) at Target Field in Minneapolis on Monday, July 22, 2024, at 7:40 p.m. EDT. The Twins are looking to halt a three-game slide, while the Phillies aim to continue their solid form on the road.
In recent matchups, the Twins have struggled, going 5-5 in their last 10 games with a .254 batting average and a 3.82 ERA, being outscored by two runs. The Phillies have also gone 5-5 in their last 10 games but have a higher ERA of 5.37 while being outscored by three runs.
This game marks the first meeting between these two teams this season. The Twins boast a solid home record of 27-20 and have hit 119 home runs, ranking seventh in MLB. The Phillies, with a road record of 26-20, rank fifth in MLB with a .424 slugging percentage.
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Player Prop Odds
Matt Wallner's prop odds for the game include:
Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+440)
Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-140)
Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+220)
Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+150)
Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+135)
Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+190)
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Player Analysis
Matt Wallner has been a consistent performer for the Twins this season. In his last 10 games, he has shown a knack for getting on base and driving in runs. Wallner's current batting average is .268, and he has hit 14 home runs with 47 RBIs this season. He is a key player in the Twins' lineup and has the potential to make a significant impact in this game.
Wallner's ability to hit for power and average makes him a threat to any pitcher. His recent form suggests that he could be a good bet to hit over 0.5 total bases and score at least one run. With the odds favoring him to get on base, Wallner is a solid pick for multiple prop bets in this matchup.
Opposing Analysis
The Phillies will start Ranger Suarez, who has been exceptional this season with a 10-4 record, a 2.76 ERA, and 112 strikeouts over 114 innings. Suarez's WHIP is an impressive 1.04, indicating his ability to limit baserunners. However, the Twins' lineup, including Wallner, has shown the ability to hit well against strong pitching.
The Phillies' bullpen has struggled recently, which could play to Wallner's advantage, especially in the later innings. Given the current form of the Phillies' pitching staff, Wallner has a good chance to capitalize on any mistakes and contribute offensively.
Pitching Probables
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| Player | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ranger Suarez (PHI) | 10-4 | 2.76 | 112 |
| Bailey Ober (MIN) | 8-5 | 4.14 | 106 |
Team Previews
Philadelphia Phillies
The Phillies have been solid this season, currently leading the NL East with a 63-36 record. Their offense has been a key factor, with a .424 slugging percentage ranking fifth in the majors. Bryce Harper has been a standout performer with a .297 average, 22 home runs, and 63 RBIs.
Philadelphia's pitching staff has been decent, with a team ERA of 4.15. However, their bullpen has shown some vulnerabilities, which could be a factor in this game. The Phillies' defense has committed 46 errors, tying them for 24th in MLB, indicating some defensive weaknesses.
Minnesota Twins
The Twins have a 54-44 record and are second in the AL Central. They have performed well at home with a 27-20 record. Offensively, the Twins have hit 119 home runs, ranking seventh in MLB, and have a .259 team batting average, ranking third.
The Twins' pitching has been solid, with a team ERA of 3.44, the best in MLB. However, they are currently dealing with several injuries, including key players like Carlos Correa and Chris Paddack. Despite these challenges, the Twins have managed to stay competitive.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zack Wheeler | SP | Back | Day-to-day |
| Michael Rucker | RP | Hand | 60-Day IL |
| Chris Paddack | SP | Forearm | 15-Day IL |
| Carlos Correa | SS | Foot | 10-Day IL |
Recent Games
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Philadelphia Phillies
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | @ Pittsburgh | L 8-7 | L |
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ Pittsburgh | L 4-1 | L |
| Sun, Jul 21 | @ Pittsburgh | W 6-0 | W |
| Mon, Jul 22 | @ Minnesota | 7:40 PM | - |
| Tue, Jul 23 | @ Minnesota | 7:40 PM | - |
Minnesota Twins
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs Milwaukee | L 8-4 F/12 | L |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs Milwaukee | L 8-7 | L |
| Mon, Jul 22 | vs Philadelphia | 7:40 PM | - |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs Philadelphia | 7:40 PM | - |
| Wed, Jul 24 | vs Philadelphia | 1:10 PM | - |
Prediction
Pick: Matt Wallner to hit Over 0.5 Total Bases (+190)
Given Wallner's recent form and the vulnerabilities in the Phillies' bullpen, he is a strong candidate to accumulate at least 1.5 total bases. With a favorable batting average and power-hitting capabilities, Wallner is poised to make an impact in this game.
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