MLB Prediction: Detroit Tigers vs Miami Marlins
The Detroit Tigers (46-57) will be up against the Miami Marlins (55-48) at the loanDepot park. According to ESPN Analytics, the Marlins are favored with a probability of 61.8% to win the match.
Detroit Tigers (46-57, 24-27 AWAY)
Reese Olson is the projected starting pitcher for the Tigers. With a record of 1-4, a 4.53 ERA, and a 1.10 WHIP, Olson’s season has been a bit rocky. The high ERA indicates a susceptibility to giving up runs, which could play into the Marlins' hands.
Spencer Torkelson and Zach McKinstry have been the offensive highlights for the Tigers, but their combined efforts haven't been enough to drive a high team average (.232) or elevate the team's overall performance significantly.
The Tigers have a few injuries to consider, including key pitcher Spencer Turnbull on the 60-day injured list, and Ryan Kreidler and Wilmer Flores both listed as day-to-day. These injuries could impact the team's overall performance.
Miami Marlins (55-48, 31-20 HOME)
The Marlins will likely start with Braxton Garrett on the mound. Garrett has a 5-3 record, a 4.32 ERA, and a 1.19 WHIP. Although his ERA and WHIP are not outstanding, his impressive strikeout count (111) indicates an ability to dismantle lineups and keep runs at bay.
With a league-leading batting average of .376, Luis Arraez has been a standout for the Marlins, alongside Jorge Soler who leads the team in home runs (24). Their powerful offense could prove problematic for Olson and the Tigers' pitching staff.
The Marlins have some injury concerns with Avisail Garcia on the 10-day injured list and Tommy Nance on the 60-day injured list. Despite these losses, the team still has key players in form which will be crucial for their performance.
Considering the Marlins' impressive home record (31-20), Garrett's ability to strikeout batters, and the solid batting performances from Arraez and Soler, it’s expected that the Marlins will capitalize on their strengths and the Tigers' weaknesses to secure a win. On the other hand, the Tigers have struggled with injuries and inconsistencies in both their batting and pitching staff. Olson's pitching performance hasn't been stellar and the team's hitting has been subpar which could prove detrimental in this matchup.
So, for those reasons, our prediction is that the Miami Marlins will come out on top in this game. Despite some injuries, the Marlins have displayed a more balanced and consistent performance across the season and we expect that to continue in this matchup.
Pick: Marlins ML -155