Marlins vs Nationals Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 14 (9/14): MLB

Marlins vs Nationals Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 14 (9/14): MLB

Credit: photo by Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports

 
Odds
Time 7:05 p.m. EST
Marlins money line +135
Marlins run line +1.5 (-172)
Nationals money line -182
Nationals run line -1.5 (+124)
Over / under 8 (-128)

 

Key stats
  Marlins Nationals
Record 61-83 59-85
Road / home record 23-49 33-40
Last 10 record 6-4 4-6
Streak 1W 1L
Over / under record 62-73-9 64-75-5
Runs / game 3.94 4.44
Runs allowed / game 4.19 5.01

 

Preview

The Marlins take on the Nats tonight in Washington for a game with little implications.  The Marlins are firmly out of the playoffs and will look to get some looks at their younger prospects and try and see if Lazardo is salvagable by the end of the year.  The Nationals became sellers this year and are firmly out of the playoffs.  They too are getting looks at some of their younger prospects as this season comes to a close.

Pitching matchup

Marlins

Jesus Lazardo (3-3, 6.58 ERA) will take the mound for the visiting Marlins when they take on the Nationals.  Lazardo enters this game with a 1.59 WHIP and 5.16 XFIP.  This season he carries a 22.7% strikeout rate paired with a high 10.9% walk rate. Lazardo has struggled this year, he walks too many hitters and gives up too much hard contact and power, all recipes for disaster.  In his 77.2 innings thrown this year he has allowed a whopping 58 ER's, 40 BB's, 18 homeruns, while striking out 79 hitters.  He faired well in his last couple starts but he will have his work cut out for hiim tonight, even against a depleted Nats team.

Nationals

Erick Fedde (6-9, 5.31 ERA) will take the mound for the Nationals when they take on the Marlins.  Fedde enters this game with a 1.44 WHIP and 4.49 XFIP.  This season he carries a 21.5% strikeout rate along with a 8.1% walk rate.  Fedde has been very mediocre this year but has found succes against this Marlins team. In his 2 starts against Miami he has gone 12.1 innings while striking out 14 hitters and allowing only 1 ER.  He has been hit hard by both sides of the plate this season and has been givin up some power.  He benefits by facing one of the worst offenses in the league against right handed pitching tonight.  He will look to have another succesful outting against this Marlins team.

Prediction

Both pitchers have been bad this year along with both offenses.  The Nationals are suprisingly boasting some every good numbrers against left handed pitching in there projected lineup though.  Though Fedde has had succes against this team I still think this weak Miami lineup can get to him in this one. Lazardo has been terrible and the Nats should have plenty of chances to put up runs even with a depleted lineup.

PICK: Over 8 (-128)

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