Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres Prediction, Pick and Preview, October 14 (10/14) MLB

Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres Prediction, Pick and Preview, October 14 (10/14) MLB

 

Odds

Time 8:37 p.m. EST
Padres money line +105
Padres run line +1.5 (-160)
Dodgers money line -125
Dodgers run line -1.5 (+135)
Over / under 7.5

 

Key stats

  San Diego Padres  Los Angeles Dodgers
Record 92-75 112-52
Home / road record 44-37 54-27
Last 10 record 5-5 6-4
Streak W1 L1
Over / under record 78-82-6 70-83-11
Runs / game 4.37 5.23
Runs allowed / game 4.05 3.17

 

Preview

The Los Angeles Dodgers will visit the San Diego Padres to play the third game of the National League Divisional Series at the Dodger Stadium on Friday night. The Padres upset the Dodgers at home 5-3 to tie the series. Manny Machado homered early and added an RBI double off Clayton Kershaw, and Jurickson Profar singled home the go-ahead run.

 

San Diego Padres

The Padres get here with a 92-75 record and have won 3 of their last 5 games. The team is averaging 4.37 runs per game and they're batting for .241 AVG, have 705 runs scored in 1318 hits and 153 home runs, ranking #12 in offense in the league behind the San Francisco Giants. Manny Machado is leading the team with 32 home runs and 102 RBI and a batting average of .296.

Defensively they are allowing 4.05 runs per game and rank #10 in the league. Yu Darvish leads the pitching staff with a 3.10 ERA, 197 strikeouts and 16 wins recorded for the Padres.

Probable Pitcher:  Blake Snell (8-10, 3.38 ERA)

Snell will be on the mound in the 3rd game of the series for the Padres. After allowing two earned runs and six walks over 3.1 innings in Game 2 of the NL Wild Card Series against the Mets, Snell will get a chance to bounce back against the Dodgers in Game 3 of the NLDS. He is 1-1 with an ERA of 2.50 and 56 strikeouts in 9 appearances versus the Dodgers in his career.

Los Angeles Dodgers

The Dodgers get here with a 112-52 record and have lost 4 of their last 6 games. The team is averaging 5.23 runs per game and they're batting for .257 AVG, 847 runs scored in 1418 hits and 212 home runs, ranking #1 in offense in the league. Mookie Bets leads the team batting for .269 AVG. and 35 home runs while Freddie Freeman has 100 RBI. 

Defensively they are allowing 3.17 runs per game and rank #1 in the league. Julio Urias leads the team with a 2.16 ERA, 166 strikeouts and 17 wins recorded.

Probable Pitcher:   Tony Gonsolin (16-1, 2.14 ERA)

Gonsolin will be on the mound in the 3rd game of the series for the Dodgers. After a stellar 2022 campaign in which Gonsolin recorded a 2.14 ERA and 0.87 WHIP, he will make his first start of the postseason in San Diego. He has a 4-0 record with an ERA of 1.45 and 32 strikeouts in 6 appearances versus the Padres in his career.

 

BETTING TRENDS

The total has gone UNDER in 8 of LA Dodgers' last 12 games.

LA Dodgers are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games.

LA Dodgers are 14-5 SU in their last 19 games against San Diego.

The total has gone UNDER in 8 of LA Dodgers' last 9 games on the road.

The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Diego's last 8 games.

The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Diego's last 10 games against LA Dodgers.

San Diego are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games against an opponent in the National League.

 

Prediction

The Padres bounced back and took the win in the 2nd game of the series and have a chance to win this series at home but they'll now have to face Tony Gonsolin who had an insane season and has dominated the Padres. Blake Snell will start for the Padres who lost in his last start against the Mets but has good numbers against the Dodgers in his career. Expect a low scoring game as both pitchers will be dominant on the mound. Take the under.

PICK: Under 7.5 (-110) 

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