Los Angeles Dodgers vs Miami Marlins Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 21 (8/21): MLB

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Miami Marlins Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 21 (8/21): MLB

Credit: photo by Jayne Kamin-Oncea-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 4:10 p.m. EST
Marlins money line +144
Marlins run line +1.5 (-140)
Dodgers money line -175
Dodgers run line -1.5 (+120)
Over / under 7.5

 

Key stats

  Miami Marlins Los Angeles Dodgers
Record 52-68 83-36
Home / road record 27-35 42-15
Last 10 record 3-7 7-3
Streak L3 W2
Over / under record 51-63-6 49-61-9
Runs / game 3.71 5.30
Runs allowed / game 4.13 3.18

 

Preview

The Miami Marlins and the Los Angeles Dodgers will play the 3rd game series at the Dodger Stadium on Sunday. The Dodgers blanked the Marlins 7-0 in the second game of the series. Dustin May dominated for five innings in his return from Tommy John surgery, Will Smith and Justin Turner hit three-run homers.

Miami Marlins

The Marlins get here with a 52-68 record and have lost 7 of their last 9 games. The team is averaging 3.71 runs per game. They're batting for .236 AVG, have 419 runs scored in 867 hits and 101 home runs, ranking #27 in offense in the league behind the Los Angeles Angels. Jazz Chisholm Jr leads with 14 home runs, 45 RBI. Garret Cooper is batting for an average of .274. 

Defensively they are allowing 4.13 runs per game and rank #12 in the league. Sandy Alcantara is leading the team with a 2.01 ERA, 145 strikeouts and 10 wins recorded.

Probable Pitcher:

Sandy Alcantara (11-5, 1.92 ERA) will be on the mound for the Marlins in the 3rd game of the series. Alcantara yielded four hits and two walks over seven scoreless frames Monday, striking out seven and earning a win over the Padres. He has a 0-2 record with an ERA of 14.81 and 12 strikeouts in 3 appearances against the Dodgers in his career.

Los Angeles Dodgers

The Dodgers get here with a 83-36 record and have won 7 of their last 10 games. The team is averaging 5.30 runs per game and they're batting for .261 AVG, 614 runs scored in 1012 hits and 152 home runs, ranking #1 in offense in the league. Mookie Bets leads the team batting for .266 AVG. and 26 home runs. Trea Turner has 83 RBI. 

Defensively they are allowing 3.18 runs per game and rank #1 in the league. Tony Gonsolin leads the team with a 2.24 ERA, 105 strikeouts and 14 wins recorded.

Probable Pitcher:  Ryan Pepiot (1-0, 4.26 ERA)

Pepiot will be on the mound in the 3rd game of the series for the Dodgers. The 24-year-old took a no-decision Tuesday in Milwaukee after giving up three runs over 4.2 innings and appeared headed for the bullpen with Dustin May (elbow) returning from the injured list this weekend. However, Pepiot will stick in the rotation for at least one more turn and perhaps more as Roberts contemplates a six-man rotation.

BETTING TRENDS

The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Miami's last 8 games on the road.

Miami are 1-7 SU in their last 8 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers.

Miami are 5-15 SU in their last 20 games against an opponent in the National League.

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Dodgers' last 7 games.

LA Dodgers are 16-3 SU in their last 19 games.

LA Dodgers are 8-0 SU in their last 8 games at home.

Prediction

The Dodgers continue to be the most dominant team and have just recovered Dustin May who had an outstanding performance in his debut vs Marlins. To close this series they'll send Ryan Pepiot to the mound who has struggled in his last 2 starts allowing 7 runs in 8.1 innings pitched. The Marlins will try to avoid a sweep by sending their ace Sandy Alcantara who's having a great season but has struggled vs Dodgers in his career. The Marlins have scored only 1 run on this series so it's hard to trust them but with Alcantara on the mound the Dodgers won't score many runs so the best play is the under.

PICK: Under 7.5 (-110)

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