Lars Nootbaar Player Props: Cardinals vs Cubs 8/1

Lars Nootbaar Player Props: Cardinals vs Cubs 8/1

Photo Credit: © Jeff Curry-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

The St. Louis Cardinals (56-52) are set to face the Chicago Cubs (52-58) at Wrigley Field on August 1, 2024. This matchup marks the beginning of a crucial four-game series between these two National League Central rivals. The Cubs have been struggling with injuries, with a long list including key players like Adbert Alzolay and Hayden Wesneski. Meanwhile, the Cardinals are also dealing with injuries, notably Lance Lynn and Steven Matz, but are looking to capitalize on a relatively strong team performance.

Over their last ten games, both teams have shown inconsistency, with the Cubs posting a 5-5 record and a .228 batting average, while the Cardinals have also gone 5-5 but with a slightly better .246 average. Historically, the Cardinals hold a 6-3 advantage over the Cubs in their 2024 season series, showcasing their ability to perform well against Chicago. The Cardinals have an on-base percentage of .310, ranking them eighth in the NL, while the Cubs’ pitching staff collectively boasts a 3.79 ERA, which ranks fifth in the league.

As the teams clash tonight, all eyes will be on players like Lars Nootbaar, who has been a key contributor for the Cardinals. His recent performances and matchups against Cubs’ pitchers could play a pivotal role in tonight's game outcome.

Player Prop Odds

- Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-156), Under 0.5 (120)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (200)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (130)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (110)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 0.5 (-156)

Player Analysis

Lars Nootbaar has emerged as a consistent hitter for the Cardinals this season. With a batting average of .235, he has demonstrated his ability to get on base and contribute to the team's offensive efforts. Over the last month, Nootbaar has shown signs of improvement, hitting .280 with an increase in his frequency of making contact. His ability to find gaps in the outfield and his speed on the bases make him a dual threat when he’s at the plate.

Nootbaar’s recent performance has included a notable increase in doubles and total bases, making the over on his total bases prop a compelling bet. Given the Cubs’ pitching staff and Nootbaar's current form, he could easily surpass these prop lines in tonight’s game.

Opposing Analysis

The Chicago Cubs will send Shota Imanaga to the mound, who has been impressive with an ERA of 2.95 and a WHIP of 1.07. However, he has shown vulnerability against left-handed hitters, which Nootbaar fits into. The Cubs’ bullpen has also been inconsistent, which can further open opportunities for Nootbaar to capitalize on scoring chances, especially if he gets on base early in the game.

Pitching Probables

Pitcher	Team	W-L	ERA	Strikeouts
Sonny Gray	Cardinals	10-6	3.79	138
Shota Imanaga	Cubs	8-2	2.95	111

Team Previews

The St. Louis Cardinals have been middle-of-the-pack in terms of hitting and pitching this season. They rank 20th in runs scored with 457 and are 24th in batting average at .234. However, their pitching staff has been a bright spot with a 3.79 ERA, ranking 9th overall in the league. Their success will largely depend on their ability to produce runs, especially against a strong pitcher like Imanaga.

On the other hand, the Chicago Cubs have had their struggles, ranking 22nd in runs scored with 454. Their pitching has also been a concern, with a 4.04 ERA. The Cubs will need to find ways to limit the Cardinals' offensive production to have a chance in this series.

Team Injuries

Player	Position	Injury Status
Lance Lynn	SP	15-Day IL (knee)
Riley O'Brien	RP	Expected to be out until at least Aug 2
Adbert Alzolay	RP	Out for the season (forearm)

Recent Games

Opponent	Score	W/L
@ Texas	W10-1	W
@ Texas	L6-3	L
vs Washington	L14-3	L
vs Washington	L10-8 F/10	L
@ Pittsburgh	W2-1	W

Prediction

Given Lars Nootbaar's recent form and the matchup against Imanaga, I predict that he will exceed 0.5 total bases tonight. The combination of his ability to get on base and the Cubs' pitching vulnerabilities makes this a solid pick.

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