MLB Player Props Prediction: Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers - 7/28
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Photo Credit: © Sam Navarro-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
On Sunday, July 28th, the Miami Marlins will face off against the Milwaukee Brewers at American Family Field in Milwaukee. The game is set to begin at 2:10 PM EDT. The Marlins, currently sitting at 39-66, are fifth in the NL East and will look to extend their three-game road winning streak. The Brewers, leading the NL Central with a 59-45 record, will aim to halt their recent skid against the Marlins, who have dominated the season series with a 4-1 record.
Milwaukee has been solid at home with a 29-19 record, and they perform exceptionally well when they don't concede home runs, boasting a 25-6 record in such games. Miami, on the other hand, struggles on the road with a 17-32 record and has found it difficult to win when allowing home runs, going 20-46 in those situations. The Brewers have been led by Rhys Hoskins, who ranks third on the team with 26 extra-base hits, and Eric Haase, who has been on fire lately, going 7-for-16 with three home runs and seven RBIs in the last 10 games. The Marlins will rely on Bryan De La Cruz, who leads the team with 36 extra-base hits, and Josh Bell, who has been productive over his last 10 games, hitting five home runs and driving in 10 runs.
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Player Prop Odds
For today's game, the player prop odds for Kyle Tyler to record a win are as follows:
Pitcher to Record a Win: No: -450, Yes: +290
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Player Analysis
Kyle Tyler, the probable starting pitcher for the Miami Marlins, has a season record of 0-1 with a 3.92 ERA and a 1.45 WHIP over 20.2 innings pitched. He has struck out 15 batters, walked 10, and given up just one home run. Tyler has shown flashes of potential but has struggled with control at times, as evidenced by his high walk rate. This will be a tough matchup for Tyler, considering the Brewers' ability to capitalize on mistakes and their strong home record.
Opposing Analysis
The Brewers' lineup has been potent, especially at home, where they have a 29-19 record. Rhys Hoskins and Eric Haase have been key contributors, with Hoskins providing power and Haase delivering clutch hits recently. The Brewers have shown they can be aggressive at the plate, and Tyler will need to keep his pitches under control to prevent Milwaukee from taking advantage of his high walk rate.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Tyler (MIA) | 0-1 | 3.92 | 1.45 | 20.2 | 20 | 15 | 10 | 1 |
| T. Myers (MIL) | 6-4 | 3.14 | 1.15 | 77.1 | 67 | 68 | 22 | 11 |
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Team Previews
Miami Marlins
The Marlins have struggled this season, currently sitting at 39-66 overall and 17-32 on the road. Offensively, they are led by Bryan De La Cruz and Josh Bell. De La Cruz has been a consistent source of power with 18 home runs, while Bell has been hot lately with five home runs in the last 10 games. As a team, the Marlins are hitting .254 (6th in MLB) and have scored 489 runs (Tied-8th). Their pitching has been a weak point, with an ERA of 4.48 (25th in MLB), and they have struggled to keep opponents off the scoreboard.
Milwaukee Brewers
The Brewers are at the top of the NL Central with a 59-45 record. They have been strong at home, going 29-19. Rhys Hoskins and Eric Haase have been key players, with Hoskins providing power and Haase contributing clutch hits. The Brewers have a team batting average of .236 (20th in MLB) and have scored 374 runs (29th in MLB). Their pitching has been solid, with a team ERA of 3.72 (6th in MLB), and they have been able to limit mistakes defensively.
Team Injuries
Miami Marlins
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Eury Perez | SP | Out for the season (Elbow) |
| Josh Simpson | RP | Expected to be out until at least Aug 8 (Elbow) |
Milwaukee Brewers
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Jackson Chourio | RF | Probable for Jul 28 (Ear) |
| Bryan Hudson | RP | Expected to be out until at least Aug 8 (Oblique) |
Recent Games
Miami Marlins
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs New York | W 6-4 | W |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs New York | L 1-0 | L |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs New York | W 4-2 | W |
| Mon, Jul 22 | vs New York | L 6-4 | L |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs Baltimore | W 6-3 | W |
Milwaukee Brewers
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ Minnesota | W 8-4 F/12 | W |
| Sun, Jul 21 | @ Minnesota | W 8-7 | W |
| Mon, Jul 22 | @ Chicago | L 3-1 | L |
| Tue, Jul 23 | @ Chicago | W 1-0 | W |
| Wed, Jul 24 | @ Chicago | W 3-2 | W |
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Prediction
The Marlins have been playing well recently, but the Brewers' home advantage and superior pitching make them the favorites. Considering Kyle Tyler's struggles with control and Milwaukee's strong lineup, it will be challenging for Tyler to secure a win. The odds for Tyler to record a win are long at +290, and the Brewers' ability to exploit mistakes makes this a risky bet.
Pick: Kyle Tyler to NOT record a win (-450)
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