Kyle Schwarber MLB Props - Phillies vs Twins 7/22
- Lm Tipster
- Jul 22, 2024, 10:51:53 PM
Kyle Schwarber's MLB Props - Phillies vs Twins 7/22
Game Summary
The Philadelphia Phillies (63-36, first in the NL East) will take on the Minnesota Twins (54-44, second in the AL Central) at Target Field in Minneapolis on Monday, July 22, 2024, at 7:40 PM EDT. The Phillies are coming off a strong win against the Pittsburgh Pirates, securing a 6-0 victory to break a two-game losing streak. Meanwhile, the Twins are looking to recover from a three-game losing streak, having recently fallen to the Milwaukee Brewers in back-to-back games.
Historically, the Phillies and Twins have not faced each other this season, making this matchup an exciting first encounter. The Twins have been strong at home with a 27-20 record, while the Phillies have shown resilience on the road, holding a 26-20 record.
Key players to watch include Bryce Harper for the Phillies, who boasts 22 home runs and a .297 batting average, and Carlos Santana for the Twins, who has contributed 14 home runs and 43 RBIs. Both teams are coming in with a .254 batting average over their last 10 games, but the Phillies' pitching has been shaky with a 5.37 ERA compared to the Twins' 3.82 ERA in the same span.
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Player Prop Odds
Kyle Schwarber prop odds for the game:
- Batter Doubles (0.5): Over +340.0
- Batter Hits (1.5): Over +250.0
- Batter Home Runs (0.5): Over +285.0
- Batter RBIs (0.5): Over +145.0
- Batter Runs Scored (0.5): Over -170.0
- Batter Singles (0.5): Over +110.0
- Batter Total Bases (1.5): Over -105.0
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Player Analysis
Kyle Schwarber has been a force in the Phillies' lineup this season. With a batting average of .244, he has notched 19 home runs and 55 RBIs. His slugging percentage stands at an impressive .506, showcasing his power-hitting capabilities. Schwarber's ability to draw walks and get on base has also been a significant asset, contributing to a solid OBP of .355.
In the last 10 games, Schwarber has shown a resurgence, hitting three home runs and driving in 10 RBIs with a .275 batting average. His recent form suggests he's primed for another big game, especially against a Twins pitching staff that has struggled against left-handed power hitters this season.
Opposing Analysis
Bailey Ober will be on the mound for the Twins. Ober has an 8-5 record this season with a 4.14 ERA and 106 strikeouts. While Ober has had a decent season, he has shown vulnerability to power hitters, especially left-handers like Schwarber. Ober's WHIP of 1.08 indicates he can limit baserunners, but his tendency to give up the long ball could be exploited by Schwarber.
The Twins bullpen has been reliable, but they have had trouble closing out games recently, which could provide additional opportunities for Schwarber to capitalize late in the game.
Pitching Probables
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| Pitcher | Team | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ranger Suarez | PHI | 10-4 | 2.76 | 112 |
| Bailey Ober | MIN | 8-5 | 4.14 | 106 |
Team Previews
Philadelphia Phillies
The Phillies have been solid across the board this season, ranking 9th in hits and 7th in runs scored. Their collective batting average of .253 is 8th in the majors, and their slugging percentage of .424 is 5th. The bullpen has been effective, with 29 saves ranking 7th in MLB. However, their 4.15 ERA ranks 20th, indicating some struggles in the pitching department.
Minnesota Twins
The Twins have been strong offensively, ranking 3rd in hits and tied for 4th in runs scored. Their batting average of .259 is 3rd in the majors. The pitching staff has been stellar, with a team ERA of 3.44, the best in MLB. However, the Twins have struggled with injuries, which could affect their depth and performance.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Kody Funderburk | SP | 15-Day IL (oblique) |
| Carlos Correa | SS | 10-Day IL (foot) |
| Chris Paddack | SP | 15-Day IL (forearm) |
| Jose Miranda | 3B | 10-Day IL (back) |
| Kyle Farmer | 2B | 10-Day IL (shoulder) |
| Royce Lewis | SS | 10-Day IL (abductor) |
| Brock Stewart | RP | 60-Day IL (shoulder) |
| Alex Kirilloff | 1B | 10-Day IL (back) |
| Justin Topa | RP | 60-Day IL (knee) |
| Daniel Duarte | RP | 60-Day IL (tricep) |
| Anthony DeSclafani | SP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
For the Phillies, Zack Wheeler is day-to-day with a back injury, while Luis Ortiz, Spencer Turnbull, Taijuan Walker, Michael Rucker, and Dylan Covey are on the IL with various ailments.
Recent Games
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Philadelphia Phillies
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Pittsburgh | L 8-7 | L |
| @ Pittsburgh | L 4-1 | L |
| @ Pittsburgh | W 6-0 | W |
| vs Cleveland | Upcoming | |
| vs Cleveland | Upcoming |
Minnesota Twins
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Milwaukee | L 8-4 F/12 | L |
| vs Milwaukee | L 8-7 | L |
| @ Detroit | Upcoming | |
| @ Detroit | Upcoming | |
| @ Detroit | Upcoming |
Prediction
Given Kyle Schwarber's recent form and his power-hitting capabilities, coupled with Bailey Ober's vulnerability to left-handed power hitters, we predict Schwarber will have a standout performance. The odds for Schwarber to hit a home run are +285.0, and given Ober's tendency to give up the long ball, this seems like a valuable bet.
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