Kevin Newman Player Props: Nationals vs Diamondbacks 7/31

Kevin Newman Player Props: Nationals vs Diamondbacks 7/31

Photo Credit: © Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

The Washington Nationals (49-59) will face off against the Arizona Diamondbacks (57-51) on July 31, 2024, at Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona, starting at 3:40 PM EDT. The Nationals are coming off a rough stretch, having lost their last two games, including a staggering 17-0 defeat to the Diamondbacks on July 30, where Eugenio Suarez hit three home runs. The Diamondbacks have been performing well, with a 7-3 record over their last ten games, showcasing a solid batting average of .280 and an impressive run differential of +24. They lead the season series against the Nationals 4-1, and the teams are meeting for the sixth time this season. Arizona is currently playing at home, where they hold a 30-25 record, while the Nationals struggle on the road with a record of 26-32. The Diamondbacks have a formidable 47-20 record when they record eight or more hits in a game, which speaks to their offensive capabilities. Key players for the Diamondbacks include Corbin Carroll, who has 38 RBIs this season, and Luis Garcia from the Nationals, who is leading his team with a .277 batting average and 50 RBIs. This matchup promises to be exciting, especially with both teams looking to gain momentum as they head into the latter part of the season.

Player Prop Odds

- Kevin Newman Doubles: Over 0.5 (+330)
- Kevin Newman Hits: Over 1.5 (+176)
- Kevin Newman RBIs: Over 0.5 (+155)
- Kevin Newman Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+105)
- Kevin Newman Singles: Over 0.5 (-170)
- Kevin Newman Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+136), Under 1.5 (-179)

Player Analysis

Kevin Newman has been a consistent performer for the Nationals, contributing significantly to their offensive efforts. Newman has played in 108 games this season, recording 93 hits in 336 at-bats, giving him a batting average of .277. He has also hit 11 home runs and driven in 50 RBIs, signaling his ability to contribute in crucial situations. Over his last 10 games, Newman has been hitting at a .289 clip, which is a positive sign going into this matchup. Newman's performance against right-handed pitchers has been particularly noteworthy, as he holds a .294 batting average against them this season. His ability to get on base and find gaps in the defense makes him a prime candidate for player props, especially in a game where the Nationals may need to rally against a strong Diamondbacks pitching staff. Additionally, with the Diamondbacks' Zac Gallen on the mound, who has a tendency to allow a few hits, Newman will have opportunities to capitalize on his hitting ability.

Opposing Analysis

The Diamondbacks will be facing MacKenzie Gore, who has a 4.51 ERA and a 1.50 WHIP this season. Gore has shown vulnerability against both left and right-handed batters, which plays into Newman's favor as he can exploit any weakness. The Diamondbacks have a solid lineup, but they can be susceptible to pitchers who can effectively mix their pitches. With Gallen on the mound, he will be looking to continue his success against the Nationals, who have struggled offensively at times this season. The Diamondbacks' hitting has been effective, but they will need to keep an eye on Newman, who can make an impact on the bases. If Newman can get on early, it could set the tone for the Nationals' offense. Given Newman's recent form, he may find himself in scoring positions, especially against a pitcher like Gallen, who can give up runs when pressured.

Pitching Probables

Pitcher	Team	W-L	ERA	Strikeouts
MacKenzie Gore	Nationals	6-8	4.51	121
Zac Gallen	Diamondbacks	8-5	3.70	86

Team Previews

The Washington Nationals have had an up-and-down season, currently sitting at 49-59 and struggling to find consistency. They are 4-6 in their last ten games, and their pitching staff has not performed at the level they hoped for, currently holding a 6.54 ERA over the last ten days. Offensively, the Nationals have shown flashes of brilliance, especially when they can out-hit their opponents, holding a remarkable 36-8 record in such scenarios. On the other hand, the Arizona Diamondbacks have been more consistent and currently sit third in the NL West with a record of 57-51. They boast a solid home performance of 30-25. Their pitching staff, led by Gallen, has been effective, and their offense has averaged 4.00 runs per game over the last ten days, helping them outscore their opponents by 24 runs during that stretch.

Team Injuries

Player	Position	Injury Status
Christian Walker	1B	Expected to be out until at least Aug 23
Josiah Gray	SP	Out for the season

Recent Games

Opponent	Score	W/L
vs Cincinnati	W 8-5	W
vs Cincinnati	W 5-4	W
vs Cincinnati	W 5-2	W
vs San Diego	L 4-0	L
vs San Diego	L 12-3	L

Prediction

Given the current prop odds and Kevin Newman's recent performance, he is positioned well to exceed his player props in this matchup against the Diamondbacks. The odds for over 1.5 hits at +176 represent significant value, considering Newman's ability to find gaps and get on base. Additionally, the over on total bases at 1.5 (+136) is also appealing, as he should have ample opportunities against Gallen. Overall, the recommendation is to take the over on Kevin Newman’s hits and total bases, as he is likely to play a crucial role in the Nationals' offense, especially after their recent struggles.

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