Kansas City Royals vs Detroit Tigers Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 11 (7/11): MLB

Kansas City Royals vs Detroit Tigers Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 11 (7/11): MLB

Credit: photo by Rick Osentoski--USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 2:10 p.m. EST
Royals money line -138
Royals run line -1.5 (+135)
Tigers money line +115
Tigers run line +1.5 (-160)
Over / under 9.5

 

Key stats

  Kansas City Royals  Detroit Tigers
Record 32-52 36-49
Home / road record 16-26 14-25
Last 10 record 5-5 7-3
Streak W1 L2
Over / under record 41-39-4 29-51-5
Runs / game 3.90 3.18
Runs allowed / game 5.20 4.24

 

Preview

The Detroit Tigers and the Kansas City Royals meet again to play a 4-game series at the Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium. The Royals won their last series against the Guardians while the Tigers tied 2-2 against the White Sox. These teams are tied 3-3 in the last 6 head to head games.

Kansas City Royals

The Royals get to this game with a 32-52 record and have won 3 of their last 5 games. The team is averaging 3.9 runs per game. They're batting for .241 AVG, 328 runs scored in 684 hits and 71 home runs, ranking #26 in offense in the league behind the Seattle Mariners. Andrew Benitendi is batting for a .317 AVG. and 29 RBI while Bobby Witt Jr has 11 home runs and 42 RBI.

Defensively they are allowing 5.2 runs per game and ranking #27 in the league. Daniel Lynch leads the team with a 4.95 ERA, 65 strikeouts and 3 wins recorded for the Royals.

Probable Pitcher: Brad Keller (4-9, 4.37 ERA)

Keller will take the mound in the 1st game of the series for the Royals. On Wednesday against Houston, Keller (4-9) pitched 5.2 innings, giving up four runs on five hits, three walks, and three strikeouts while walking no one. He was successful in earning the victory. He is 5-5 with an ERA of 3.17 and 48 strikeouts in 14 appearances versus the Tigers in his career.

Detroit Tigers

The Tigers get here with a 36-49 record and have won 6 of their last 8 games. They're averaging 3.18 runs and batting for .230 AVG, 270 runs scored in 638 hits and 52 home runs, ranking #29 in offense, the second worst in the league behind the Pittsburgh Pirates. Miguel Cabrera leads the team batting for .295 AVG, Javi Baez is leading in home runs with 9 and 33 RBI.

Defensively they are allowing 4.24 runs per game and ranking #16 in the league. Tarik Skubal leads the pitching staff with a 3.99 ERA, 97 strikeouts and 6 wins recorded.

Probable Pitcher:  Michael Pineda (2-3, 3.62 ERA)

Pineda will be on the mound in the 1st game of the series for the Tigers. On Wednesday against the Guardians, Pineda  won after allowing two runs on five hits over five innings. Two people were given a chance to walk and two people were given the chance to strike out. He has a 7-7 record with an ERA of 4.00 and 73 strikeouts in 14 appearances against the Royals in his career.

BETTING TRENDS

Detroit are 4-8 SU in their last 12 games against Kansas City.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games on the road.

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing on the road against Kansas City.

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 7 games against an opponent in the American League Central Division division.

Prediction

The Tigers were on a roll before losing the last 2 games against the White Sox but they have struggled on the road with a 14-25 record. They'll send Michael Pineda to the mound who already lost against the Royals earlier this season. The Royals are only 16-26 at home so far this season and will send Keller to the mound who dominated the Tigers the last time holding them to zero runs across 6 innings. These are two of the worst offenses in the league so I think this total has been set to high. Give me the under.  

PICK: Under 9.5 (-115)

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