Justin Turner Player Props: Mariners vs Red Sox 7/31

Justin Turner Player Props: Mariners vs Red Sox 7/31

Game Summary

The Boston Red Sox will face off against the Seattle Mariners on July 31, 2024, at Fenway Park, with the game set to begin at 4:10 p.m. EDT. This matchup is the rubber game of a three-game series, which is currently tied 1-1. Both teams are vying for a stronger position in their respective divisions, with the Mariners holding a record of 57-52, placing them first in the AL West, while the Red Sox sit at 56-50, third in the AL East.

The Mariners have been solid on the road this season, boasting a record of 30-22 away from home. Their pitching staff has been particularly impressive, leading the MLB with a 3.48 ERA. George Kirby (8-7, 3.03 ERA) will take the mound for Seattle, bringing a strong command and strikeout capability to the game. The Red Sox have struggled recently, going 3-7 in their last ten games, which has seen their pitching staff post a 6.83 ERA during that stretch. Brayan Bello (10-5, 5.27 ERA) will be tasked with slowing down a potent Mariners lineup that includes sluggers like Cal Raleigh and Tyler O'Neill.

Historically, this matchup has been competitive, with the season series currently tied at 3-3. The Red Sox's home record is a mixed bag at 26-28, but they have the power advantage, ranking seventh in the league with 131 home runs. Meanwhile, the Mariners have showcased their ability to score runs, sitting seventh in the MLB with 519 runs scored this season.

 

 

Player Prop Odds

For Justin Turner, the player prop odds are as follows:

• Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+260)
• Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+135)
• Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (-135)
• Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-145)

Player Analysis

Justin Turner has been a key contributor for the Boston Red Sox this season. As of now, he has a batting average of .256 with 6 home runs and 33 RBIs. Turner has shown a keen ability to get on base, and his recent form suggests he could be a pivotal player in this matchup. In the last few games, he has been particularly effective against right-handed pitchers, making him a viable option for both runs scored and RBIs.

Turner’s experience and ability to handle pressure situations make him a reliable player in critical matchups. Given that he typically bats in the middle of the order, he may have opportunities to drive in runs and cross the plate himself, especially against a pitcher like Bello, who has been prone to giving up runs this season.

Opposing Analysis

The Mariners will be sending George Kirby to the mound, who has been exceptional this season with a 3.03 ERA and a WHIP of 0.98. However, the Red Sox lineup has the potential to capitalize on any mistakes made by Kirby. Key hitters like Rafael Devers and Jarren Duran will likely be looking to exploit any weaknesses. If Turner can get on base, it may set up scoring opportunities as the Red Sox aim to take advantage of their home field.

Pitching Probables

Pitcher	W-L	ERA	Strikeouts
George Kirby (SEA)	8-7	3.03	129
Brayan Bello (BOS)	10-5	5.27	96

Team Previews

The Seattle Mariners have had a solid season, currently sitting first in the AL West with a record of 57-52. They have performed well in road games, and their pitching staff has been a significant asset. With a collective ERA of 3.48, they lead the league, making it difficult for opposing teams to score.

On the offensive side, the Mariners have a batting average of .260, ranking them third in the league. Their ability to hit for power is also evident, as they rank seventh with 519 runs scored this year.

On the other hand, the Boston Red Sox have struggled recently, particularly with their pitching staff, which has an ERA of 6.83 in the last ten games. However, they still boast a powerful offense that ranks seventh in home runs, indicating that they can score in bunches when the opportunity arises. Their batting average of .219 is a concern, but they have been effective at finding ways to drive in runs when needed.

Team Injuries

Player	Position	Injury Status
Victor Robles	RF	Day-to-Day (Hip)
J.P. Crawford	SS	10-Day IL (Hand)
Julio Rodriguez	CF	10-Day IL (Ankle)
Triston Casas	1B	60-Day IL (Rib)
Liam Hendriks	RP	Expected out until at least Sep 1 (Elbow)

Recent Games

Opponent	Score	W/L
vs. Houston	L 3-0	Loss
vs. Houston	L 4-2	Loss
vs. Los Angeles	L 3-1	Loss
vs. Los Angeles	L 5-1	Loss
@ Chicago	W 10-0	Win

Prediction

Given the current form of both teams and the player prop odds for Justin Turner, I recommend betting on Turner to score over 0.5 runs at -135. His ability to get on base and the Red Sox's offensive potential against a struggling pitcher like Brayan Bello makes this a favorable bet. Additionally, with Justin's knack for driving in runs, taking the over on 0.5 RBIs at +135 is also a strong consideration.

Get more expert picks!

 

 

```