Juan Soto MLB Props - Mets vs Yankees 7/23
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Juan Soto MLB Props - Mets vs Yankees 7/23

 

 

Juan Soto's MLB Props - Mets vs Yankees 7/23

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Game Summary

The New York Mets (51-48, third in the NL East) are set to visit their cross-town rivals, the New York Yankees (60-42, second in the AL East), at Yankee Stadium on Tuesday, July 23, 2024, at 7:05 p.m. EDT. This matchup is the third time these teams face each other this season, and the Yankees look to continue their strong form at home where they hold a 27-21 record. The Yankees are known for their power hitting, ranking second in the majors with 146 total home runs, averaging 1.4 per game. Meanwhile, the Mets have been strong on the road with a 25-22 record and an impressive 24-10 record in games where they did not allow a home run.

In their last 10 games, the Yankees have gone 5-5, batting .249 with a 3.30 ERA, and have outscored their opponents by eight runs. The Mets, on the other hand, have been in better form, going 7-3 with a .274 batting average and a 3.89 ERA, outscoring their opponents by 14 runs.

Key players to watch include Juan Soto, who leads the Yankees with a .311 batting average and has 25 home runs, and Aaron Judge, who has been on fire recently, going 11-for-33 with three home runs and six RBIs over the past 10 games. For the Mets, Francisco Lindor leads with 19 home runs, while Jeff McNeil has been productive, going 9-for-32 with three home runs and 10 RBIs in the last 10 games.

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Player Prop Odds

Here are the player prop odds for Juan Soto in the upcoming game:

  • Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+400)
  • Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+230)
  • Batter Home Runs: Over 0.5 (+360)
  • Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+135)
  • Batter Runs Scored: Over 1.5 (+370)
  • Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-120)
  • Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+105)

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Player Analysis

Juan Soto has been a standout player for the Yankees this season. He boasts a .311 batting average, leading the team, and has accumulated 19 doubles, four triples, and 25 home runs. His plate discipline and power make him a constant threat. In the past 10 games, Soto has maintained his form, contributing significantly to the Yankees' offense. His ability to get on base and drive in runs is integral to the team's success.

Opposing Analysis

The Mets will be relying on Jose Quintana, who has a 4-6 record with a 4.13 ERA and 1.26 WHIP over 102.1 innings pitched this season. Quintana has allowed 95 hits, 34 walks, and 17 home runs while striking out 79 batters. The Yankees' lineup, with its power hitters like Soto and Judge, will look to capitalize on Quintana's susceptibility to the long ball. Given the Yankees' high home run rate, Quintana will need to be at his best to keep them in check.

Pitching Probables

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Pitcher W-L ERA WHIP IP H K BB HR
Jose Quintana (NYM) 4-6 4.13 1.26 102.1 95 79 34 17
Luis Gil (NYY) 10-5 3.17 1.08 102.1 62 118 49 9

Team Previews

New York Mets

The Mets have had a decent season so far, ranking 11th in hits (844) and 1st in runs (508) with a team batting average of .248. Their pitching staff has been solid, with a team ERA of 3.56, ranking 4th in the league. The Mets' defense has also been reliable, committing 59 errors, which is tied for 6th fewest in the league.

New York Yankees

The Yankees have been one of the top teams in the league, with 851 hits (10th) and 478 runs (8th), and a team batting average of .250. Their pitching staff has a team ERA of 4.21, ranking 21st in the league. The Yankees' defense has been a bit of a concern, committing 67 errors, which ranks 3rd most in the league.

Team Injuries

Player Position Injury Status
Reed Garrett RP 15-Day IL (elbow)
Drew Smith RP 60-Day IL (elbow)
Brooks Raley RP 60-Day IL (elbow)
Starling Marte OF 10-Day IL (knee)
Sean Reid-Foley RP 15-Day IL (shoulder)
Shintaro Fujinami RP 60-Day IL (shoulder)
Kodai Senga SP 60-Day IL (shoulder)
Ronny Mauricio SS 60-Day IL (knee)
Jose Trevino C 10-Day IL (quadricep)
Nick Burdi RP 60-Day IL (hip)
Giancarlo Stanton DH 10-Day IL (hamstring)
Anthony Rizzo 1B 60-Day IL (wrist)
Clarke Schmidt SP 60-Day IL (lat)
Cody Poteet SP 15-Day IL (tricep)
Ian Hamilton RP 15-Day IL (lat)
Jon Berti 2B 60-Day IL (calf)
Jonathan Loaisiga RP 60-Day IL (elbow)
JT Brubaker SP 60-Day IL (elbow)
Lou Trivino RP 60-Day IL (elbow)

Recent Games

New York Mets

Opponent Score W/L
@ Miami L 6-4 L
@ Miami W 1-0 W
@ Miami L 4-2 L
@ Miami W 6-4 W

New York Yankees

Opponent Score W/L
vs Tampa Bay W 6-1 W
vs Tampa Bay L 9-1 L
vs Tampa Bay L 6-4 L
vs Tampa Bay W 9-1 W

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Prediction

Given Juan Soto's current form and the Mets' pitching struggles, we predict the following prop for Soto:

Pick: Juan Soto Over 1.5 Total Bases (+105)

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Winnings $78,844
last 30 days winnings ($5,187)
Yesterday winnings ($252)
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W-L-D 2210 - 1660 - 26
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last 30 days winnings $0
Yesterday winnings $0
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W-L-D 1786 - 1741 - 144
Winnings % 48%