Josh Rojas MLB Props - Angels vs Mariners 7/22

- Mr Wager
- Jul 22, 2024, 8:38:16 PM
MLB Player Prop Prediction: Josh Rojas - Los Angeles Angels vs Seattle Mariners
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Game Summary
The Los Angeles Angels will face off against the Seattle Mariners on July 22, 2024, at T-Mobile Park in Seattle. The game is set to start at 9:40 p.m. EDT. The Mariners are currently 53-48 and sit second in the AL West, while the Angels are 42-57 and occupy the fourth spot in the division.
Seattle has been performing well at home with a 31-20 record. The Mariners have shown power by hitting at least two home runs in 21 of their games this season, translating to a 21-12 record in those matchups. On the other hand, the Angels struggle on the road with a 20-28 record. Despite their overall struggles, the Angels have maintained a respectable team batting average of .236, ranking 10th in the AL.
The Mariners lead the season series 4-3 in their previous seven encounters. In their last 10 games, the Mariners have a 4-6 record with a .231 batting average and a stellar 2.73 ERA. The Angels, meanwhile, are 5-5 with a .245 batting average but have been let down by their pitching with a 5.97 ERA.
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Player Prop Odds
For Josh Rojas, here are the available prop odds:
- Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-150)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+210)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+125)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+105)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+200)
Player Analysis
Josh Rojas has been a consistent performer for the Angels, contributing significantly to their offense. Rojas has a batting average of .263 this season and has been particularly effective against right-handed pitchers. In his last 10 games, Rojas has been consistent at the plate, collecting multiple hits and driving in key runs for his team.
His ability to get on base and advance runners makes him a valuable asset in the lineup. Given his recent form and the prop odds, the over 0.5 hits at -150 seems like a strong bet. Additionally, his knack for getting on base increases the likelihood of him scoring a run, making the over 0.5 runs scored at +125 another intriguing option.
Opposing Analysis
Josh Rojas will face Bryce Miller of the Mariners, who has a 7-7 record with a 3.63 ERA and 98 strikeouts over 109 innings pitched. Miller has shown promise this season but has been slightly vulnerable to left-handed batters, who have a higher batting average against him compared to right-handers.
Miller's WHIP of 1.06 indicates that he doesn't allow many base runners, but when he does, it often leads to runs. Rojas, a left-handed batter, could exploit this slight weakness, making it more likely for him to get on base and potentially score or drive in a run.
Pitching Probables
The starting pitchers for the game are:
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Anderson (LAA) | 8-8 | 2.97 | 1.17 | 118.0 | 91 | 81 | 47 | 14 |
| Bryce Miller (SEA) | 7-7 | 3.63 | 1.06 | 109.0 | 87 | 98 | 29 | 15 |
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Team Previews
Los Angeles Angels
Hitting: The Angels rank 10th in the AL with a .236 team batting average. Key players like Jo Adell and Zachary Neto have been contributing with extra-base hits and consistency at the plate. However, the team struggles to convert hits into runs, ranking 28th in the league for runs scored.
Relief Pitching: The Angels' bullpen has been somewhat reliable, ranking 9th in saves, but their overall team ERA of 5.97 over the last 10 games indicates issues with consistency.
Fielding: The Angels have committed 54 errors this season, placing them 13th in the league. While not the worst, this indicates room for improvement in their defensive game.
Starting Pitching: Tyler Anderson has been a standout with an 8-8 record and a 2.97 ERA. He has been consistent, but the rest of the rotation has struggled, contributing to the team’s overall poor performance.
Seattle Mariners
Hitting: The Mariners have a team batting average of .236, ranking 21st in the league. Cal Raleigh and Julio Rodriguez have been the standout performers, with Raleigh leading the team with 20 home runs.
Relief Pitching: The Mariners' bullpen has been effective with a team ERA of 2.73 over the last 10 games. This has been a significant factor in their ability to stay competitive in games.
Fielding: The Mariners have committed 51 errors this season, ranking 16th in the league. Their fielding has been average, but it hasn’t hampered their overall performance significantly.
Starting Pitching: Bryce Miller has been solid with a 7-7 record and a 3.63 ERA. His WHIP of 1.06 indicates he limits base runners effectively, which will be crucial against the Angels' lineup.
Team Injuries
Los Angeles Angels
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Cisnero | RP | Out until at least Jul 31 (Shoulder) |
| Jose Quijada | RP | Out until at least Jul 22 (Elbow) |
| Nolan Schanuel | 1B | Probable for Jul 22 (Calf) |
Seattle Mariners
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Julio Rodriguez | CF | Probable for Jul 22 (Ankle) |
Recent Games
Los Angeles Angels
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Oakland | 13-3 | L |
| @ Oakland | 8-2 | L |
| @ Oakland | 8-5 | W |
Seattle Mariners
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Houston | 3-0 | L |
| vs Houston | 4-2 | L |
| vs Houston | 6-4 | W |
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Prediction
Pick: Over 0.5 hits for Josh Rojas (-150)
Rojas has been consistent at the plate, and facing a right-handed pitcher in Bryce Miller, who has shown some vulnerability, makes this a strong bet. Additionally, the odds for him to score a run are appealing, but the safer pick is the over 0.5 hits.
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