Joey Ortiz's MLB Props - Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs 7/6

Game Summary

The Milwaukee Brewers will take on the Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field on Monday, July 22, 2024, at 8:05 PM EDT. This game marks the beginning of a three-game series between these two NL Central rivals. The Brewers come into this game with a 57-42 record, sitting at the top of the NL Central, while the Cubs are 48-53, fourth in the division.

Milwaukee has been strong on the road, boasting a 28-25 record away from American Family Field. The Brewers have shown a balanced attack, highlighted by their second-ranked team on-base percentage in the National League at .332. Recent performances have seen Milwaukee go 5-5 in their last 10 games, with a .245 team batting average and a 4.21 ERA.

Chicago, on the other hand, has been competitive at home with a 26-23 record at Wrigley Field. The Cubs have been on a good run lately, winning 6 of their last 10 games while hitting .272 as a team and posting a 2.43 ERA during that span. Historically, the Brewers have had the upper hand in this season's series, leading 6-4 over the Cubs.

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Player Prop Odds

For today's matchup, let's take a look at the player prop odds for Joey Ortiz:

Batter Doubles Over 0.5: +380
Batter Hits Over 1.5: +280
Batter RBIs Over 0.5: +190
Batter Runs Scored Over 0.5: +105
Batter Singles Over 0.5: -125
Batter Total Bases Over 1.5: +145

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Player Analysis

Joey Ortiz has been a key contributor for the Milwaukee Brewers this season. Ortiz has demonstrated his ability to rack up hits, with a batting average of .284, 11 home runs, and 56 RBI. His recent performance has been even more encouraging, as he's gone 15-for-41 with six doubles, two home runs, and 10 RBI over the past 10 games. Ortiz's consistency at the plate makes him a significant threat against any pitcher.

Opposing Analysis

On the mound for the Cubs is Javier Assad, who brings a 4-3 record with a 3.27 ERA and 79 strikeouts to this contest. Assad has been relatively effective this season, but he has shown some vulnerability, especially against hitters with power. The Brewers' offense, which ranks second in the NL in on-base percentage, could pose a significant challenge for Assad.

Assad's WHIP of 1.35 indicates that he allows a fair number of baserunners, which could be exploited by a disciplined hitter like Ortiz. Given Assad's tendency to give up hits, Ortiz has a favorable matchup to continue his hot streak.

Pitching Probables

Here are the probable pitchers for today's game:

Milwaukee Brewers: Tobias Myers (6-3, 3.12 ERA, 62 strikeouts)

Chicago Cubs: Javier Assad (4-3, 3.27 ERA, 79 strikeouts)

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Team Previews

Milwaukee Brewers

The Brewers have had a solid season, currently leading the NL Central. Their success has been driven by a well-rounded team effort. Offensively, Milwaukee ranks 20th in hits (784), 19th in runs (419), and 25th in batting average (.233). Despite these middling rankings, the Brewers have excelled at getting on base, with a .332 team on-base percentage.

Milwaukee's pitching staff has been a strong point, with a team ERA of 3.76, ranking 10th in the league. The Brewers' bullpen has also been effective, contributing to their 22 saves, tied for 22nd in MLB. Defensively, Milwaukee has committed 53 errors, placing them 14th in the league.

Chicago Cubs

The Cubs have had a mixed season, sitting fourth in the NL Central. Offensively, Chicago ranks 7th in hits (861), 6th in runs (482), and 4th in batting average (.255). The Cubs' ability to generate offense has been a highlight, particularly at Wrigley Field, where they have a 26-23 record.

Chicago's pitching has been solid, with a team ERA of 3.81, ranking 11th in the league. The Cubs' bullpen has been particularly effective, with 33 saves, ranking 3rd in MLB. Defensively, Chicago has committed 52 errors, placing them 15th in the league.

Team Injuries

Milwaukee Brewers

Player	Position	Injury	Status
Enoli Paredes	RP	Forearm	Expected to be out until at least Jul 31

Chicago Cubs

Player	Position	Injury	Status
Cody Bellinger	CF	Finger	Expected to be out until at least Jul 26

Recent Games

Milwaukee Brewers

Date	Opponent	Score	Result
Sat, Jul 20	@ Minnesota	W 8-4 (F/12)	W
Sun, Jul 21	@ Minnesota	W 8-7	W

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Chicago Cubs

Date	Opponent	Score	Result
Fri, Jul 19	vs Arizona	L 5-2	L
Sat, Jul 20	vs Arizona	L 3-0	L
Sun, Jul 21	vs Arizona	W 2-1 (F/10)	W

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Prediction

Given Joey Ortiz's recent hot streak and the favorable matchup against Javier Assad, who has shown a tendency to allow hits, we predict Ortiz will have a good game. The prop bet that stands out is:

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